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National Technology Planning: A Case Study of Nanotechnology for Thailand’s Agriculture Industry

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Hierarchical Decision Modeling

Part of the book series: Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management ((ITKM))

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Abstract

This research develops a systematic approach for policy makers to strategically define the national technology policy for emerging technologies. In this approach, a hierarchical decision model is built and qualified expert opinions are used as measurements. There are four levels in the hierarchy: mission, objectives, technological goals, and research strategies. Three panels are formed based on their background and expertise in order to minimize and balance any possible biases among the members. The objectives, technological goals, and research strategies are evaluated and prioritized, according to their contribution to the country’s mission, by quantifying the experts’ judgments. This research also demonstrates several approaches for the validation of results. Inconsistency measure, intraclass correlation coefficient, and statistical test for the reliability of the experts and group agreement are used for that purpose. Finally, HDM sensitivity analysis is brought in to study the robustness of the rankings, especially at the technology level that may be caused by potential changes in the national strategic direction.

A prior revision of this chapter was included in the conference proceedings of Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology, 2009.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The PCM software was developed by Dundar F. Kocaoglu and Bruce J. Bailey.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Engineering and Technology Management, Portland State University, Oregon, USA

    Pisek Gerdsri

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  1. Pisek Gerdsri
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Correspondence to Pisek Gerdsri .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Dept. of Engineering and Technology Mana, Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, USA

    Tugrul U. Daim

Appendix: HDM for Developing Nanotechnology Research Policy and Strategy

Appendix: HDM for Developing Nanotechnology Research Policy and Strategy

figure a

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Gerdsri, P. (2016). National Technology Planning: A Case Study of Nanotechnology for Thailand’s Agriculture Industry. In: Daim, T. (eds) Hierarchical Decision Modeling. Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-18558-3_10

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