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Simulation Model of Evacuation Behavior Following a Large-Scale Earthquake that Takes into Account Various Attributes of Residents and Transient Occupants

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Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics 2012

Abstract

Understanding human behavior, such as waiting, returning home, and evacuation, after a great earthquake is very critical in establishing detailed disaster prevention planning. In the present paper, we construct a simulation model to describe how human behavior varies as a function of physical damage, such as the spread of urban fires and street blockage due to collapsed buildings. The proposed model is applied to a densely built-up area of Tokyo using a database of the spatiotemporal distribution of railroad passengers, automobile users, and pedestrians. Using the model, we attempt to demonstrate some new findings that can be applied to disaster prevention planning by examining evacuation plans and various settings in earthquake simulations.

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Acknowledgements

This research was part of an effort supported by a Grant-in-Aid (21310105) from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Health and Labor Sciences Research Grant, Scientific Research (B).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Mechanical and Environmental Informatics, Graduate School of Information Science and Engineering, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan

    Toshihiro Osaragi, Takayuki Morisawa & Takuya Oki

Authors
  1. Toshihiro Osaragi
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  2. Takayuki Morisawa
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  3. Takuya Oki
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Toshihiro Osaragi .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. und Transportsysteme (IVT), ETH Zürich Institut für Verkehrsplanung, Zürich, Switzerland

    Ulrich Weidmann

  2. Pestalozzi & Stäheli Ingenieurbüro Umwelt Mobilität Verkehr, Basel, Switzerland

    Uwe Kirsch

  3. und Verkehr, Universität Duisburg-Essen Physik von Transport, Duisburg, Germany

    Michael Schreckenberg

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Osaragi, T., Morisawa, T., Oki, T. (2014). Simulation Model of Evacuation Behavior Following a Large-Scale Earthquake that Takes into Account Various Attributes of Residents and Transient Occupants. In: Weidmann, U., Kirsch, U., Schreckenberg, M. (eds) Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics 2012. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-02447-9_39

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