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Forecasting the Big Services Era: Novel Approach Combining Statistical Methods, Expertise and Technology Roadmapping

  • Iñaki BildosolaEmail author
  • Rosa Rio-Bélver
  • Ernesto Cilleruelo
Part of the Lecture Notes in Management and Industrial Engineering book series (LNMIE)

Abstract

This paper aims at proposing a novel approach to gathering and structuring information concerning an emerging technology, generating a relevant profile, identifying its past evolution, forecasting the short and medium-term evolution and integrating all of the elements graphically into a hybrid roadmap. The approach combines four families of technological forecasting methods, namely: Statistical Methods in terms of Bibliometrics and Data Mining; Trend Analysis; Descriptive Methods in terms of Technological Roadmapping; and Expertise. Its future application to forecast the evolution of emerging IT trends in current entities, which are creating the Big Services era, is proposed as future work.

Keywords

Technology forecasting Technology roadmapping Bibliometrics Data mining Big services era 

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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  • Iñaki Bildosola
    • 1
    Email author
  • Rosa Rio-Bélver
    • 2
  • Ernesto Cilleruelo
    • 1
  1. 1.Foresight, Technology and Management (FTM) Group. Department of Industrial EngineeringUniversity of the Basque Country UPV/EHUBilbaoSpain
  2. 2.Foresight, Technology and Management (FTM) Group. Department of Industrial EngineeringUniversity of the Basque Country UPV/EHUVitoriaSpain

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