Skip to main content

Intelligent System for Time Series Prediction in Stock Exchange Markets

  • Conference paper
Book cover Business Information Systems (BIS 2014)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing ((LNBIP,volume 176))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

This article presents an intelligent system using artificial neural techniques for time series prediction in stock exchange markets. For this purpose, is developed a hybrid neural network with supervised learning algorithm able to learn to predict the evolution of stock exchange for a given period of time. The learning model proposed for the intelligent system considers a First Input First Output (FIFO) queue with input values taken from the values obtained by prediction by the neural network at previous time. Analysis of the performance parameters of the neural network uses the method of the coefficient of certainty of neural prediction. Experimental study highlights the effectiveness of the proposed learning model for hybrid neural predictive system properties and its usefulness.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 72.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Azoff, E.M.: Time Series Forecasting of Financial Markets. Neural Network, John Wiley and Sons Ltd. (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Carpenter, G.A., Grossberg, S., Arbib, A.M.: The Handbook of Brain Theory and Neural Networks, 2nd edn. MIT Press, Cambridge (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Dumitrescu, D., Costin, H.: Neural networks. Theory and applications. Teora Publishing House (1996) (in Romanian)

    Google Scholar 

  4. De Jesus, O., Hagan, M.: Backpropagation Algorithms for a Broad Class of Dynamic Networks. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks 18(1) (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Enke, D., Thawornwong, S.: Forecasting Stock Returns with Artificial Neural Networks. In: Zhang, G.P. (ed.). IRM Press (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Fulginei, F.R., Laudani, A., Salvini, A., Parodi, M.: Automatic and Parallel Optimized Learning for Neural Networks performing MIMO Applications. Advances in Electrical and Computer Engineering 13(1), 3–12 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Gheorghita, S., Munteanu, R., Graur, A.: An Effect of Noise in Printed Character Recognition System Using Neural Network. Advances in Electrical and Computer Engineering 13(1), 65–68 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Haykin, S.: Neural Networks: A Comprehensive Foundation, 2nd edn. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Montavon, G., Orr, G.B., Müller, K.-R. (eds.): Neural Networks: Tricks of the Trade, 2nd edn. LNCS, vol. 7700. Springer, Heidelberg (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Rojas, R.: Neural Networks A Systematic Introduction. Springer, Berlin (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Sejnowski, T.J., Rosenberg, C.R.: Parallel Networks that Learn to Pronounce English Text. Complex Systems 1 (1987)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Tobias, P., Moat, H.S.: Stanley, H. E.: Quantifying Trading Behavior in Financial Markets Using Google Trends. Scientific Reports 3: 1684 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Tudor, N.L.: Neural networks. Matlab applications. MATRIX ROM Publishing House Bucharest (2012) (in Romanian)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Tudor, N.L.: Logic programming and expert systems. Visual Prolog and Exsys applications. MATRIX ROM Publishing House Bucharest (2012) (in Romanian)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Tudor, L.: Intelligent system based on supervised learning for predicting the evolution of stock exchange transactions. In: 22nd IBIMA International Business Information Management Conference, Italy, pp. 1128–1134 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Won, Y., Gader, P.: Morphological Shared-Weight Neural Network for Pattern Classification and Automatic Target Detection. Recognition, Electronics and Telecommunications Research Institute, Daejon (1995)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this paper

Cite this paper

Tudor, N.L. (2014). Intelligent System for Time Series Prediction in Stock Exchange Markets. In: Abramowicz, W., Kokkinaki, A. (eds) Business Information Systems. BIS 2014. Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, vol 176. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-06695-0_11

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-06695-0_11

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-06694-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-06695-0

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics