Abstract
Self-driving technology is part of smart city ecosystems, and it touches a broader research domain. There are advantages associated with using this technology, such as improved quality of life, reduced pollution, and reduced fuel cost to name a few. However, there are emerging concerns, such as the impact of this technology on transportation systems, safety, trust, affordability, control, etc. Furthermore, self-driving cars depend on highly complex algorithms. The purpose of this research is to identify research agendas and innovative ideas using unsupervised machine learning, dynamic topic modeling, and to identify the evolution of topics and emerging trends. The identified trends can be used to guide academia, innovation intermediaries, R&D centers, and the auto industry in eliciting and evaluating ideas. The research agendas and innovative ideas identified are related to intelligent transportation, computer vision, control and safety, sensor design and use, machine learning and algorithms, navigation, and human-driver interaction. The result of this study shows that trending terms are safety, trust, transportation system (traffic, modeling traffic, parking, roads, power utilization, the buzzword smart, shared resources), design for the disabled, steering and control, requirement handling, machine learning, LIDAR (Light Detection And Ranging) sensor, real-time 3D image processing, navigation, and others.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Howard, D., Dai, D.: Public perceptions of self-driving cars: the case of Berkeley, California. In: Transportation Research Board 93rd Annual Meeting, vol. 14, no. 4502 (2014)
Swan, M.: Connected car: quantified self becomes quantified car. J. Sens. Actuator Netw. 4(1), 2–29 (2015)
Anthopoulos, L., Janssen, M., Weerakkody, V.: A unified smart city model (USCM) for smart city conceptualization and benchmarking. In: Smart Cities and Smart Spaces: Concepts, Methodologies, Tools, and Applications, pp. 247–264. IGI Global (2019)
Gretzel, U., Werthner, H., Koo, C., Lamsfus, C.: Conceptual foundations for understanding smart tourism ecosystems. Comput. Hum. Behav. 50, 558–563 (2015)
Lin, P.: Why ethics matters for autonomous cars. In: Autonomous Driving, pp. 69–85. Springer, Heidelberg (2016)
Ayele, W.Y., Juell-Skielse, G.: Unveiling topics from scientific literature on the subject of self-driving cars using latent Dirichlet allocation. In: 2018 IEEE 9th Annual Information Technology, Electronics and Mobile Communication Conference (IEMCON), pp. 1113–1119. IEEE, November 2018
Gassmann, O., Zeschky, M., Wolff, T., Stahl, M.: Crossing the industry-line: breakthrough innovation through cross-industry alliances with ‘non-suppliers’. Long Range Plan. 43(5–6), 639–654 (2010)
Ayele, W.Y., Juell-Skielse, G., Hjalmarsson, A., Johannesson, P.: Unveiling DRD: A method for designing and refining digital innovation contest measurement models. Systems, Signs Actions 11(1), 25–53 (2018)
Ayele, W.Y., Juell-Skielse, G., Hjalmarsson, A., Johannesson, P., Rudmark, D.: Evaluating open data innovation: a measurement model for digital innovation contests. In: PACIS, p. 204, July 2015
Juell-Skielse, G., Hjalmarsson, A., Juell-Skielse, E., Johannesson, P., Rudmark, D.: Contests as innovation intermediaries in open data markets. Inf. Polity 19(3+4), 247–262 (2014)
Villani, E., Rasmussen, E., Grimaldi, R.: How intermediary organizations facilitate university–industry technology transfer: a proximity approach. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 114, 86–102 (2017)
McIntosh, T., Mulhearn, T.J., Mumford, M.D.: Taking the good with the bad: The impact of forecasting timing and valence on idea evaluation and creativity. Psychology of Aesthetics, Creativity, and the Arts (2019)
Bloom, N., Jones, C.I., Van Reenen, J., Webb, M.: Are ideas getting harder to find? (No. w23782). National Bureau of Economic Research (2017)
Salatino, A.A., Osborne, F., Motta, E.: AUGUR: forecasting the emergence of new research topics. In: Proceedings of the 18th ACM/IEEE on Joint Conference on Digital Libraries, pp. 303–312. ACM, May 2018
Small, H., Boyack, K.W., Klavans, R.: Identifying emerging topics in science and technology. Res. Policy 43(8), 1450–1467 (2014)
You, H., Li, M., Hipel, K.W., Jiang, J., Ge, B., Duan, H.: Development trend forecasting for coherent light generator technology based on patent citation network analysis. Scientometrics 111(1), 297–315 (2017)
Blei, D.M., Lafferty, J.D.: Topic models. In: Text Mining, pp. 101–124. Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton (2009)
Blei, D.M., Lafferty, J.D.: Dynamic topic models. In: Proceedings of the 23rd International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 113–120. ACM, June 2006
Steingrimsson, B., Yi, S., Jones, R., Kisialiou, M., Yi, K., Rose, Z.: Big data analytics for improving fidelity of engineering design decisions (No. 2018-01-1200). SAE Technical Paper (2018)
Ayele, W.Y., Akram, I.: Identifying emerging trends and temporal patterns about self-driving cars in scientific literature. In: Arai, K., Kapoor, S. (eds.) Advances in Computer Vision. CVC 2019. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol. 944. Springer, Cham (2020)
Marçal, R., Antonialli, F., Habib, B., Neto, A.D.M., de Lima, D.A., Yutaka, J., Luiz, A., Nicolaï, I.: Autonomous Vehicles: scientometric and bibliometric studies. In: 25th International Colloquium of Gerpisa-R/Evolutions. New technologies and Services in the Automotive Industry (2017)
Kontostathis, A., Galitsky, L.M., Pottenger, W.M., Roy, S., Phelps, D.J.: A survey of emerging trend detection in textual data mining. In: Survey of Text Mining, pp. 185–224. Springer, New York (2004)
Stöckl, S.Q.J.: The next big thing: the use of text mining analysis of crowdfunding data for technology foresight. Master’s thesis, University of Twente (2018)
Nassirtoussi, A.K., Aghabozorgi, S., Wah, T.Y., Ngo, D.C.L.: Text mining for market prediction: a systematic review. Expert Syst. Appl. 41(16), 7653–7670 (2014)
Gloor, P.A., Krauss, J., Nann, S., Fischbach, K., Schoder, D.: Web science 2.0: identifying trends through semantic social network analysis. In: 2009 International Conference on Computational Science and Engineering, August 2009, vol. 4, pp. 215–222. IEEE (2009)
Wirth, R., Hipp, J.: CRISP-DM: towards a standard process model for data mining. In: Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on the Practical Applications of Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, pp. 29–39. Citeseer, April 2000
Aghaei, C.A., Salehi, H., Yunus, M., Farhadi, H., Fooladi, M., Farhadi, M., Ale, E.N.: A comparison between two main academic literature collections: web of science and scopus databases (2013)
Mongeon, P., Paul-Hus, A.: The journal coverage of web of science and Scopus: a comparative analysis. Scientometrics 106(1), 213–228 (2016)
Blei, D.M., Ng, A.Y., Jordan, M.I.: Latent dirichlet allocation. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 3(Jan), 993–1022 (2003)
Röder, M., Both, A., Hinneburg, A. Exploring the space of topic coherence measures. In: Proceedings of the Eighth ACM International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining, pp. 399–408. ACM, February 2015
Hindle, A., Ernst, N.A., Godfrey, M.W., Mylopoulos, J.: Automated topic naming to support cross-project analysis of software maintenance activities. In: Proceedings of the 8th Working Conference on Mining Software Repositories, pp. 163–172. ACM, May 2011
Maskeri, G., Sarkar, S., Heafield, K.: Mining business topics in source code using latent dirichlet allocation. In: Proceedings of the 1st India Software Engineering Conference, pp. 113–120. ACM, February 2008
Ha, T., Beijnon, B., Kim, S., Lee, S., Kim, J.H.: Examining user perceptions of smartwatch through dynamic topic modeling. Telemat. Inf. 34(7), 1262–1273 (2017)
Box, G.E., Tiao, G.C.: Intervention analysis with applications to economic and environmental problems. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 70(349), 70–79 (1975)
Simonton, D.K.: Cross-sectional time-series experiments: some suggested statistical analyses. Psychol. Bull. 84(3), 489 (1977)
Braun, V., Clarke, V.: Using thematic analysis in psychology. Qual. Res. Psychol. 3(2), 77–101 (2006)
Litman, T.: Autonomous Vehicle Implementation Predictions, p. 28. Victoria Transport Policy Institute, Victoria (2019)
Stilgoe, J.: Machine learning, social learning and the governance of self-driving cars. Soc. Stud. Sci. 48(1), 25–56 (2018)
Van Roosmalen, L., Paquin, G.J., Steinfeld, A.M.: Quality of life technology: the state of personal transportation. Phys. Med. Rehabil. Clin. 21(1), 111–125 (2010)
Acknowledgment
The authors wish to thank Alexey Voronov (Ph.D.) and Mahedre DW Amanuel (M.Sc.) at RISE for their support in interpreting the results of the analysis. We would also like to thank Panagiotis Papapetrou (Professor) for offering constructive feedback. This study was conducted as part of the research project IQUAL (2018-04331) funded by Sweden’s Innovation Agency (Vinnova).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Appendix 1
Appendix 1
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Ayele, W.Y., Juell-Skielse, G. (2020). Eliciting Evolving Topics, Trends and Foresight about Self-driving Cars Using Dynamic Topic Modeling. In: Arai, K., Kapoor, S., Bhatia, R. (eds) Advances in Information and Communication. FICC 2020. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1129. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-39445-5_37
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-39445-5_37
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-39444-8
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-39445-5
eBook Packages: Intelligent Technologies and RoboticsIntelligent Technologies and Robotics (R0)