Skip to main content

An Investigation into Accuracy of CAMEL Model of Banking Supervision Using Rough Sets

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Computational Intelligence Applications in Modeling and Control

Part of the book series: Studies in Computational Intelligence ((SCI,volume 575))

  • 1632 Accesses

Abstract

Application of intelligent methods in banking becomes a challenging issue and acquiring special attention of banking supervisors and policy makers. Intelligent methods like rough set theory (RST), fuzzy set and genetic algorithm contribute significantly in multiple areas of banking and other important segments of financial sector. CAMEL is a useful tool to examine the safety and soundness of various banks and assist the banking regulators to ward off any potential risk which may lead to bank failure. RST approach may be applied for verifying authenticity and accuracy of CAMEL model and this chapter invites reader’s attention towards this relatively new and unique application of RST. The results of CAMEL model have been widely accepted by banking regulators for the purpose of assessing the financial health of banks. In this chapter we have considered ten largest public sector Indian banks on the basis of their deposit-base over a five-year period (2008–2009 to 2012–2013). The analysis of financial soundness of banks is structured under two parts. Part I is devoted to ranking of these banks on the basis of performance indices of their capital adequacy (C), asset quality (A), management efficiency (M), earnings (E) and liquidity (L). Performance analysis has been carried out in terms of two alternative approaches so as to bring implications with regard to their rank accuracy. We named these approaches as Unclassified Rank Assignment Approach and Classified Rank Assignment Approach. Part II presents analysis of accuracy of ranks obtained by CAMEL model for both the approaches that is for Unclassified Rank Assignment Approach and for Classified Rank Assignment in terms of application of Rough Set Theory (RST). The output of CAMEL model (ranking of banks for both approaches) is given as input to rough set for generating rules and for finding the reduct and core. The accuracy of the ranking generated by the CAMEL model is verified using lower and upper approximation. This chapter demonstrates the accuracy of Ranks generated by CAMEL model and decisions rules are generated by rough set method for the CAMEL model. Further, the most important attribute of CAMEL model is identified as risk-adjusted capital ratio, CRAR under capital adequacy attribute and results generated by rough set theory confirm the accuracy of the Ranks generated by CAMEL Model for various Indian public- sector banks.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Ahn, B.S., Cho, S.S., Kim, C.Y.: The integrated methodology of rough set theory and artificial neural network for business failure prediction. Expert Syst. Appl. 18(2), 65–74 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Arena, M.: Bank failures and bank fundamentals: A comparative analysis of Latin America and East Asia during the nineties using bank-level data. J. Bank. Finan. 32(2), 299–310 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Avkiran, N.K., Cai, L.C.: Predicting Bank Financial Distress Prior to Crises, Working Paper. The University of Queensland, Australia (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Canbas, S., Cabuk, A., Kilic, S.B.: Prediction of commercial bank failure via multivariate statistical analysis of financial structures: The Turkish case. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 166(2), 528–546 (2005)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  5. Das, S., Sy, A.N.R.: How Risky Are Banks’ Risk Weighted Assets? Evidence from the Financial Crisis, IMF Working Paper, 12/36 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Daubie, M., Leveck, P., Meskens, N.: A comparison of the rough sets and recursive partitioning induction approaches: An application to commercial loans. Int. Trans. Oper. Res. 9, 681–694 (2002)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  7. Demirguc-Kunt, A., Detragiache, E., Gupta, P.: Inside the crisis: An empirical analysis of banking systems in distress. J. Int. Money Finan. 25(5), 702–718 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Demyanyk, Y., Hasan, I.: Financial crises and bank failures: A review of prediction method. OMEGA 38(5), 315–324 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Estrella, A., Park, S.: Capital ratios as predictors of bank failure. Econ. Policy Rev. 6(2), 33–52 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Greco, S., Matarazzo, B., Slowinski, R.: Rough sets theory for multicriteria decision analysis. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 129, 1–47 (2001)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. Hassanien, A.Q., Zamoon, S., Hassanien, A.E., Abrahm, A.: Rough set generating prediction rules for stock price movement. In: Computer Modeling and Simulation, EMS ′08. Second UKSIM European Symposium, pp. 111–116 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Khoza, M., Marwala, T.: A rough set theory based predictive model for stock prices. In: Proceeding of IEEE 12th International Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Informatics, pp. 57–62. Budapest (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Kolari, J., Glennon, D., Shin, H., Caputo, M.: Predicting large US commercial bank failures. J. Econ. Bus. 54(4), 361–387 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Lanine, G., Rudi, V.V.: Failure predictions in the Russian bank sector with logit and trait recognition models. Expert Syst. Appl. 30(3), 463–478 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Le Lesle, V., Avramova, S.: Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets, IMF Working Paper, 12/90 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Mannasoo, K., Mayes, D.G.: Investigating the Early Signals of Banking Sector Vulnerabilities in Central and East European Emerging Markets, Working Paper of Eesti Pank, p. 8 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Mariathasan, M., Merrouche, O.: The Manipulation of Basel Risk-Weights. Evidence from 2007–2010. University of Oxford, Department of Economics, Discussion Paper, p. 621 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Nursel, S.R., Fahri, U., Bahadtin, R.: Predicting bankruptcies using rough set approach: The case of Turkish bank. In: Proceeding of American Conference on Applied Mathematics (Math ′08), Harvard, Massachusetts, USA, 24–26 Mar 2008

    Google Scholar 

  19. Ooghe, H., Prijcker S.D.: Failure Processes and Causes of Company Bankruptcy: A Typology, Working Paper, Steunpunt OOI (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Pawlak, Z.: Rough set approach to knowledge-based decision support. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 99, 48–57 (1997)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  21. Pawlak, Z.: Rough sets. Int. J. Comput. Int. Sci. 11(3), 341–356 (1982)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  22. Poghosyan, T., Cihák, M.: Distress in European Banks: An Analysis Based on a New Dataset. IMF Working Paper, 09/9 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  23. Prasad, K.V.N., Ravinder, G.: A camel model analysis of nationalized banks in India. Int. J. Trade Commer. 1(1), 23–33 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  24. Reyes, S.M., Maria, J.V.: Modeling credit risk: An application of the rough set methodology. Int. J. Bank. Finan. 10(1), 34–56 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  25. Rodriguez, M., Díaz, F.: La teoría de los rough sets y la predicción del fracaso empresarial. Diseño de un modelo para pymes, Revista de la Asociación Española de Contabilidad y Administración de Empresas 74, 36–39 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  26. Segovia, M.J., Gil, J.A., Vilar, L., Heras, A.J.: La metodología rough set frente al análisis discriminante en la predicción de insolvencia en empresas aseguradoras. Anales del Instituto de Actuarios Españoles 9 (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Tatom, J., Houston, R.: Predicting Failure in the Commercial Banking Industry. Networks Financial Institute at Indiana State University. Working Paper, p. 27 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  28. Tung, W.L., Quek, C., Cheng, P.: Genso-Ews: A novel neural-fuzzy based early warning system for predicting bank failures. Neural Netw. 17(4), 567–587 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Wheelock, D.C., Wilson, P.W.: Why do banks disappear? The determinants of U.S. bank failures and acquisitions. Rev. Econ. Stat. 82(1), 127–138 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Xu, J.N., Xi, B.: AHP-ANN based credit risk assessment for commercial banks. J. Harbin Univ. Sci. Technol. 6, 94–98 (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  31. Yu, G.A., Xu, H.B.: Design and implementation of an expert system of loan risk evaluation. Comput. Eng. Sci. 10, 104–106 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Renu Vashist .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Vashist, R., Vashishtha, A. (2015). An Investigation into Accuracy of CAMEL Model of Banking Supervision Using Rough Sets. In: Azar, A., Vaidyanathan, S. (eds) Computational Intelligence Applications in Modeling and Control. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 575. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-11017-2_1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-11017-2_1

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-11016-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-11017-2

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics