Abstract
Foresight has gained much attention as a tool for developing and informing science, technology and innovation policy and company strategies. It is frequently used for detecting not only potential development paths of technologies but also possible economic and societal changes; and for identifying challenges that nations, societies and companies might face in the future. Raising awareness within the respective communities of trends and challenges is critically important—and the biggest challenge is how we can develop measures to meet these anticipated challenges. Paradoxically, perhaps, it may be more helpful for creating and implementing successful measures if these are elaborated by thinking about grasping opportunities, rather than framing them in terms of threats that have to be responded to. Accordingly there is a need to change the mindsets in science, technology and innovation policy making—and to engender solution and opportunity orientation among scientists and engineers.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
This volume complements an earlier book by the editors “Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future: Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies”, Springer 2013. It summarizes the results of a high-level international conference “Foresight and STI Policy” hosted by the Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge, National Research University Higher School of Economics in Moscow, October 30–31, 2013.
References
European Commission (2009) Policy mixes for R&D in Europe. UNU-MERIT, Maastricht
Gokhberg L, Meissner D (2013) Innovation: superpowered invention. Nature 501:313–314. doi:10.1038/501313a
Johnston R (2002) The state and contribution of international foresight: new challenges. The role of Foresight in the selection of research policy priorities, 13-14.
Keenan M (2003) Identifying emerging generic technologies at the national level: the UK experience. J Forecast 22:129–160
Keenan M, Popper R (2007) RIF (Research Infrastructures Foresight): Practical guide for integrating foresight in research infrastructures policy formulation. European Commission, Brussels
King DA, Thomas SM (2007) Taking science out of the box—foresight recast. Science 316:1701–1702
Martin BR (1995) Foresight in science and technology. Technol Anal Strat Manag 72:139–168
Meissner D, Sokolov A (2013) Foresight and science, technology and innovation indicators. In: Gault F (ed) Handbook of innovation indicators and measurement. Edward Elgar, Northampton, Cheltenham, pp 381–402
Meissner D, Gokhberg L, Sokolov A (2013) The meaning of foresight in science technology and innovation policy. In: Meissner D, Gokhberg L, Sokolov A (eds) Science, technology and innovation policy for the future—potentials and limits of foresight studies. Springer Heidelberg, New York, Dordrecht, London, pp 1–7
Sokolov A (2009) Future of S&T: Delphi survey results. Foresight-Russia 3(3):40–58 (in Russian)
Sokolov A, Chulok A (2012) Russian Science and Technology Foresight—2030: Key Features and First Results. Foresight-Russia 6(1):12–25 (in Russian)
van der Steen M, van Twist M, van der Vlist M, Demkes R (2011) Integrating futures studies with organizational development: Design options for the scenario project ‘RWS2020’. Futures 43:337–347
Acknowledgements
The book and this chapter were prepared within the framework of the Basic Research Programme at the National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE) and supported by a subsidy granted to the HSE by the Government of the Russian Federation for the implementation of the Global Competitiveness Programme.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Gokhberg, L., Meissner, D., Sokolov, A. (2016). Foresight: Turning Challenges into Opportunities. In: Gokhberg, L., Meissner, D., Sokolov, A. (eds) Deploying Foresight for Policy and Strategy Makers. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-25628-3_1
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-25628-3_1
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-25626-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-25628-3
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)