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Measuring the Opacity of the ‘Veil of Ignorance’ in Constitutions: Theory, Method, and Some Results

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Part of the book series: Studies in Public Choice ((SIPC,volume 32))

Abstract

The Veil of Ignorance project (VOIP) looks at constitutions as discourses to infer the motivations of constitution drafters from the content of the very text they contributed to write (Imbeau 2009). In particular, the project aims at measuring the extent to which constitution drafters worked under uncertainty. This chapter introduces to the theory and method of the VOIP project and presents some preliminary results. We proceed in three steps. First, we expose the theoretical foundations of the project based on Buchanan’s interaction approach. Second, we describe the content analysis method that we used to compare the discursive content of 16 constitutions. Third, we submit some of our empirical results to validity tests before concluding.

We are indebted to several persons who commented previous versions of this paper: Roger Congleton, Emma Galli, Randall Holcombe, Alan Lockard, Agnes Strauss, George Tridimas, Frédéric Varone, and Stefan Voigt. We assume responsibility for any remaining shortcoming.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Weber wrote: «Something is “a ‘state’ if and insofar as its administrative staff successfully upholds a claim on the monopoly of the legitimate use of violence in the enforcement of its order” (1964: 154).

  2. 2.

    Here, we ordered them according to the extent to which they can be manipulated.

  3. 3.

    The Canadian constitutional experience of the 1970s and 1980s witnessed such reconsideration. In 1971, the Victoria Charter proposed a set of amendments to the Canadian constitution defining, among others, a new amending formula. The Charter was dropped because one provincial premier rejected it. The convention was that such constitutional decisions required unanimity. However, the 1981 agreement was adopted with the support of only nine of the ten provinces. The Supreme Court later ruled that this agreement though unconventional was not illegal [(1981) 1 S.C.R. 753]. In 1992, the Charlottetown Accord including a new set of constitutional amendments was dropped after a failed referendum even though no mention is made to a referendum in the amending formula adopted in 1981. These two changes in constitutional conventions were made while the decision-making process was in progress.

  4. 4.

    This section is based on Imbeau (2007, 2009) and Imbeau and Jacob (2011).

  5. 5.

    In Thomas Kuhn’s Structure of Scientific Revolutions, ‘prescience’ is a period in which «different men confronting the same range of phenomena, but not usually all the same particular phenomena, describe and interpret them in different ways […] [S]uch initial divergences should ever largely disappear […with] the triumph of one of the pre-paradigm schools, which, because of its own characteristic beliefs and preconceptions, emphasized only some special part of the too sizable and inchoate pool of information» (Kuhn 1970: 17).

  6. 6.

    See, for example, the review presented by Haugaard (2002).

  7. 7.

    For a synthesis of this literature, see (Imbeau and Couture 2010).

  8. 8.

    Of course, investors may also exercise power over the minister of Finance and make him offer higher interest rates in exchange for their wealth, something he would not do otherwise. It is not always easy to determine who exercises power over whom in this example. When a government has the political capacity not to borrow money, i.e., when it can increase taxes or decrease expenditures without fearing an electoral backlash, then it may be in a position to exercise power over investors. But the more a government indulges in deficit financing the more vulnerable it becomes to investors and to their demands until it has no other alternative but to comply or to default. I thank Alan Lockard for bringing this point to my attention.

  9. 9.

    For examples of each of the nine types of instrumental power, see (Imbeau and Couture 2010: 58–59).

  10. 10.

    Abduction, a term first introduced by the American philosopher Charles Peirce, is a form of logical reasoning that goes from the data to an explanation that accounts for the data. Deduction derives a consequence from a cause. Abduction reverses the process and derives a cause from a consequence. When the cause is unobservable, like the opacity of the veil of uncertainty in a decision-making process, an abductive reasoning allows one to infer the cause on the basis of the consequence. For a discussion of Peirce’s contribution in the context of economic institutionalism, see (Mirowski 1987); for an application to constitutional decision-making, see (Imbeau 2009).

  11. 11.

    For an extended description with computing formulas, see (Krippendorff 2004: 221–241). Andrew Hayes provides an SPSS macro for computing a Krippendorff alpha on his Web site http://www.comm.ohio-state.edu/ahayes/. For details about the working of this macro, see (Hayes and Krippendorff 2007).

  12. 12.

    Since we did not have a «standard», we could not perform the accuracy test. However, the supervision of the coders by the main investigator all along the training process gives an assurance that the unitizing and coding are accurate.

  13. 13.

    Coders worked full time in July and August and part time from September to December 2011.

  14. 14.

    One should use caution when comparing the length of constitutional texts because of the use of versions in French and in English. Texts in French usually count a higher number of words than their equivalent/translation in English. However, this has no effect on the identification of units of analysis which are «Power relations».

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Correspondence to Louis M. Imbeau .

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Annex: Codebook of the Veil of Ignorance Project (VOIP)

Annex: Codebook of the Veil of Ignorance Project (VOIP)

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Imbeau, L.M., Jacob, S. (2015). Measuring the Opacity of the ‘Veil of Ignorance’ in Constitutions: Theory, Method, and Some Results. In: Imbeau, L., Jacob, S. (eds) Behind a Veil of Ignorance?. Studies in Public Choice, vol 32. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-14953-0_4

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