Abstract
As the priority over regional integration in Africa is gaining a political momentum, this paper draws an overview on commercial regional integration over the past 15 years in two Regional Economic Communities (REC), ECOWAS and SADC. Since WAEMU is part of ECOWAS, we distinguish their respective dynamics as they may sometimes differ. Evolution of intraregional trade from 1995 to 2010 is proxied by the ratio of intraregional exports over total national exports over detailed bilateral trade data. As widely recognized, intraregional trade has slowly evolved at low levels since 1995. Based on gravity equations and national data, our study disaggregates some determinants of intraregional trade. As expected, bad national infrastructures affect intraregional trade, so as sectoral economic trends such as industrial and manufacturing growth. We also study whether the existence of regional leaders has positive or negative influences over intraregional trade. Adverse effects seem not to exist as the leading economies’ performance appears to be positively correlated to intraregional trade. Conversely, overall economic performance of RECs’ does not systematically translate into increased intraregional trade. When differentiating exports by types of goods, differences between levels of industrialization and development of RECs become more salient. SADC appears to be less regionally integrated and is more open to global trade. Conversely, ECOWAS and WAEMU are more integrated regionally but less integrated into global trade. Beyond a political processes, intraregional exports seems therefore to be a second best solution for these countries.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Adeaoti, Alii (2012) Foresight Africa top priorities for the continent on 2012. Annual report, Africa Growth Initiative at Brookings
Alemayehu G, Haile K (2002) Regional integration in Africa: a review of problems and prospects with a case study of COMESA. Final draft
Anderson JE, van Wincoop E (2001) Gravity with gravitas: a solution to the border puzzle, NBER working paper series 8079. NBER, Cambridge, MA
Bedossa B, Letilly G (2012) La crise _conomique mondiale de 2008–2009: quels impacts dans les pays d’Afrique subsaharienne? Macrodev 2
Behar A, Edward L (2011) Trends in intra-regional and extra-regional trade flows and policy, Policy research working paper 5625. World Bank Development Research Group, Washington
Behar A, Manners P (2008) Logistics and exports, Working paper series 2008–13. Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford, Oxford
Busson F, Villa P (1994) Croissance et sp_cialisation, Working paper 1994–12, CEPII, Paris
Chauvin S, Gaulier G (2002) Regional trade integration in South Africa. Discussion paper
Cottet N, Madariaga N, Gou NJ (2012) La diversification des exportations en zone franc: degr_, sophistication et dynamique, Macrodev 3. Discussion paper
Easterly W, Reshef A (2009) Big hits in manufacturing exports and development. Discussion paper
Ellison G, Glaeser EL (1997) Geographic concentration in U.S. manufacturing industries: a dartboard approach. J Polit Econ 105(5):889–927
Flatters F, Stern M (2006) SACU revenue sharing: issues and options. Policy brief, USAID RCSA and USAID South Africa (under Trade Policy Development Project and Support for Growth and Analysis II)
Freund C, Rocha N (2011) What constrains Africa’s exports? World Bank Econ Rev 25(3):361–386
Gaulier G, Zignago S (2010) BACI: international trade database at the product-level the 1994–2007 Version, Working paper 2010–23. CEPII, Paris
Hammouda B, Karingi N, Jallab S (2009) Why doesn’t regional integration improve income convergence in Africa? Afr Dev Rev 21(2):291–330, Wiley
Head K, Mayer T, Ries J (2010) The erosion of colonial trade linkages after independence. J Int Econ 81(1):1–14
Kepaptsoglou K, Karlaftis MG, Tsamboulas D (2010) The gravity model specification for modeling international trade flows and free trade agreement effects: a 10-year review of empirical studies. Open Econ J 3:1–13
Krugman P (1980) Scales economies, product differentiation and the pattern of trades. Am Econ Rev 70(5):950–959
Krugman P (1991) Increasing returns and economic geography. J Polit Econ 99(1):483–499
Krugman P, Venables AJ (1990) Integration and the competitive of peripheral industry, Discussion paper 363. Centre for Economic Policy Research, London
Madariaga N (2010) Mesure et Evolution récentede l’intégration commerciale en zone Franc. Macrodev, n°1
Maringwa J (2009) SADC regional integration: what role has bilateral trade agreements played in promoting regional trade? Discussion paper, Trade & Industrial Policy Strategies, AusAID
Nunn N (2009) The importance of history for economic development. Annu Rev Econ 1(1):65–92
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Additional information
Disclaimer
This paper does not reflect any of the views of the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs, or those of the Ecole Nationale de la Statisique et de l’Administration Economique. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors.
Appendices
Appendix 1: Evolution of Imports and Exports for SADC and ECOWAS
Appendix 2: Share of Global Flows in 2010
Imports | Exports | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Country | Share of exchanges | Global rank | Share of exchanges | Global rank | ||||
WAEMU | Merchandises | Services | Merchandises | Services | Merchandises | Services | Merchandises | Services |
Benin | 0.01 | 0.02 | 148 | 148 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 140 | 151 |
Burkina Faso | 0.01 | 0.02 | 151 | 142 | 0.01 | 0 | 142 | 163 |
Cote d’Ivoire | 0.05 | 0.06 | 99 | 95 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 82 | 126 |
Guinee-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 195 | 190 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 190 |
Mali | 0.02 | 0.03 | 138 | 130 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 128 | 144 |
Niger | 0.01 | 0.03 | 144 | 120 | 0.01 | 0 | 147 | 171 |
Senegal | 0.03 | 0.03 | 119 | 122 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 125 | 118 |
Togo | 0.01 | 0.01 | 157 | 154 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 155 | 148 |
WAEMU | 0.14 | 0.2 | 143.9 | 137.6 | 0.14 | 13.1 | 151.4 |
Appendix 3: Exports Adressee Over Time
Percentage of exports by destination (in terms of revenue)
SADC | ECOWAS | WAEMU | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1995–2000 | 2001–2004 | 2005–2010 | 1995–2000 | 2001–2004 | 2005–2010 | 1995–2000 | 2001–2004 | 2005-2010 | |
High income countries | 72.65 | 71.75 | 59.65 | 63.32 | 56.2 | 47.32 | 51.15 | 39.78 | 37.7 |
Arab-world | 2.07 | 1.65 | 2.9 | 1.57 | 1.1 | 1.86 | 2.51 | 1.81 | 2.57 |
Developing countries in SSA | 12.04 | 13.56 | 18.45 | 12.1 | 19.43 | 20.4 | 21.35 | 34.91 | 33.71 |
Developing countries outside SSA | 9.98 | 10.09 | 19.64 | 15.44 | 16.13 | 24.62 | 24.67 | 19.78 | 24.07 |
Appendix 4: Openness Rate
REC and leading country’s openness rate over the period
REC | 1995–2000 | 2001–2004 | 2005–2010 |
---|---|---|---|
SADC | 0.56 | 0.33 | 0.74 |
SACU | 0.52 | 0.58 | 0.63 |
ECOWAS | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.36 |
Nigeria | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.70 |
WAEMU | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
Cote d’Ivoire | 0.74 | 0.81 | 0.85 |
Appendix 5: Basic Gravitational Model and Augmented Equations
5.1 SADC OLS Estimates, 1995–2010
Fixed effects were controlled by time dummies and clustering of exporters
Model 1 (gravitation equation) | Model 2 (1 + trade costs) | Model 3 (2 + economic dynamics) | Model 4 (3 + institutions) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
GDP of exporter (current mn US$) | 0.000000001 | 0.000000001 | 0.000000001 | 0.000000001* |
(0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | |
GDP of importer (current mn US$) | 0.000000001** | 0.000000000* | 0.000000001* | 0.000000000 |
(0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | |
Weighted distance (population-weight, km) | −0.000003004*** | −0.000002914*** | −0.000002885*** | −0.000001954*** |
(0.000000838) | (0.000000811) | (0.000000800) | (0.000000512) | |
Exporter | ||||
Cost to export (US$ per container) | −0.000012448 | −0.000011709 | −0.000011726 | |
(0.000006686) | (0.000006054) | (0.000006035) | ||
Cost to import (US$ per container) | 0.000008550 | 0.000007970 | 0.00000685 | |
(0.000005414) | (0.000005030) | (0.000005220) | ||
Time to import (days) | 0.000173185* | 0.000198581* | 0.000228833** | |
(0.000078263) | (0.000085367) | (0.000083857) | ||
Tariff rate, applied, weighted mean, all products (%) | 0.000006846 | 0.000021378 | 0.000011251 | |
(0.000024706) | (0.000026089) | (0.000022954) | ||
Cost to import (US$ per container) | 0.000000132 | 0.000000401 | −0.000000136 | |
(0.000000510) | (0.000000399) | (0.000000294) | ||
Tariff rate, applied, weighted mean, all products (%) | 0.000032694 | 0.000026469* | 0.000013999 | |
(0.000017001) | (0.000011181) | (0.000011366) | ||
Roads, paved (% of total roads) | −0.000029349 | −0.000010680 | ||
(0.000020205) | (0.000013149) | |||
Imports of goods and services (annual % growth) | −0.000007605 | −0.000018766 | ||
(0.000053674) | (0.000054253) | |||
Exports of goods and services (annual % growth) | 0.000070816 | 0.000056221 | ||
(0.000059433) | (0.000051594) | |||
Industry, value added (annual % growth) | 0.000009226 | 0.000004208 | ||
(0.000072071) | (0.000058474) | |||
Agriculture, value added (annual % growth) | −0.000010594 | −0.000013587 | ||
(0.000070553) | (0.000061138) | |||
Services, etc., value added (annual % growth) | −0.000148587 | −0.000166438 | ||
(0.000140470) | (0.000139898) | |||
Manufacturing, value added (annual % growth) | −0.000114466* | −0.000097469* | ||
(0.000054550) | (0.000047385) | |||
Importer | ||||
Roads, paved (% of total roads) | −0.000010782 | 0.000007247 | ||
(0.000006728) | (0.000007129) | |||
Imports of goods and services (annual % growth) | 0.000010774 | 0.000001520 | ||
(0.000011594) | (0.000014575) | |||
Exports of goods and services (annual % growth) | −0.000016723 | −0.000037042* | ||
(0.000015576) | (0.000016295) | |||
Industry, value added (annual % growth) | 0.000066738* | 0.000070025** | ||
(0.000029604) | (0.000025805) | |||
Agriculture, value added (annual % growth) | 0.000037383 | 0.000045505 | ||
(0.000021450) | (0.000023248) | |||
Services, etc., value added (annual % growth) | 0.000027666 | 0.000023322 | ||
(0.000050221) | (0.000046408) | |||
Manufacturing, value added (annual % growth) | −0.000014076 | 0.000007503 | ||
(0.000012133) | (0.000014244) | |||
Regional characteristics | ||||
Gdp of leader (constant 2000 US $) | −0.000000000 | −0.000000000 | ||
(0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | |||
Gdp of region (constant 2000 US $) | 0.000000000 | 0.000000000 | ||
(0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | |||
Battle-related deaths (exporter)(number of people) | −0.000002088* | |||
(0.000000824) | ||||
Battle-related deaths (importer) (number of people) | −0.000001408*** | |||
(0.000000406) | ||||
One for contiguity | 0.099817336*** | |||
(0.029764886) | ||||
One if a language is spoken by at least 9 % of the | 0.004121298** | |||
Population in both countries | (0.001508841) | |||
Common legal origin | −0.000580729 | |||
(0.000898401) | ||||
One for common colonizer post 1945 | 0.001117352 | |||
(0.001974749) | ||||
Constant | 0.028849828*** | 0.026713916*** | 0.029642768*** | 0.018059550*** |
(0.007876255) | (0.007193926) | (0.008225510) | (0.005087587) |
5.2 ECOWAS OLS Estimates, 1995–2010
Fixed effects were controlled by time dummies and clustering of exporters
Model 1 (gravitation equation) | Model 2 (1 + trade costs) | Model 3 (2 + economic dynamics) | Model 4 (3 + institutions) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
GDP of exporter (current mn US$) | −0.000000960* | −0.000001132* | −0.000001173* | −0.000015005* |
(0.000000326) | (0.000000465) | (0.000000533) | (0.000004826) | |
GDP of importer (current mn US$) | −0.000000087 | −0.000000061 | −0.000000151 | 0.000001939 |
(0.000000131) | (0.000000101) | (0.000000071) | (0.000004457) | |
Weighted distance (pop-wt, km) | 0.000005193 | 0.000006148 | 0.000005238 | 0.000075857 |
(0.000009137) | (0.000010041) | (0.000009545) | (0.000190024) | |
Exporter | ||||
Cost to export (US$ per container) | −0.000115243 | −0.000108617 | 0.000459655* | |
(0.000091437) | (0.000104151) | (0.000155192) | ||
Cost to import (US$ per container) | 0.000050395 | 0.000043277 | −0.001066940 | |
(0.000083671) | (0.000079621) | (0.000606337) | ||
Time to import (days) | 0.000924354 | 0.000736402 | 0.010367521 | |
(0.002546651) | (0.002977881) | (0.007412750) | ||
Tariff rate, applied, weighted (%) mean, all products | 0.003520863 | 0.003746173 | 0.018791017* | |
(0.003922823) | (0.003764270) | (0.006556396) | ||
Cost to import (US$ per container) | 0.000014441 | 0.000005392 | 0.000774740* | |
(0.000015366) | (0.000006381) | (0.000296712) | ||
Tariff rate, applied, weighted(%) mean, all products | 0.000686430 | 0.000421525 | −0.021068090 | |
(0.000551083) | (0.000431472) | (0.013394095) | ||
Roads, paved (% of total roads) | 0.000036881 | −0.002504209 | ||
(0.001157985) | (0.001797708) | |||
Imports of goods and services (annual % growth) | 0.000378399 | −0.020548336 | ||
(0.001039557) | (0.022497233) | |||
Exports of goods and services (annual % growth) | 0.000276975 | 0.005332885 | ||
(0.001674619) | (0.007611829) | |||
Industry, value added (annual % growth) | 0.000453099 | 0.098618160* | ||
(0.002276938) | (0.033762821) | |||
Agriculture, value added (annual % growth) | 0.001121895 | −0.006290263 | ||
(0.001469741) | (0.006273985) | |||
Services, etc., value added (annual % growth) | 0.002887031 | 0.014486231 | ||
(0.003784952) | (0.013672443) | |||
Manufacturing, value added (annual % growth) | 0.003395197 | −0.077503931* | ||
(0.002307559) | (0.033539057) | |||
Importer | ||||
Roads, paved (% of total roads) | −0.000285483 | 0.000742602 | ||
(0.000275832) | (0.003777166) | |||
Imports of goods and services (annual % growth) | −0.000302464 | 0.014471593 | ||
(0.000453357) | (0.017789164) | |||
Exports of goods and services (annual % growth) | −0.000308690 | 0.002742438 | ||
(0.000398954) | (0.006664289) | |||
Industry, value added (annual % growth) | 0.000031377 | −0.091392420 | ||
(0.000318239) | (0.042510859) | |||
Agriculture, value added (annual % growth) | 0.000182207 | 0.006297388 | ||
(0.000302425) | (0.006035650) | |||
Services, etc., value added (annual % growth) | 0.000198404 | 0.012793635 | ||
(0.000445730) | (0.011674590) | |||
Manufacturing, value added (annual % growth) | −0.000578954 | 0.057728605 | ||
(0.000540759) | (0.034012653) | |||
Regional characteristics | ||||
GDP of leading country (current 2000 $) | 0.000000000 | 0.000000000 | ||
(0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | |||
GDP of ECOWAS region (constant 2000 $) | −0.000000000 | −0.000000000 | ||
(0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | |||
Battle-related deaths (number of people) | −0.000081264 | |||
(0.000070125) | ||||
Battle-related deaths (number of people) | 0.000068705 | |||
(0.000060424) | ||||
One for contiguity | −0.059559681 | |||
(0.271821973) | ||||
One if a language is spoken by at least 9 % of the | 1.599560467 | |||
Population in both countries | (0.828583121) | |||
Common legal origin | 0.102372882 | |||
(0.216002581) | ||||
One for common colonizer post 1945 | −1.586363038 | |||
(0.820105020) | ||||
Constant | 0.187384902*** | 0.167476627*** | 0.137809526** | −0.079552334 |
(0.041405699) | (0.039919778) | (0.042599790) | (0.495759783) |
5.3 WAEMU OLS Estimates, 1995–2010
Fixed effects were controlled by time dummies and clustering of exporters
Model 1 (gravitation equation) | Model 2 (1 + trade costs) | Model 3 (2 + economic dynamics) | Model 4 (3 + institutions) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
GDP of exporter (current mn US$) | −0.000000000 | −0.000000000 | −0.000000000 | −0.000000000 |
(0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | |
GDP of importer (current mn US$) | −0.000000000* | −0.000000000* | −0.000000000 | 0.000000000 |
(0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | |
Weighted distance (pop-wt, km) | −0.000001779*** | −0.000001791*** | −0.000001757*** | −0.000000798*** |
(0.000000401) | (0.000000399) | (0.000000389) | (0.000000214) | |
Exporter | ||||
Cost to export (US$ per container) | −0.000009936* | −0.000009299* | −0.000008130* | |
(0.000004289) | (0.000004572) | (0.000003976) | ||
Cost to import (US$ per container) | 0.000005274 | 0.000004745 | 0.000004186 | |
(0.000003494) | (0.000003494) | (0.000003209) | ||
Time to import (days) | 0.000064534 | 0.000058168 | 0.000032796 | |
(0.000096272) | (0.000097278) | (0.000096182) | ||
Tariff rate, applied, weighted mean, all products (%) | 0.000118866 | 0.000095386 | 0.000075451 | |
(0.000091782) | (0.000086703) | (0.000088764) | ||
Cost to import (US$ per container) | 0.000000942 | 0.000000770 | 0.000000942 | |
(0.000000840) | (0.000000775) | (0.000000758) | ||
Tariff rate, applied, weighted mean, all products (%) | 0.000111615 | 0.000087984 | 0.000076596 | |
(0.000074316) | (0.000072198) | (0.000079729) | ||
Roads, paved (% of total roads) | −0.000055291*** | −0.000037049** | ||
(0.000015385) | (0.000013674) | |||
Imports of goods and services (annual % growth) | −0.000035008 | −0.000012145 | ||
(0.000029788) | (0.000031593) | |||
Exports of goods and services (annual % growth) | −0.000048767 | −0.000016545 | ||
(0.000072200) | (0.000069934) | |||
Industry, value added (annual % growth) | 0.000148573* | 0.000101431 | ||
(0.000069662) | (0.000066706) | |||
Agriculture, value added (annual % growth) | 0.000086167 | 0.000057251 | ||
(0.000050273) | (0.000044947) | |||
Services, etc., value added (annual % growth) | 0.000036206 | 0.000060004 | ||
(0.000152650) | (0.000152550) | |||
Manufacturing, value added (annual % growth) | −0.000041814 | −0.000016755 | ||
(0.000038035) | (0.000039536) | |||
Importer | ||||
Roads, paved (% of total roads) | −0.000049864*** | −0.000030800*** | ||
(0.000012704) | (0.000008273) | |||
Imports of goods and services (annual % growth) | −0.000008420 | 0.000008147 | ||
(0.000022849) | (0.000025243) | |||
Exports of goods and services (annual % growth) | −0.000053836** | −0.000026318 | ||
(0.000020593) | (0.000018607) | |||
Industry, value added (annual % growth) | 0.000020976 | 0.000000716 | ||
(0.000026313) | (0.000019149) | |||
Agriculture, value added (annual % growth) | 0.000046383* | 0.000023266 | ||
(0.000020890) | (0.000015461) | |||
Services, etc., value added (annual % growth) | −0.000010895 | 0.000026368 | ||
(0.000056939) | (0.000054923) | |||
Manufacturing, value added (annual % growth) | −0.000006651 | 0.000013370 | ||
(0.000011822) | (0.000018074) | |||
Regional Characteristics | ||||
GDP of leading country constant 2000 $ | 0.000000000 | 0.000000000 | ||
(0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | |||
GDP of UEMOA region constant 2000 $ | −0.000000000 | −0.000000000 | ||
(0.000000000) | (0.000000000) | |||
Battle-related deaths, exporter (number of people) | −0.000000809 | |||
(0.000000492) | ||||
Battle-related deaths, importer (number of people) | −0.000000809*** | |||
(0.000000159) | ||||
One for contiguity | 0.051125214*** | |||
(0.013101407) | ||||
One if a language is spoken by at least 9 % of the population in both countries | 0.014887259*** | |||
(0.003690201) | ||||
Constant | 0.016294816*** | 0.015272784*** | 0.017400122*** | 0.006183705** |
(0.003662205) | (0.003283899) | (0.003799242) | (0.001855934) |
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Fall, F., Vachon, B., Winckler, C. (2014). Regional Integration: Comparison Between SADC and ECOWAS. In: Seck, D. (eds) Regional Economic Integration in West Africa. Advances in African Economic, Social and Political Development. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-01282-7_9
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-01282-7_9
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-01281-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-01282-7
eBook Packages: Business and EconomicsEconomics and Finance (R0)