Abstract
Simply counting the number of tourists in a destination is not as simple as one might initially think. The present work intends to formalize a conceptual model by decomposing tourism nights, trips, and average duration of visit in a given destination, in terms of quantities and parameters that only for a small part could be derived from official tourism statistics. On the other hand, most of the quantities and parameters required for determining the number of tourists in a given destination are in general unknown, and need to be (directly or indirectly) estimated. Empirical evidences resulting from a survey on incoming tourism in Sicily are provided, showing the biases affecting supply-side statistics on tourism when they are used as a measure of tourism flows in a destination. The changing nature of demand and the increasing segmentation of the holyday market also raise the need for more accurate, destination-based, information, and the model proposed can assist destination managers and researchers in facing the problem of quantifying and analysing tourism behaviours.
The paper is a common work of both the authors; however, Sects. 2, 2.1, 2.3, and 4 are due to Stefano De Cantis, and Sects. 1, 2.2, and 3 are due to Mauro Ferrante.
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De Cantis, S., Ferrante, M. (2014). Tourism Statistics for Destination Management: The Trips/Arrivals Model. In: Crescenzi, F., Mignani, S. (eds) Statistical Methods and Applications from a Historical Perspective. Studies in Theoretical and Applied Statistics(). Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-05552-7_32
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