Abstract
The difficulty in deciding and facing up to uncertainty is not only linked to the inadequacy of the architecture of our minds but also to an ‘external’ model of uncertainty which does not correspond to the way in which our mind naturally functions. New conceptual paradigms and new programmes for experimental research are called for in order to redefine the role of internal and external restrictions on human action (resources and available information, limitations on calculation ability, on the capacity of memory, cognitive styles, gender differences and so on). All this should be contemplated in a more general theoretical framework – natural logic – based not on metaphysical assumptions but on the concrete evidence provided by cognitive neurosciences.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Thompson, J.: Organizations in Action. McGraw Hill, New York (1967)
Argote, L.: Input uncertainty and organizational coordination in hospital emergency units. Administrative Science Quarterly 27, 420–434 (1982)
Lipshitz, R., Strauss, O.: Coping with uncertainty: A naturalistic decision making analysis. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 69(2), 149–163 (1997)
Starr, C.: Social benefit versus technological risk. What is our society willing to pay for safety? Science 165(19), 1232–1238 (1969)
Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., Tversky, A.: Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Cambridge University Press, New York (1982)
Maldonato, M., Dell’Orco, S.: Toward an Evolutionary Theory of Rationality. World Futures 66(2), 103–123 (2010)
Wason, P.C.: On the failure to eliminate hypotheses in a conceptual task. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 12(3), 129–140 (1960)
Asch, S.: Social Psychology. Prentice-Hall, New York (1952)
Langer, E.J.: The illusion of control. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 32(2), 311–328 (1975)
Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B., Lichtenstein, S.: Facts and fears: Understanding perceived risk. In: Schwing, R., Albers Jr., W.A. (eds.) Societal Risk Assessment: How Safe is Safe Enough?. Plenum Press, New York (1980)
Dolinsky, D., Gromsky, W., Zawinsza, E.: Unrealistic pessimism. Journal of Social Psychology 127(5), 511–516 (1986)
Klein, G.A.: Recognition-primed decisions. In: Rouse, W.B. (ed.) Advances in Man-Machine Systems Research. JAI Press, Greenwich (1993)
Gigerenzer, G.: Quando i numeri ingannano. Cortina, Milano (2003)
Loewenstein, G., Weber, E., Hsee, C., Welch, N.: Risk as Feelings. Psychological Bulletin 127(2), 267–286 (2001)
Lerner, J.S., Keltner, D.: Beyond valence: Toward a model of emotion-specific influences on judgment and choice. Cognition and Emotion 4(4), 473–493 (2000)
Lazarus, R.S.: Emotion and Adaptation. Oxford University Press, New York (1991)
Gigerenzer, G.: Reckoning with Risk: Learning to live with uncertainty. Allen Lane/Penguin, London (2002)
Goldstein, J.M., Seidman, J.L., Horton, N.J., Makris, N., Kennedy, D.N., Caviness, V.S., et al.: Normal sexual dimorphism of the adult human brain assessed by in vivo magnetic resonance imaging. Cer. Ctx. 11, 490–497 (2001)
Tannen, D.: Gender and Family Interaction. In: Holmes, J., Meyerhoff, M. (eds.) The Handbook on Language and Gender, pp. 179–201. Basil Blackwell, Oxford (2003)
Hamann, S.: Sex differences in the responses of the human amygdala. Neuroscientist 11, 288–293 (2005)
Leonard, C.M., Towler, S., Welcome, et al.: Size matters cerebral volume influences sex differences in neuroanatomy. Cereb Cortex 18(12), 2920–2931 (2008)
Podell, K., Lovell, M., Zimmerman, M., Goldberg, E.: The Cognitive Bias Task and lateralized frontal lobe functions in males. Journal of Neuropsychiatry and Clinical Neuroscience 7, 491–501 (1995)
Goldberg, E.: The Executive Brain: Frontal Lobes and the Civilized Mind. Oxford University Press (2001)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Maldonato, M., Dell’Orco, S. (2015). Making Decisions under Uncertainty Emotions, Risk and Biases . In: Bassis, S., Esposito, A., Morabito, F. (eds) Advances in Neural Networks: Computational and Theoretical Issues. Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies, vol 37. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-18164-6_28
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-18164-6_28
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-18163-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-18164-6
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)