Abstract
Discrete-time wide-sense stationary stochastic processes, also called time series, arise from discrete-time measurements (sampling) of random functions. A particularly mathematically tractable class of such processes consists of the so-called moving averages and auto-regressive (and more generally, arma) time series. This chapter begins with the general theory of wss discrete-time stochastic processes (which essentially reproduces that of wss continuous-time stochastic processes) and then gives the representation theory of arma processes, together with their prediction theory. The last section is concerned with the realization problem: what models fit a given finite segment of autocorrelation function of a time series? The corresponding theory is the basis of parametric spectral analysis.
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- 1.
Details and proofs can be found in [Dacunha-Castelle and Duflo], Vol. II, Chap. 1; or [Rosenblatt], Chap. V.
- 2.
See the discussion in [Beran], p. 50–54.
- 3.
Ya. G. Sinai (1976), “Self-similar probability distributions”, Theory Probab. Appl., pp. 21, 64–80.
- 4.
Gradshtein and Ryzhik (1965), p. 372.
- 5.
H.O.A Wold, A Study in the Analysis of Time Series, Almquist and Wiksell, Upsalla (1938).
- 6.
See for instance [Helson], Chap. 3.
- 7.
[Whittle].
- 8.
For a general view of parametric and non-parametric spectral analysis, see [Stoica and Moses]. For a review of classical spectral analysis, see [Brockwell and Davis].
- 9.
J. Durbin, “The fitting of time series nodel”, Rev. Inst. Internat. Statist., 28, 233–244.
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Brémaud, P. (2014). Fourier Analysis of Time Series. In: Fourier Analysis and Stochastic Processes. Universitext. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-09590-5_4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-09590-5_4
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