Skip to main content

The Transition to Global Society as a Singularity of Social Evolution

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures

Part of the book series: World-Systems Evolution and Global Futures ((WSEGF))

Abstract

Dobrolyubov considers three phases of social evolution: Adaptive, Structural and Cognitive (in the past, present, and future, respectively). These phases are separated by two transitions (which can also be considered as two singularities)—the Neolithic and the Global transitions. Social evolution is based on the phases’ differing means of individual and societal competition. In the present Structural Phase, individual competition leads to inequality, whereas societal competition leads to greater uniformity of societal structure. The combination of societal expansion and evolutionary growth limits lead to lifecycles of societies. The size of interacting societies tends to increase throughout evolution towards inclusion of all humankind. This global society can be considered a final point (singularity) of the Structural evolution phase. Then society’s metamorphosis further continues in the Cognitive Phase, which might rely directly on individuals’ need for cognition and self-realization, and not on social institutions. A mathematical trend is developed for the timing of these transformations towards this global singularity. It estimates a transformation to a distinct, larger societal organization type every 2000 years starting with the early Neolithic settlements in 10,000 BCE and culminating in the Global singularity in about 4000 CE.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Barker G (2009) The agricultural revolution in prehistory: why did foragers become farmers? Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Childe G (1950) The urban revolution. Town Plan Rev 21:3–17

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Christian D (2005) Macrohistory: the play of scales. Soc Evol Hist 4(1):22–59

    Google Scholar 

  • Dawkins R (1976) The selfish gene. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Diakonoff I (1999) The paths of history. From the prehistoric man to modern times. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Dobrolyubov S (2009) Theory of society’s genesis. Soc Evol Hist 8(1):221–255

    Google Scholar 

  • Dobrolyubov S (2012a) Sociogenesis vs. Marx evolutionary determinism: the anthropic mechanism of social dynamics. Soc Evol Hist 11(1):82–123

    Google Scholar 

  • Dobrolyubov S (2012b) Polisnyy, natsional’nyy i tsivilizatsionnyy tsikly sotsiogeneza rocsiyskoy obshchnosti. Mir Rossii 2:116–143

    Google Scholar 

  • Dobrolyubov S (2012c) Kollektivnyy agent i kollektivnyy sub”yekt: nekotoryye osnovaniya kontseptualizatsii. Sotsiologicheskiy zhurnal 2:53–80

    Google Scholar 

  • Dobrolyubov S (2016) Global’noye obshchestvo kak tochka singulyarnosti i fazovogo perekhoda k novomu tipu sotsial’noy evolyutsii. Evolyutsiya 8:229–262

    Google Scholar 

  • Eisenstadt SN (2000) Multiple modernities. Daedalus 129(1):1–29

    Google Scholar 

  • Fomin A (2020) Hyperbolic evolution from biosphere to technosphere. In: Korotayev AV, LePoire D (eds) The 21st century Singularity and global futures. A Big History perspective. Springer, Cham, pp 105–118. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_5

  • Grinchenko S (2006) Meta-evolution of nature system—the framework of history. Soc Evol Hist 5(1):42–88

    Google Scholar 

  • Grinchenko S, Shchapova Y (2020) The deductive approach to Big History’s Singularity. In: Korotayev AV, LePoire D (eds) The 21st century Singularity and global futures. A Big History perspective. Springer, Cham, pp 201–210. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_10

  • Grinin L (2004) The early state and its analogues: a comparative analysis. In: Grinin LE, Carneiro RL, Bondarenko DM, Kradin NN, Korotayev AV (eds) The early state, its alternatives and analogues, Uchitel’, Volgograd, pp 88–136

    Google Scholar 

  • Grinin L (2007) Production revolutions and periodization of history: a comparative and theoretical-mathematical approach. Soc Evol Hist 6(2):75–120

    Google Scholar 

  • Grinin L (2011) Complex chiefdom: precursor of the state or its analogue? Soc Evol Hist 10(1):234–275

    Google Scholar 

  • Grinin L, Korotayev A (2009) Social macroevolution: growth of world system integrity and a system of phase transitions. World Futures 65(7):477–506. https://doi.org/10.1080/02604020902733348

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grinin L, Korotayev A (2011) Chiefdoms and their analogues: alternatives of social evolution at the societal level of medium cultural complexity. Soc Evol Hist 10(1):276–335

    Google Scholar 

  • Grinin L, Korotayev A, Markov A (2011) Biological and social phases of big history: similarities and differences of evolutionary principles and mechanisms. Evolution 2:158–198

    Google Scholar 

  • Grinin L, Grinin A, Korotayev AV (2020) Dynamics of technological growth rate and the 21st century singularity. In: Korotayev AV, LePoire D (eds) The 21st century Singularity and global futures. A Big History perspective. Springer, Cham, pp 287–344. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_14

  • Huntington SP (1996) The clash of civilizations and the remaking of world order. Simon & Schuster, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Jaspers K (1953) The origin and goal of history. Yale University Press, New Haven

    Google Scholar 

  • Kapitza S (2006) Global population blow-up and after. The demographic revolution and information society. A Report to the Club of Rome. Club of Rome, Hamburg

    Google Scholar 

  • Kenyon K (1981) Excavations at Jericho. In: The architecture and stratigraphy of the tell, vil 3. British School of Archaeology in Jerusalem, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Korotayev A (2009) Novyye tekhnologii i stsenarii budushchego, ili singulyarnost’ uzhe ryadom? In: Malkov S, Korotayev A (eds) Istoriya i sinergetika. URSS, Moscow, pp 183–191

    Google Scholar 

  • Korotayev A (2015) Singular points of big history. Archimedes singularity. Paper presented at the 2nd symposium ‘big history and global evolution’, Moscow State University. https://www.academia.edu/39090913/Korotayev_A_2015_Singular_Points_of_Big_History._Archimedes_Singularity._Paper_presented_at_the_2nd_Symposium_Big_History_and_Global_Evolution_October_27_29_2015_Moscow_State_University._SHORT_VERSION

  • Korotayev A (2018) The 21st century singularity and its big history implications: a re-analysis. J Big Hist 2(3):73–119. http://dx.doi.org/10.22339/jbh.v2i3.2320

  • Korotayev AV (2020) The 21st century Singularity in the Big History perspective. A re-analysis. In: Korotayev AV, LePoire D (eds) The 21st century Singularity and global futures. A Big History perspective. Springer, Cham, pp 19–75. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_2

  • Kradin N (2008) Early state theory and the evolution of pastoral nomads. Soc Evol Hist 7(1):107–130

    Google Scholar 

  • Kurzweil R (2005) The singularity is near. Viking Books, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Last C (2018) Cosmic evolutionary philosophy and a dialectical approach to technological singularity. Information 9(4):78–94. https://doi.org/10.3390/info9040078

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Last C (2020) Global brain: foundations of a distributed singularity. In: Korotayev AV, LePoire D (eds) The 21st century Singularity and global futures. A Big History perspective. Springer, Cham, pp 363–375. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_16

  • LePoire DJ (2013) Potential economic and energy indicators of inflection in complexity. Evolution 3:108–118

    Google Scholar 

  • LePoire DJ (2020) Exploring the singularity concept within Big History. In: Korotayev AV, LePoire D (eds) The 21st century Singularity and global futures. A Big History perspective. Springer, Cham, pp 77–97. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_3

  • Mallowan M (1970) The development of cities from al-Ubaid to the End of Uruk V. In: Edwards IES, Gadd CJ, Hammond NGL (eds) The Cambridge ancient history. Prolegomena and prehistory. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 327–462

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Marx K (1977) [1859] A contribution to the critique of political economy. Progress Publishers, Moscow

    Google Scholar 

  • Marx K (1987) [1846] The german ideology. Lawrence and Wishart, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Mead G (1934) Mind, self, and society. University of Chicago Press, Chicago

    Google Scholar 

  • Moore G (1965) Cramming more components onto integrated circuits. Electron Mag 38(8):114–117

    Google Scholar 

  • Munro N (2003) Small game, the younger Dryas, and the transition to agriculture in the Southern levant. Mitteilungen der Gesellschaft für Urgeschichte 12:47–71

    Google Scholar 

  • Nazaretyan A (2009) Technology, psychology and catastrophes: on the evolution of non-violence in human history. Soc Evol Hist 8(2):102–132

    Google Scholar 

  • Nazaretyan A (2016) Non-linear futures: the “mysterious singularity” in view of mega-history. Between past orthodoxies and the future of globalization. Contemporary philosophical problems. Brill-Rodopi, Boston, pp 171–191

    Google Scholar 

  • Nazaretyan A (2020) The 21st century’s “mysterious singularity” in the light of the Big History. In: Korotayev AV, LePoire D (eds) The 21st century Singularity and global futures. A Big History perspective. Springer, Cham, pp 345–362. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_15

  • Panov A (2005) Scaling law of the biological evolution and the hypothesis of the self-consistent galaxy origin of life. Adv Space Res 36(2):220–225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2005.03.001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Panov A (2020) Singularity of evolution and post-singular development in the Big History perspective. In: Korotayev A, LePoire D (eds) The 21st century Singularity and global futures. A Big History perspective. Springer, Cham, pp 439–465. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_20

  • Semyonov Y (2003) Filosofiya istorii. Sovremennye tetradi, Moscow

    Google Scholar 

  • Shaw I (2000) The oxford history of ancient Egypt. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Snooks GD (1996) The dynamic society. Exploring the sources of global change. Routledge, London and New York

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Vassiliev L (2008) Faktory istorii. Istoricheskaya psikhologiya i sotsiologiya istorii 1:169–195

    Google Scholar 

  • von Foerster H, Mora PM, Amiot LW (1960) Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, AD 2026. Science 132(3436):1291–1295. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.132.3436.1291

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wallerstein I (2004) World-systems analysis: an introduction. Duke University Press, Durham

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Widdowson M (2020) The 21st century Singularity: the role of perspective and perception. In: Korotayev A, LePoire D (eds) The 21st century Singularity and global futures. A Big History perspective. Springer, Cham, pp 489–516. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_22

  • Yakovets Y (1999) Tsikly. Krizisy. Prognozy, Nauka, Moscow

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sergey Dobrolyubov .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Dobrolyubov, S. (2020). The Transition to Global Society as a Singularity of Social Evolution. In: Korotayev, A., LePoire, D. (eds) The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures. World-Systems Evolution and Global Futures. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_24

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_24

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-33729-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-33730-8

  • eBook Packages: Social SciencesSocial Sciences (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics