Skip to main content

Transition Engineering

Change Projects for the Energy Transition

  • Chapter
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Energy ((LNEN,volume 33))

Abstract

We cannot predict the future. However, we know that development in this century will be different from the last, and the fundamental problem will be energy. World consumption and population growth have been accompanied by growth in total energy supply, and by improvements in productivity and efficiency. More than 90 % of current energy supply is fossil hydrocarbons, finite resources that produce a potent green house gas, CO2. Resource, environmental and social limits to growth have been studied since the 1970s, and a wide range of factors indicate that the drivers of growth in the previous century are slowing [1]. The energy transition is the only realistic approach to mitigating the most destructive climate impacts of increased green house gas concentrations [2].

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Meadows D, Randers J, Meadows D (2004) Limits to growth, the 30-year update. Chelsea Green Publishing Company, White River Junction

    Google Scholar 

  2. Stern N (2006) Stern review: the economics of climate change, HM Treasury Cabinet Office. http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/; http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/sternreview_index.htm

  3. HM Treasury, The Orange Book Management of Risk-Principles and Concepts (2004) HMSO, UK. www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/220647/orange_book.pdf

  4. The 1911 Triangle Factory Fire. http://trianglefire.ilr.cornell.edu/. Accessed 2015

  5. McCormick LW (2006) A short history of the airbag, consumer affairs. http://www.consumeraffairs.com/news04/2006/airbags/airbags_invented.html

  6. American Society of Safety Engineers. http://www.asse.org/

  7. Linden MO, Kazakov AF, Brown JS, Domanski PA (2014) A thermodynamic analysis of refrigerants: possibilities and tradeoffs for low-GWP refrigerants. Int J Refrig 38:80–92

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. National Renewable Energy Laboratory (2002). http://www.nrel.gov/docs/gen/fy02/30845.pdf

  9. BP (2015) Statistical Review of World Energy 2015. http://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/about-bp/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy.html

  10. Renewable Fuels Association (2015) Statistics. http://www.ethanolrfa.org/

  11. Cobb J (2015) February 2015 Dashboard, HybridCARS. http://www.hybridcars.com/

  12. Frankfurt School-UNEP Centre/BNEF (2015) Global trends in renewable energy investment 2015. Frankfurt School of Finance & Management gGmbH

    Google Scholar 

  13. Ram E. CEO of Ram Energy Inc., personal discussion Sept 2015

    Google Scholar 

  14. IPCC (2014) Climate change 2014: synthesis report. contribution of working groups I, II and III to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change [Core Writing Team. Pachauri RK, Meyer LA (eds)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 pp

    Google Scholar 

  15. Hansen J, Sato M, Kharecha P, Beerling D, Berner R, Masson-Delmotte V, Pagani M, Raymo M, Royer DL, Zachos JC (2008) Target atmospheric CO2: where should humanity aim? Open Atmos Sci J 2:217–231

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. IEA (2015) Energy and climate change, world energy outlook special report. www.iea.org

  17. Winston AS (2014) The big pivot, radically practical strategies for a hotter, scarcer and more open world. Harvard Business School Publishing, Boston

    Google Scholar 

  18. Chapman I (2014) The end of peak oil? Why this topic is still relevant despite recent denials. Energy Policy 64:93–101

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. USGS (2010) Mineral commodity summaries. Tech. rep.; US Geological Survey (2010). http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs. Accessed Feb 2015

  20. Van Kauwenbergh SJ (2010) World phosphate rock reserves and resources. International Fertilizer Development Center, Muscle Shoals, AL, USA. http://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNADW835.pdf

  21. Platt McGinn A (1998) Rocking the boat: conserving fisheries and protecting jobs. World watch paper, 142, World Watch Institute

    Google Scholar 

  22. Ecofys (2011) The energy report, 100 % renewable energy by 2050. www.ecofys.com

  23. https://nsjour.wordpress.com/2012/10/21/seven-blind-men-and-the-elephant/

  24. The Natural Step. www.thenaturalstep.org/. Accessed Oct 2015

  25. Renewable Fuels Association (2015). http://www.ethanolrfa.org/pages/statistics#A

  26. IEA (2014) Key world energy statistics. http://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/KeyWorld2014.pdf

  27. Krumdieck S (2013) Transition engineering: adaptation of complex systems for survival. Int J Sustain Dev 16(3/4):310–321

    Google Scholar 

  28. Needleman HL (2000) Review: the removal of lead from gasoline: historical and personal reflections. Environ Res Sect A 84:20–35

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Kenny J, Barber N, Huston S, Linsey K, Lovelace J, Maupin A (2005) Estimated use of water in the United States in 2005, Circular 1344, USGS, pp 38–41

    Google Scholar 

  30. Torcellini P, Long N, Judkoff R (2003) Consumptive water use for U.S. power production, NREL/TP-550-33905

    Google Scholar 

  31. Lazard Ltd. (2014) Energy technology assessment. Lazard Ltd., New York. http://www.lazard.com

  32. Ballard CW, Penner PS, Pilati DA (1978) Net energy analysis—handbook for combining process and input-output analysis. Res Energy 1:267–313

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Dale M, Krumdieck S, Bodger P (2012) Global energy modeling—a biophysical approach (gemba) part 2: methodology and results. Ecol Econ 73:158–167

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Lambert JG, Hall CAS, Balogh S, Gupta A, Arnold M (2014) Energy, EROI and quality of life. Energy Policy 64:153–167

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Gupta AK, Hall CAS (2011) A review of the past and current state of EROI data. Sustainability 3:1796–1809

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Gellings CW (1985) The concept of demand-side management for electric utilities. Proc IEEE 73(10):1468–1470

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Boshell F, Kema B, Veloza OP (2008) Review of developed demand side management programs including different concepts and their results. In: Transmission and distribution conference and exposition: Latin America, 2008 IEEE/PES, pp 1–7

    Google Scholar 

  38. California Energy Commission (2014) www.energy.ca.gov

  39. World Future Society (2008) http://millennium-project.org/millennium/scenarios/energy-scenarios.html

  40. Singh RK, Murthy HR, Gupta SK, Dikshit AK (2012) An overview of sustainability assessment methodologies. Ecol Ind 15(1):281–299

    Article  Google Scholar 

  41. WCED (1987) Our common future. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  42. Science for Energy Scenarios (2014). http://scienceag.cluster013.ovh.net/

  43. IEA (2015). http://www.iea.org/topics/ccs/

  44. Hansen J (2009) Storms of my grandchildren. Bloomsbury, NY

    Google Scholar 

  45. Flannery T (2005) The weather makers. Grove Press, NY

    Google Scholar 

  46. Bossel U, Eliasson B, Taylor G (2003) The future of the hydrogen economy: bright or bleak? The 2003 fuel cell seminar, 3–7 November 2003. www.efcf.com/reports

  47. Edwards J (2014) Oil sands pollutants in traditional foods. Can Med Assoc J 186(12):1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  48. The Editors. 12 Oct 2011. Safety first, fracking second, Scientific American

    Google Scholar 

  49. BP (2015). http://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/gulf-of-mexico-restoration/deepwater-horizon-accident-and-response.html

  50. Krumdieck S, Page S, Dantas A (2010) Urban form and long term fuel supply decline: a method to investigate the peak oil risks to essential activities. Transp Res Part A 44:306–322

    Google Scholar 

  51. Deffeyes K (2001) Hubbert’s peak: the impending world oil shortage. Princeton University Press, Princeton

    Google Scholar 

  52. United Nations (2012) World population prospects: the 2012 Revision, Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/index.htm

  53. Krumdieck S, Hamm A (2009) Strategic analysis methodology for energy systems with remote island case study. Energy Policy 37(9):3301–3313

    Article  Google Scholar 

  54. Krumdieck S (2010) Peak oil vulnerability assessment for Dunedin. http://www.dunedin.govt.nz/your-council/policies-plans-and-strategies/peak-oil-vulnerability-analysis-report

  55. Krumdieck S (2011) Transition engineering of urban transportation for resilience to peak oil risks. In: Proceedings of the ASME 2011, ICEME2011-65836, 11–17 Nov 2011, Denver, CO

    Google Scholar 

  56. Gellings CW, Parmenter KE (2007) Chapter 5.3 Demand side management. In: Goswami DY, Kreith F (eds) Handbook of energy efficiency and renewable energy. CRC Press, Boca Raton, pp 5-33–5-53

    Google Scholar 

  57. Pacala S, Socolow R (2004) Stabilization wedges: solving the climate problem for the next 50 years with current technologies. Science 305:968–972

    Article  Google Scholar 

  58. Chaussumier D (2014) Scenarios for oil supply. http://scienceag.cluster013.ovh.net/?page_id=298

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Susan P. Krumdieck .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Krumdieck, S.P. (2017). Transition Engineering. In: Zhang, X., Dincer, I. (eds) Energy Solutions to Combat Global Warming. Lecture Notes in Energy, vol 33. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26950-4_32

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26950-4_32

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-26948-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-26950-4

  • eBook Packages: EnergyEnergy (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics