Advertisement

Human Development Dynamics: An Agent Based Simulation of Adaptive Heterogeneous Games and Social Systems

  • Mark Abdollahian
  • Zining Yang
  • Patrick deWerk Neal
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 8393)

Abstract

In the context of modernization and development, the complex adaptive systems framework can help address the coupling of macro social constraint and opportunity with individual agency. Combining system dynamics and agent based modeling, we formalize the Human Development (HD) perspective with a system of asymmetric, coupled nonlinear equations empirically validated from World Values Survey (WVS) data, capturing the core qualitative logic of HD theory. Using a simple evolutionary game approach, we fuse endogenously derived individual socio-economic attribute changes with Prisoner’s Dilemma spatial intra-societal economic transactions. We then explore a new human development dynamics (HDD) model behavior via quasi-global simulation methods to explore economic development, cultural plasticity, social and political change.

Keywords

economic development modernization cultural shift democratization co-evolution game theory agent based model techno-social simulation complex adaptive systems 

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. 1.
    Abdollahian, M.A., Coan, T., Oh, H.N., Yesilda, B.: Dynamics of cultural change: the human development perspective. International Studies Quarterly, 1–17 (2012)Google Scholar
  2. 2.
    Acemoglu, D., Robinson, J.: Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty. Crown Business, New York (2012)Google Scholar
  3. 3.
    Axelrod, R.: The evolution of strategies in the iterated Prisoner’s Dilemma. In: Davis, L. (ed.) Genetic Algorithms and Simulated Annealing, pp. 32–41. Morgan Kaufman, Los Altos (1987)Google Scholar
  4. 4.
    Axelrod, R.: The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1997a)Google Scholar
  5. 5.
    Axelrod, R.: The dissemination of culture: a model with local convergence and global polarization. Journal of Conflict Resolution 41, 203–226 (1997b)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  6. 6.
    Barro, R.: Economic growth in a cross section of countries. Quarterly Journal of Economics 106(2), 407–444 (1991)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  7. 7.
    Bell, D.: The Coming of Postindustrial Society. Basic Books, New York (1973)Google Scholar
  8. 8.
    Binmore, K.G.: Game Theory and the Social Contract. MIT Press, Cambridge (1994)Google Scholar
  9. 9.
    Boix, C., Stoke, S.: Endogenous democratization. World Politics 55, 517–549 (2003)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  10. 10.
    Caselli, F., Esquivel, G., Lefort, F.: Reopening the convergence debate: a new look at cross-country growth empirics. Journal of Economic Growth 1(3), 363–389 (1996)CrossRefzbMATHGoogle Scholar
  11. 11.
    Darity, W.: Social Judgment Theory. Macmillan Reference USA, Detroit (2008)Google Scholar
  12. 12.
    Diamond, L.: Economic development and democracy reconsidered. In: Diamond, L., Marks, G. (eds.) Reexamining Democracy. Sage, London (1992)Google Scholar
  13. 13.
    Eckstein, H., Gurr, T.R.: Patterns of Authority: A Structural Basis for Political Inquiry. John Wiley & Sons, New York (1975)Google Scholar
  14. 14.
    Feng, Y.: Democracy, Governance, and Economic Performance: Theory and Evidence. The MIT Press, Cambridge (2003)Google Scholar
  15. 15.
    Griffin, E.: A First Look at Communication Theory. McGraw-Hill Higher Education, Boston (2009)Google Scholar
  16. 16.
    Gurr, T.R.: Why Men Rebel. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1970)Google Scholar
  17. 17.
    Inglehart, R.: Modernization and Postmodernization: Cultural, Economic and Political Change in 43 Societies. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1997)Google Scholar
  18. 18.
    Inglehart, R., Baker, W.E.: Modernization, cultural change, and the persistence of traditional values. American Sociological Review 65, 19–51 (2000)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  19. 19.
    Inglehart, R., Welzel, C.: Modernization, Cultural Change, and Democracy: The Human Development Sequence. Cambridge University Press, New York (2005)Google Scholar
  20. 20.
    Kauffman, S.A.: The Origins of Order: Self-Organization and Selection in Evolution. Oxford University Press, Oxford (1993)Google Scholar
  21. 21.
    Mankiw, N.G., Romer, D., Weil, D.N.: A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, 407–437 (1992)CrossRefzbMATHGoogle Scholar
  22. 22.
    McPherson, M., Smith-Lovin, L., Cook, J.: Birds of a feather: homophily in social networks. Annual Review of Sociology 27, 415–444 (2001)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  23. 23.
    Moyano, L.G., Sanchez, A.: Spatial Prisoner’s Dilemma with Heterogeneous Agents. Elsevier Manuscript (2013)Google Scholar
  24. 24.
    Nowak, M.A., Sigmund, K.A.: Strategy of win-stay, lose-shift that outperforms tit-for-tat in the prisoner’s dilemma game. Nature 364, 56–58 (1993)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  25. 25.
    Nowak, M.A., Sigmund, K.A.: Evolution of indirect reciprocity by image scoring. Nature 393, 573–577 (1998)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  26. 26.
    Quek, H.Y., Tan, K.C., Abbass, H.A.: Evolutionary game theoretic approach for modeling civil violence. IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation 13, 1–21 (2009)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  27. 27.
    Sala-i-Martin, X.X.: Regional cohesion: evidence and theories of regional growth and convergence. European Economic Review 40, 1325–1352 (1996)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  28. 28.
    Siero, F.W., Doosje, B.J.: Attitude change following persuasive communication: Integrating social judgment theory and the elaboration likelihood model. Journal of Social Psychology 23, 541–554 (1993)Google Scholar
  29. 29.
    Snijders, T.A., Steglich, C.E., Schweinberger, M.: Modeling the co-evolution of networks and behavior. Longitudinal Models in the Behavioral and Related Sciences, 41–71 (2007)Google Scholar
  30. 30.
    Solow, R.: A contribution to the theory of economic growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 70, 65–94 (1956)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  31. 31.
    Swan, T.: Economic growth and capital accumulation. Economic Record 32, 334–361 (1956)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  32. 32.
    Vespignani, A.: Predicting the behavior of techno-social systems. Science 325, 425–428 (2009)CrossRefzbMATHMathSciNetGoogle Scholar
  33. 33.
    Welzel, C., Inglehart, R., Klingemann, H.: The theory of human development: a cross-cultural development. European Journal of Political Science 42, 341–380 (2003)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  34. 34.
    Wilensky, U.: NetLogo. Center for Connected Learning and Computer-Based Modeling, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL (1999), http://ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/
  35. 35.
    Zheleva, E., Sharara, H., Getoor, L.: Co-evolution of social and affiliation networks. In: Proceedings of the 15th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. ACM, New York (2009)Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014

Authors and Affiliations

  • Mark Abdollahian
    • 1
  • Zining Yang
    • 1
  • Patrick deWerk Neal
    • 1
  1. 1.School of Politics and EconomicsClaremont Graduate UniversityClaremontUSA

Personalised recommendations