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Hazard Assessment of Landslides Disasters in the City of Cubatão, State of São Paulo, Brazil

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INCREaSE 2019 (INCREaSE 2019)

Abstract

Landslides represent constant threats in mountainous regions with high rainfall and inappropriate anthropic occupation. The city of Cubatão, São Paulo State (BR), is historically affected by geotechnical disasters (23 occurrences between 2000 and 2016) and is an example of this scenario. The goal of this paper is to present a methodology of a hazard mapping considering three factors: geotechnical disaster, triggering rain, and anthropic occupation. Firstly, the disaster occurrences were spatially distributed in a GIS software to know the geology, geomorphology and geotechnical characteristics. Each one received a weight according to its recurrence, resulting in the environmental factors. Secondly, the social factors included attributes regarding population density, elderly population and poverty index. The sum of both factors resulted in the socionatural criteria. The statistical analysis of the rainfall thresholds considered the accumulated amount of 7 days, 3 days and the day of the event and their occurrence probability. Both socionatural criteria and trigger criteria received a ranking from one to five, indicating very low, low, medium, high and very high exposure. The grades composed a square matrix and the combination of both socionatural and triggering criteria resulted in eight hazards classes. As final comment, accumulated rains of three days were the one that led to higher hazard ratings.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Engineering, São Paulo State University (UNESP), Bauru, Brazil

    Paulo Rodolpho Pereira Hader, Ilza Machado Kaiser, Gustavo Garcia Manzato & Anna Silvia Palcheco Peixoto

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  1. Paulo Rodolpho Pereira Hader
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  2. Ilza Machado Kaiser
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  3. Gustavo Garcia Manzato
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  4. Anna Silvia Palcheco Peixoto
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Anna Silvia Palcheco Peixoto .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Instituto Superior de Engenharia, Universidade do Algarve, Faro, Portugal

    Jânio Monteiro

  2. Instituto Superior de Engenharia, Universidade do Algarve, Faro, Portugal

    António João Silva

  3. Instituto Superior de Engenharia, Universidade do Algarve, Faro, Portugal

    António Mortal

  4. Instituto Superior de Engenharia, Universidade do Algarve, Faro, Portugal

    Jaime Aníbal

  5. Instituto Superior de Engenharia, Universidade do Algarve, Faro, Portugal

    Manuela Moreira da Silva

  6. Instituto Superior de Engenharia, Universidade do Algarve, Faro, Portugal

    Miguel Oliveira

  7. Instituto Superior de Engenharia, Universidade do Algarve, Faro, Portugal

    Nelson Sousa

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Hader, P.R.P., Kaiser, I.M., Manzato, G.G., Peixoto, A.S.P. (2020). Hazard Assessment of Landslides Disasters in the City of Cubatão, State of São Paulo, Brazil. In: Monteiro, J., et al. INCREaSE 2019. INCREaSE 2019. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-30938-1_86

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-30938-1_86

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