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Study on the Control Measures of MDRO Transmission in ICU Based on Markov Process

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Smart Service Systems, Operations Management, and Analytics (INFORMS-CSS 2019)

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Abstract

Intensive care unit (ICU) has the highest outbreak rate of Multidrug-Resistant Organisms (MDRO) infection. In this paper, the control measures of MDRO transmission in ICU were studied. Considering the incubation period and media transmission of MDRO, we combine the compartmental model and continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) to build the stochastic model of MDRO transmission in ICU. The model was expanded into a bidimensional Markov transmission model based on the heterogeneity of population. By simulation, the key factors of the transmission model were quantitatively analyzed, and the state evolution rules of patients and medical staff were studied. Then, through the sensitivity analysis , we get some manage insights to provide control suggestions for MDRO transmission in each scenario.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200082, China

    Zhu Min & Su Qiang

Authors
  1. Zhu Min
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  2. Su Qiang
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zhu Min .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Harold and Inge Marcus Department of Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA

    Hui Yang

  2. Division of Engineering and Information Science, Pennsylvania State University, Malvern, PA, USA

    Robin Qiu

  3. Department of Supply Chain Management, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, Piscataway, NJ, USA

    Weiwei Chen

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Min, Z., Qiang, S. (2020). Study on the Control Measures of MDRO Transmission in ICU Based on Markov Process. In: Yang, H., Qiu, R., Chen, W. (eds) Smart Service Systems, Operations Management, and Analytics. INFORMS-CSS 2019. Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-30967-1_32

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