Abstract
We make a survey over recent developments in stochastic modelling of power markets, with a particular focus on the application of stationary processes. We analyse the class of Lévy semistationary processes proposed by Barndorff-Nielsen, Benth and Veraart [1] for modelling electricity spot prices. We suggest and analyse different numerical methods for simulating the paths of these processes, a particulary important question for risk management studies in power markets. Finally, we discuss the aspect of pricing forward contracts based on a class of stationary models, and review some implications.
Mathematics Subject Classification (2010). Primary 60G10; Secondary 91B28, 65C05, 65C20.
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References
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Benth, F.E., Eyjolfsson, H. (2013). Stochastic Modeling of Power Markets Using Stationary Processes. In: Dalang, R., Dozzi, M., Russo, F. (eds) Seminar on Stochastic Analysis, Random Fields and Applications VII. Progress in Probability, vol 67. Birkhäuser, Basel. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-0348-0545-2_14
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-0348-0545-2_14
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