Abstract
The 9/11 attacks dramatically stressed the fragility of our CI against terrorist and criminal actions. For their peculiarities and symbolic value, CI are largely exposed to attacks, as evident by the large number of targeted incidents that occurred. Within this context, the Railway Infrastructure System (RIS) holds a high-ranking position. Vulnerability analysis and quantitative simulation approach play a crucial role in identifying weak-points and outlying new and more appealing protection strategies. In this chapter, a vulnerability assessment mean fulfilled through a synergic use of System Dynamics method, CPTED (Crime Prevention Through Environmental Design) multidisciplinary approach and crime opportunity theories is depicted. The aim consists in analyzing how different factors may influence the railway asset attractiveness, fragility and vulnerability. Starting from the CPTED technique and situational crime prevention theories, we were able to outline which are the main physical, social and environmental aspects that provide opportunity for criminality in railway scenarios. Using the System Dynamics approach, we propose a pattern to model the railway asset scenario, integrating physical aspects and social factors. Results of simulations reproducing different operative conditions are presented and analyzed.
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Notes
- 1.
Readers interested in RISTAD can refer to [2] or to the website http://metrip.unicampus.it.
- 2.
Data were inferred from RISTAD, taking into account: the size of the station, the number of passengers and trains per day, the number/type of security device which the station is equipped.
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De Cillis, F., De Maggio, M.C., Setola, R. (2015). Vulnerability Assessment in RIS Scenario Through a Synergic Use of the CPTED Methodology and the System Dynamics Approach. In: Setola, R., Sforza, A., Vittorini, V., Pragliola, C. (eds) Railway Infrastructure Security. Topics in Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality, vol 27. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-04426-2_4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-04426-2_4
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