Quantitative Assessment of Strategic Threats and Energy Security Indicators

  • Yuri D. KononovEmail author
Part of the Springer Geophysics book series (SPRINGERGEOPHYS)


We provide a conceptual-level overview of energy security threats and indicators. One of key strategic threats is that of a capacity shortage: possible lagging behind of fuel production centers, electric power industry, and transportation infrastructure relative to the growing demand for fuel and energy. A list of indicators is proposed for the communication of the assessment of risks and the severity of a possible capacity deficit. We propose a two-stage approach to quantitative assessment of the strategic-level threat of a capacity shortage in the energy sector that accounts for the effect of the assumed economic development scenario and a certain hypothesis underpinning the energy carriers pricing policy to the extent they can influence these threats.


Energy security Indicators Strategic threats Capacity shortage Quantitative methods 


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© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.IrkutskRussia

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