Abstract
We maintain that it cannot but be the case that there is low inflation in the EMU; actual inflation is hidden below the statistics and the sizeable movements in relative prices which as a result of the credit and monetary expansions, set in motion sizeable reallocations of investment as well as new investment which is, in fact, malinvestent. The flight from euro is documented in the recent increases of gold’s prices, so we hardly need any evidence in addition to that. But the flight from euro can result only as the result of depreciation relative to the US dollar and the associated inflation in the eurozone.
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Notes
- 1.
For a documented flight from the Deutschemark during the hyperinflation see Sargent (1986, pp. 83-84).
Reference
Giavazzi F, Giovannini L (2010) The low interest rate trap, http://www.voxeu.org/article/low-interest-rate-trap
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Tsionas, E.G. (2014). Fundamental Problems of the Eurozone. In: The Euro and International Financial Stability. Financial and Monetary Policy Studies, vol 37. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-01171-4_21
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-01171-4_21
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