Abstract
Global decision making is highly complex not only because of the intricacies of the scientific and technical issues involved, but also because of the various features of negotiation. The intractability of negotiation is evidenced by the contentious nature of relations between parties. Negotiation presupposes a condition where several conflict cleavages frame how actors behave. Failing to systematically address these conflict cleavages is likely to either hinder decision-making or reduce the efficacy and specificity of decisions reached. Complexity limits the analytical capacity of causal analyses. When dynamics are self-enforced and when the multidimensionality of causalities is rather imposed, without adequate preparation, decision makers may easily be overwhelmed by the volume of information leading to either resignation or inefficiency.
“By three methods we may learn wisdom: First by reflection, which is noblest;
Second, by imitation, which is the easiest;
and third, by experience, which is the bitterest” (Confucius)
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Hernández, A.M. (2014). Complexities in Global Climate Talks: Stumbling Blocks to Decision Making. In: Strategic Facilitation of Complex Decision-Making. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-06197-9_5
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