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Diversity across Low-Fertility Countries: An Overview

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Low and Lower Fertility

Abstract

Economically advanced countries show considerable variability in fertility levels. Those with the very lowest fertility have populations that are rapidly aging, and in some the population is shrinking overall. This introduction previews chapters that describe the situation in eight countries that have experienced varying degrees of fertility decline in recent years: China, Hong Kong (actually a territory, not a country), Japan, Singapore, and South Korea, all with a total fertility rate (TFR) of less than 1.5 children per woman, and Australia, the Netherlands, and the United States, where fertility is now close to the replacement level of 2.1. The discussion focuses on common features across the countries as well as distinctive cultural, institutional, and policy features of each country that might affect fertility levels, either deliberately or inadvertently. Such features include flexibility of the labor markets, the link between marriage and childbearing, factors that help or hinder parents in balancing work and family obligations, gender equity, education systems, the housing markets, and governmental subsidies for the cost of childrearing.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Hong Kong is technically not a country, but rather a territory of China with considerable autonomy. For linguistic ease, we refer to it as a country.

  2. 2.

    As Wang Feng (this volume) notes, the actual TFR levels for China have been a matter of dispute among Chinese government agencies and demographers. The rates shown in Fig. 1.1, beginning in 1994, are from the National Bureau of Statistics and are widely accepted among demographers.

  3. 3.

    For an excellent formal discussion of how different fertility and mortality rates affect the age structure of a population see Coale (1972).

  4. 4.

    Norway is an interesting exception with its large and growing Sovereign Wealth Fund, based upon its oil revenue. Some of the proceeds will be used for Norway’s elderly pension system. Currently, the fund has assets of more than US$ 900 billion or more than US$ 175,000 per Norwegian.

  5. 5.

    We note that recent political and judicial decisions in Japan and South Korea are changing the legal status of children born outside a marital union.

  6. 6.

    In South Korea, approximately 80 % of secondary-school graduates now enroll in a post-secondary educational institution.

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Correspondence to Ronald R. Rindfuss .

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Rindfuss, R.R., Choe, M.K. (2015). Diversity across Low-Fertility Countries: An Overview. In: Rindfuss, R., Choe, M. (eds) Low and Lower Fertility. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-21482-5_1

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