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Earth’s Natural Pulsed Electromagnetic Field (ENPEMF) Temporal Variation Anomalies as Earthquake Precursors

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Trigger Effects in Geosystems

Abstract

Natural and man-made disasters continue to shock mankind with their abruptness and tragic consequences. We are still unable to prevent, mitigate, or even predict such natural disasters as earthquakes, rock bursts, or landslides. In order to reduce the fallout from such events, we need efficient methods to predict their location, time, and energy. The authors suggest an integrated hardware/software solution to monitor the Earth’s natural pulsed electromagnetic field (ENPEMF) pulse flow intensity temporal variations. A prototype station network is tested for monitoring different scale geodynamic processes in the lithosphere using the ENPEMF method. Its capability of early detection of seismic events and location of the earthquake epicenter bearing is discussed. This work aims to demonstrate experimentally that the analysis of the ENPEMF intensity parameter temporal variations is eligible for short-term prediction of the time and bearing of an upcoming earthquake at a distance of up to 500 km. For the first time, three stages of upcoming earthquake preparation are registered for the earthquake that took place on September 5, 2018, in the Chelyabinsk region. The earthquake precursor has manifested itself not only in the ENPEMF pulse flow intensity, but also in the incoming signal bearing estimation.

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Acknowledgements

The authors thank Sergey N. Kapustin and Mikhail M. Kabanov for a fruitful discussion of research results and the development of a web portal for the automated control system for geodynamic processes (ACS-GP) [6].

The research was carried out within state budget project No. AAAA-A17-117013050036-3 and with financial support from RFBR grant No. 18-47-700005p_a, the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of Russia (agreement No. 14.607.21.0205 as of 15.05.2018, unique identifier RFMEFI60718X0205).

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Correspondence to Vasiliy Gordeev .

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Gordeev, V., Malyshkov, S., Polivach, V., Shtalin, S. (2019). Earth’s Natural Pulsed Electromagnetic Field (ENPEMF) Temporal Variation Anomalies as Earthquake Precursors. In: Kocharyan, G., Lyakhov, A. (eds) Trigger Effects in Geosystems. Springer Proceedings in Earth and Environmental Sciences. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-31970-0_6

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