Skip to main content

Main Factors Driving the Open Rate of Email Marketing Campaigns

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Discovery Science (DS 2019)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 11828))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

Email Marketing is one of the most important traffic sources in Digital Marketing. It yields a high return on investment for the company and offers a cheap and fast way to reach existent or potential clients. Getting the recipients to open the email is the first step for a successful campaign. Thus, it is important to understand how marketers can improve the open rate of a marketing campaign. In this work, we analyze what are the main factors driving the open rate of financial email marketing campaigns. For that purpose, we develop a classification algorithm that can accurately predict if a campaign will be labeled as Successful or Failure. A campaign is classified as Successful if it has an open rate higher than the average, otherwise it is labeled as Failure. To achieve this, we have employed and evaluated three different classifiers. Our results showed that it is possible to predict the performance of a campaign with approximately 82% accuracy, by using the Random Forest algorithm and the redundant filter selection technique. With this model, marketers will have the chance to sooner correct potential problems in a campaign that could highly impact its revenue. Additionally, a text analysis of the subject line and preheader was performed to discover which keywords and keyword combinations trigger a higher open rate. The results obtained were then validated in a real setting through A/B testing.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 69.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 89.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    A person or company that advertises or promotes something.

  2. 2.

    Person or entity that sends the email.

  3. 3.

    Short description of the email content.

  4. 4.

    Description that complements the email subject line.

  5. 5.

    Fast, commission, credit, loan, free, money and easy.

  6. 6.

    {change; bank}, {card; free}, {fast; online}, {fast; easy} and {free; commission}.

  7. 7.

    This filter selection was performed inside each one of the ten Cross Validation loops.

References

  1. Afzal, H., Khan, M.A., ur Rehman, K., Ali, I., Wajahat, S.: Consumer’s trust in the brand: can it be built through brand reputation, brand competence and brand predictability. Int. Bus. Res. 3(1), 43 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Balakrishnan, R., Parekh, R.: Learning to predict subject-line opens for large-scale email marketing. In: 2014 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data), pp. 579–584. IEEE, October 2014

    Google Scholar 

  3. Berthold, M.R., et al.: KNIME: the konstanz information miner: version 2.0 and beyond. ACM SIGKDD Explor. Newslett. 11(1), 26–31 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Biloš, A., Turkalj, D., Kelić, I.: Open-rate controlled experiment in e-mail marketing campaigns. Trziste/Market 28(1), 93–109 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Breiman, L.: Random forests. Mach. Learn. 45(1), 5–32 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Bonfrer, A., Drèze, X.: Real-time evaluation of email campaign performance. Mark. Sci. 28(2), 251–263 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Chittenden, L., Rettie, R.: An evaluation of email marketing and factors affecting response. J. Target. Meas. Anal. Mark. 11(3), 203–217 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Email marketing industry report. https://www.campaignmonitor.com/resources/guides/2018-email-marketing-industry-report/

  9. Friedman, J.H.: Greedy function approximation: a gradient boosting machine. Ann. Stat. 29, 1189–1232 (2001)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  10. IBM Corp. Released 2016. IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Version 24.0. IBM Corp, Armonk, NY (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Jaidka, K., Goyal, T., Chhaya, N.: Predicting email and article clickthroughs with domain-adaptive language models. In: Proceedings of the 10th ACM Conference on Web Science, pp. 177–184. ACM, May 2018

    Google Scholar 

  12. Koller, D., Sahami, M.: Toward optimal feature selection. In: Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Conference on International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 284–292. ICML’96 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Luo, X., Nadanasabapathy, R., Zincir-Heywood, A.Nur, Gallant, K., Peduruge, J.: Predictive analysis on tracking emails for targeted marketing. In: Japkowicz, N., Matwin, S. (eds.) DS 2015. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 9356, pp. 116–130. Springer, Cham (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-24282-8_11

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  14. Quinlan, J.R.: Induction of decision trees. Mach. Learn. 1(1), 81–106 (1986)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Wirth, R., Hipp, J.: CRISP-DM: towards a standard process model for data mining. In: Proceedings of the Fourth International Conference on the Practical Applications of Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, pp. 29–39. Citeseer, April 2000

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work is financed by National Funds through the Portuguese funding agency, FCT - Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia within project: UID/EEA/50014/2019.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Andreia Conceição or João Gama .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Conceição, A., Gama, J. (2019). Main Factors Driving the Open Rate of Email Marketing Campaigns. In: Kralj Novak, P., Šmuc, T., Džeroski, S. (eds) Discovery Science. DS 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 11828. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33778-0_12

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33778-0_12

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-33777-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-33778-0

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics