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Case Study 1: The China–Pakistan Economic Corridor

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China’s Belt and Road Vision

Part of the book series: Global Power Shift ((GLOBAL))

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Abstract

This chapter examines the ‘flagship’ network of energy production-transmission-and-distribution, transport-and-communications, industrial and agricultural, and infrastructure and connectivity projects announced by Chinese Premier Li Keqiang and President Xi Jinping during consecutive visits to Pakistan, and revised upwards since then. While proponents eulogise its transformative effect on Pakistan’s economic and state-building prospects, critics underscore its allegedly hidden objectives, its challenges and uncertain future. The chapter analyses CPEC’s domestic, bilateral, regional and systemic ramifications and illuminates a complex combination of positive and negative outcomes characterising such potentially transmogrifying visions, both for Pakistan and Sino-Pakistani relations, and for the South Asian regional sub-system, and the wider system itself.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Qamar (2017).

  2. 2.

    Jorgic (2017a), Gul (2017) and Report (2015).

  3. 3.

    Xi (2017).

  4. 4.

    Report (2017a).

  5. 5.

    Khan (2018a).

  6. 6.

    Bilal (2018) and Report (2016a, pp. 1–2).

  7. 7.

    Gady (2016), Macfie et al. (2015) and Panda (2015).

  8. 8.

    Tunningley (2017), Report (2016a, p. 2) and You (2007).

  9. 9.

    Siddiqui (2017) and Research Snipers (2018).

  10. 10.

    Malik (2019) and Deloitte (undated).

  11. 11.

    Mu (2019).

  12. 12.

    Fan (2019).

  13. 13.

    Bhatti and Liu (2018).

  14. 14.

    Iqbal (2017).

  15. 15.

    EIU (2019).

  16. 16.

    Xinhua (2017).

  17. 17.

    Iqbal (2017).

  18. 18.

    For more information, you can find the ‘CPEC Highway Network Map’ here: http://www.cpec.gov.pk/map-single/1 (last accessed October 16th, 2019).

  19. 19.

    For more information, you can find the ‘CPEC Highway Network Map’ here: http://www.cpec.gov.pk/map-single/1 (last accessed October 16th, 2019).

  20. 20.

    For more information, you can find the ‘CPEC Fibre Optic Project Map’ here: http://www.cpec.gov.pk/map-single/3 (last accessed October 16th, 2019).

  21. 21.

    Boao Forum for Asia (2018) and ZD (2018).

  22. 22.

    Achom (2018).

  23. 23.

    Official Spokesperson (2018).

  24. 24.

    Jacob (2017).

  25. 25.

    Peters (2017).

  26. 26.

    Bhatti and Liu (2018).

  27. 27.

    Editorial (2018a), Bhatti and Liu (2018) and Chen et al. (2018).

  28. 28.

    Butt and Butt (2015).

  29. 29.

    Jia (2018).

  30. 30.

    Sajjad (2017).

  31. 31.

    Report (2019b).

  32. 32.

    Gul (2019).

  33. 33.

    Yao and Shah (2019).

  34. 34.

    Jia (2018).

  35. 35.

    Siddiqui (2017).

  36. 36.

    Jorgic (2017b).

  37. 37.

    Bhatti and Liu (2018).

  38. 38.

    Vickery (2018), Sen (2018), PTI (2017a), Conrad (2017), Jorgic (2017b) and Fazil (2016).

  39. 39.

    Asif and Yang (2019), Singh (2013), Lambah (2016, pp. 227–237), Singh (2016), Ahmad (2016), Siddiqa (2017, pp. 108–123) and Akhund (2018).

  40. 40.

    Lambah (2016, p. 227) and Report (2016b).

  41. 41.

    Lambah (2016, p. 227).

  42. 42.

    Report (2016b); Singh (2016) and Lambah (2016, p. 227).

  43. 43.

    Siddiqa (2017, pp. 112–114).

  44. 44.

    Ali (2017c), Sharma (2013), Ganguly and Pardesi (2009), Ali (1999), Vajpayee (1998) and Hansen (1967).

  45. 45.

    Menon (2016a) and Small (2015).

  46. 46.

    Mishra (2001).

  47. 47.

    Kapila (2013).

  48. 48.

    Pastricha (2019) and Safi and Zahra-Malik (2019).

  49. 49.

    Ratcliffe (2019), Tharoor (2019) and PTI (2019a).

  50. 50.

    Kapur (2018), Bennett (2017), Report (2017b), Sheth (2015) and Report (2012).

  51. 51.

    Report (2019a).

  52. 52.

    Kumar and PTI (2019).

  53. 53.

    Amedeo (2018), DeAeth (2018), Brown et al. (2018), Editorial (2017a), Orchard (2017), Fallon (2017) and Blackwill and Tellis (2015).

  54. 54.

    Rudd (2018), Goldstein (2018), Sloan (2018) and Lampton (2018).

  55. 55.

    Gishkori (2016), Dossani and Erich (2017), Rafiq (2017), Crabtree (2018) and Report (2018a).

  56. 56.

    Kugelman (2017, pp. 15–17).

  57. 57.

    Kugelman (2017, pp. 25–27).

  58. 58.

    Trump (2017).

  59. 59.

    Trump (2017).

  60. 60.

    Trump (2017).

  61. 61.

    Thakur (2018), Roggio (2018) and Mangaldas (2018).

  62. 62.

    Miller (2018).

  63. 63.

    Nawaz (2018).

  64. 64.

    Malik and Jennings (2017).

  65. 65.

    Report (2017c).

  66. 66.

    Afzal (2017) and Nawaz (2018).

  67. 67.

    Wang and Iqbal (2017).

  68. 68.

    CPEC Coordinator (2017, p. 9).

  69. 69.

    CPEC Coordinator (2017, p. 4).

  70. 70.

    MPDR (2017a).

  71. 71.

    MPDR (2014a).

  72. 72.

    MPDR (2017b, p. 9).

  73. 73.

    MPDR (2017b, p. 10).

  74. 74.

    MPDR (2017b, pp. 14–22).

  75. 75.

    MPDR (2017b, p. 19).

  76. 76.

    MPDR (2017b, pp. 20–21).

  77. 77.

    MPDR (2017b, p. 24).

  78. 78.

    MPDR (2017b, p. 24).

  79. 79.

    Nasim (2019).

  80. 80.

    Zhao (2018).

  81. 81.

    Press Release (2018).

  82. 82.

    Raza (2017).

  83. 83.

    Rana (2017).

  84. 84.

    Chaudhury (2018) and Singh (2018).

  85. 85.

    CPEC Secretariat (2018) and Report (2018b).

  86. 86.

    Jacobs (2013), Azam (2012), Singh (1981, p. 18) and Topping (1979).

  87. 87.

    TNN (2012), Report (2014), Abdi (2017) and Jain (2018).

  88. 88.

    Topping (1979), Singh (1981, pp. 18–26) and Sering (2012).

  89. 89.

    Ram (1978).

  90. 90.

    FWO Pakistan https://www.fwo.com.pk/45-completed-projects/343-kkh. Accessed 7 July 2018.

  91. 91.

    Kazim (2012).

  92. 92.

    Huaxia (2015).

  93. 93.

    Khan (2014) and Kazim (2012).

  94. 94.

    APP (2016).

  95. 95.

    Dutt and Ninan (2015), Gupta (2015) and Joshi (2015).

  96. 96.

    Krishnamurthy (2018).

  97. 97.

    Azam (2012) and Hays (2009).

  98. 98.

    Report (2017d), PTI (2017b), Report (2017c, 2017e), Babar (2017) and Menon (2016b).

  99. 99.

    Niazi (2017) and Anwar (2014).

  100. 100.

    Ministry of Heritage and Culture (2010) and Kanwal (2018, p. 2).

  101. 101.

    Anwar (2011, p. 98).

  102. 102.

    Rizvi (2008).

  103. 103.

    Musharraf (2005).

  104. 104.

    Hassan (2005).

  105. 105.

    Anwar (2011, p. 100).

  106. 106.

    Rizvi (2008).

  107. 107.

    Khan (2012) and Aziz (2007) .

  108. 108.

    Khan (2012).

  109. 109.

    Reuters (2013).

  110. 110.

    Gul (2017) and Report (2017f).

  111. 111.

    Report (2017f).

  112. 112.

    Project Director (Water) (2017).

  113. 113.

    Khan (2019).

  114. 114.

    Jorgic (2017a).

  115. 115.

    Dasgupta (2016).

  116. 116.

    Habib (2018), Kanwal (2018), Rajagopalan (2018) and Gertz (2018).

  117. 117.

    Chan (2018), Ahmed (2018) and Report (2017g).

  118. 118.

    PTI (2016).

  119. 119.

    PTI (2017c).

  120. 120.

    Shakil (2017) and PTI (2018a).

  121. 121.

    Rolland et al. (2019).

  122. 122.

    Gul (2017).

  123. 123.

    Dumbaugh (2010).

  124. 124.

    Mattis (2017).

  125. 125.

    Markey and West (2016).

  126. 126.

    Dossani and Erich (2017).

  127. 127.

    Kanwal (2018, p. 4).

  128. 128.

    Kanwal (2018, p. 1).

  129. 129.

    Vickery (2018).

  130. 130.

    Haas (2018), Layne (2018), Steinbock (2017), Leonardo (2017), Moody (2016), Lai (2012, 2016) and Nye (2011).

  131. 131.

    Ali (2017b).

  132. 132.

    Farr (2017).

  133. 133.

    Ali (2017a).

  134. 134.

    MPDR (2014b) and Planning Commission (2013).

  135. 135.

    Smith (2013).

  136. 136.

    Report (2018c), Tanzeem (2018) and PTI (2017d, 2017e).

  137. 137.

    PTI (2019b) and Report (2017h).

  138. 138.

    APP (2018).

  139. 139.

    PTI (2018b), Report (2018d) and Zeb (2018).

  140. 140.

    Gul (2018), PTI (2018c) and Kemenade (2009).

  141. 141.

    PTI (2017).

  142. 142.

    AFP (2019).

  143. 143.

    Anadolu (2017).

  144. 144.

    Yousufzai (2018).

  145. 145.

    Reuters (2018).

  146. 146.

    Hadid and Sattar (2018).

  147. 147.

    Orchard (2018).

  148. 148.

    Dorsey (2018).

  149. 149.

    Report (2017i, 2018e).

  150. 150.

    Basit (2018).

  151. 151.

    Hussain (2017), Walsh (2007) and Baker (2007).

  152. 152.

    Tarar (2017).

  153. 153.

    Editorial (2017b), Tarar (2017) and Khan (2016).

  154. 154.

    Tarar (2017).

  155. 155.

    AFP (2017).

  156. 156.

    Legarda and Nouwens (2018).

  157. 157.

    PTI (2019c).

  158. 158.

    Khan (2018b).

  159. 159.

    Report (2018f).

  160. 160.

    Hyatt (2018).

  161. 161.

    Editorial (2018b) and Report (2018g).

  162. 162.

    Editorial (2018b).

  163. 163.

    Anderlini et al. (2018).

  164. 164.

    Awan (2018) and Yao (2018).

  165. 165.

    Spokesperson (2018a).

  166. 166.

    AP (2018).

  167. 167.

    Smith (2018).

  168. 168.

    Tanzeem (2018).

  169. 169.

    Pompeo and Turak (2018).

  170. 170.

    Pompeo et al. (2018) and Spokesperson (2018b).

  171. 171.

    Wang (2018).

  172. 172.

    Report (2016a, p. 5).

  173. 173.

    Li (2018) and Blanchard (2018).

  174. 174.

    Wen and Aziz (2005), Hu and Zardari (2008).

  175. 175.

    Hu (2018), Li and Khan (2018) and Xinhua (2018).

  176. 176.

    Butt (2019) and Harris (2019).

  177. 177.

    Report (2019b).

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Ali, S. (2020). Case Study 1: The China–Pakistan Economic Corridor. In: China’s Belt and Road Vision. Global Power Shift. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-36244-7_5

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