Abstract
The uncertainty in future climate conditions means that new decision-making approaches need to be mobilized. This chapter highlights strategies that are best able to cope with the large uncertainty (and disagreement) that surround the climate change impacts on natural hazards and disasters. It introduces the robust decision-making approach and suggests flexible and reversible strategies that are best suited to the current situation of high uncertainty on future climates. These approaches can be used to improve risk management, and capture the potential synergies between risk management and climate change adaptation.
Part of this chapter is based on Hallegatte (2009), published in Global Environmental Change, and Hallegatte et al. (2012).
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Notes
- 1.
Because a robust decision-making process can take the result of a cost-benefit analysis as an input, it should not be considered as an alternative to the cost-benefit analysis, but as a complement.
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Hallegatte, S. (2014). Decision Making for Disaster Risk Management in a Changing Climate. In: Natural Disasters and Climate Change. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-08933-1_7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-08933-1_7
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