Abstract
The rural paradox refers to the phenomenon that the standardized mortality rates are lower in rural than in urban areas despite the relatively poor socioeconomic profiles among rural residents. Previous research on the geographic mortality differential has failed to recognize the complexity of the concept of rurality and the spatial structure underlying the ecological mortality data has not been fully utilized to advance our understanding of the rural paradox. Drawing from the drift and breeder hypotheses, this study first uses county-level data to measure “rural” with three distinct aspects, namely ecological dimension, economic integration, and natural resources dependency. Then, it employs the spatial Durbin approach to capture the exogenous relationships between the mortality of a county and the features of its neighbors. The key findings include that (1) the drift hypothesis (i.e., internal migration) did not appear to explain the rural paradox, but the breeder hypothesis (i.e., exposures to environments) partially accounts for the rural-urban mortality disparity, (2) the associations between the ecological dimension and economic integration with mortality were explained after accounting for the exogenous relationships, (3) the observed spatial feedback effects reflected the spatial dynamics across county boundaries, and (4) the spatial dynamic processes between mortality and its determinants were largely confined to the first- and second-order neighbors. The results of this study indicate that future ecological mortality research should further utilize the spatial structure to explain the variation of mortality across space.
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Notes
- 1.
Brown and Schafft (2011) discussed how rural residents are affected by the change in rural economies, institutions, and environment. The rurality measures of this study largely align with their perspective, but their organizational aspect of rurality is not considered in the analysis due to data limitations.
- 2.
Benzene-equivalents indicate the amounts of benzene that would have to be released into the air to pose the same level of health risk as the release of other chemicals. It is a useful measure to compare different carcinogenic toxic releases and their risks to benzene. The list of carcinogen chemicals could be found in the website below: http://www2.epa.gov/sites/production/files/documents/OSHA_carcinogen_table_2011.pdf
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Acknowledgements
This study received support from the Geographic Information Analysis Core at Penn State’s Population Research Institute, which receives core funding from the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD; R24-HD41025). We also acknowledge the help from Family Demography Training (T-32HD007514) from NICHD.
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Yang, TC., Noah, A.J., Shoff, C. (2016). Revisiting the Rural Paradox in US Counties with Spatial Durbin Modeling. In: Howell, F., Porter, J., Matthews, S. (eds) Recapturing Space: New Middle-Range Theory in Spatial Demography. Spatial Demography Book Series, vol 1. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-22810-5_13
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-22810-5_13
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