Model Analysis of Maritime Search Operation Using Geoinformation Technology

Abstract

Traditional procedure for lost objects’ search planning proposes development of probability distribution maps relies on the search object’s possible behavior before his disappearance (because of accident, disaster, etc.). A group of experts develops one or several scenarios of object’s possible behavior, and then these scenarios simulate using the Monte Carlo method. Simulation traditionally used for this purpose for more than half a century, and initial reason for that was low computational power of computers. Nowadays, it is possible to create quite complex scenarios based on analytical calculations using capabilities of modern geoinformation systems.