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The Public Sector in the Aftermath of the Financial and Debt Crisis: Long-Term, Neglected Consequences

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Abstract

The paper deals with some widely neglected, long-term consequences of the financial and sovereign debt crisis for the public sector. It indicates that there are no uniform answers because EU member states have been very unevenly affected. Various measures as parts of immediate austerity packages are categorized and criticized for their quantitative nature, incremental effects and short-term perspective. The focus is on long-term consequences of austerity measures such as quantity as well as quality of service provision, development of macro-economic variables, uneven distribution of curtailments not only between but also within countries and levels of government, and deteriorating employment relations. Unions have to react but are in a purely defensive position.

In comparative perspective the public sector in Germany has been hit but less seriously than a number of others; however, due to earlier severe retrenchment and consolidation measures it is part of a lean state. Established labor market institutions, such as social partners and institutionalized collective bargaining, continue to function despite changed conditions. There are, however, future risks, such as increasing fiscal pressure because of the implementation of national as well as European debt brakes.

Furthermore, there are far reaching, broader consequences of retrenchment measures not only for public sector employees but also for large groups of other citizens especially consumers because of limited access of various publicly provided services. Therefore, some political options and changing priorities are discussed. Reactions in general elections seem possible, the existing welfare state will continue to change.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    An additional factor leading to similar effects will be the further deterioration of promotion opportunities and career prospects, which formerly existed within the internal labor markets characterized by strict seniority rules and “promotion from within”.

  2. 2.

    Spain constitutes a prominent example. Political differences as well as financial gaps between the federal level and the 17 autonomous regions prevent any kind of coordinated strategy to strictly limit new public debts.

  3. 3.

    Germany definitely belongs to the third group of hybrid governance. Unilateral and bilateral legal forms have co-existed for many decades. In empirical terms, however, differentiated patterns of close interaction have developed over time (Keller 2010).

  4. 4.

    In stark contrast to the present situation of “Germany’s jobs miracle” (Krugman 2009), the country was frequently called the “sick man of Europe” throughout the early/mid 2000s.

  5. 5.

    We take this frequently used indicator, instead of private sector debt (household and non-financial corporate debt as a percentage of GDP), which is more relevant in some countries.

  6. 6.

    In early 2011, the introduction of the so-called fiscal pact was concluded at the EU level. Violators of its stricter balanced budget rules can be sued by other member states. Critics argue vehemently that these measures will lead only to more expenditure cuts, contribute to the further retrenchment of the welfare state and finally result in a continued increase of social inequality.

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Keller, B. (2015). The Public Sector in the Aftermath of the Financial and Debt Crisis: Long-Term, Neglected Consequences. In: Schneider, V., Eberlein, B. (eds) Complex Democracy. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-15850-1_12

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