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Distortion Risk Measure or the Transformation of Unimodal Distributions into Multimodal Functions

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Future Perspectives in Risk Models and Finance

Abstract

The particular subject of this paper, is to construct a general framework that can consider and analyse in the same time the upside and downside risks. This paper offers a comparative analysis of concept risk measures, we focus on quantile based risk measure (ES and VaR), spectral risk measure and distortion risk measure. After introducing each measure, we investigate their interest and limit. Knowing that quantile based risk measure cannot capture correctly the risk aversion of risk manager and spectral risk measure can be inconsistent to risk aversion, we propose and develop a new distortion risk measure extending the work of Wang (J Risk Insurance 67, 2000) and Sereda et al. (Handbook of Portfolio Construction 2012). Finally we provide a comprehensive analysis of the feasibility of this approach using the S&P500 data set from 01/01/1999 to 31/12/2011.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Regularly varying (heavy tailed distributions, fat tailed) non-degenerate tails with tail index \(\eta> 1\) for more detail see Danielson et al. (2005).

  2. 2.

    The terminology “Expected shortfall” was proposed by Acerbi and Tasche (2002). A common alternative denotation is “Conditional Value at Risk” or CVaR that was suggested by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2002).

  3. 3.

    Artzner (2002) proposes a natural way to define a measure of risk as a mapping \(\rho: L^{\infty} \rightarrow \mathbb{R}\cup{\infty}\).

  4. 4.

    \( VaR_{\alpha} (X) = q_{1-\alpha}= F_{X}^{-1}(\alpha)\)

  5. 5.

    An extension can be found in Inui and Kijima (2005).

  6. 6.

    In this last paper, the difference between ES and TCE is conceptual and is only related to the distributions. If the distribution is continuous then the expected shortfall is equivalent to the tail conditional expectation.

  7. 7.

    If \(\rho_{i}\) is coherent risk measures for \(i = 1{\ldots} n\), then, any convex combination \(\rho=\sum _{1}^{n}\beta_{i} \rho_{i}\) is a coherent risk measure (Acerbi and Tasche 2002).

  8. 8.

    The distortion risk measure is a special class of the so-called Choquet expected utility, i.e. the expected utility calculated under a modified probability measure.

  9. 9.

    Both integrals in (1) are well defined and take a value in \([0,+\infty]\). Provided that at least one of the two integrals is finite, the distorted expectation \(\rho_{g}(X)\) is well defined and takes a value in \([-\infty,+\infty]\).

  10. 10.

    This approach towards risk can be related to investor’s psychology as in Kahneman and Tversky (1979).

  11. 11.

    This property involves that \(g'(S_{X}(x))\) becomes smaller for large values of the random variable X.

  12. 12.

    \( 0.90 <0.99\) but \(0.031422>0.003081\).

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Guégan, D., Hassani, B. (2015). Distortion Risk Measure or the Transformation of Unimodal Distributions into Multimodal Functions. In: Bensoussan, A., Guegan, D., Tapiero, C. (eds) Future Perspectives in Risk Models and Finance. International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, vol 211. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-07524-2_2

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