Skip to main content

Big Data in the Stochastic Model of the Passengers Flow at the Megalopolis Transport System Stops

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Communications in Computer and Information Science ((CCIS,volume 1083))

Abstract

The problem of the passengers flow model development is proposed as the subsystem of the general municipal passengers transport system operation model of megalopolis. The specific features of the application subject (Volgograd city, Russia) were detected to simplify the big data simulation problem. The difficulties caused by the high dimensionality were overcome by means of the double time scaling in passengers’ flow estimation. The hour time scale was accepted to the computation of the hourly flow from each departure stop to the city district of destination without the pointing of the specific destination stop. The minute time scale was accepted to distribute the hourly flow between the destinations stops located in this district. The algorithms of the destination stops choice simulation were carried out. The follows examples of simulation results are presented: hourly passengers flow directed to the departure stops; daily variations of districts population caused by the inter-district passengers’ flows; influence of the of competition on the municipal transport system operation; destination stops choice variants according to the stops’ attractiveness scores designed by experts.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Krushel, E.G., Stepanchenko, I.V., Panfilov, A.E., Berisheva, E.D.: An experience of optimization approach application to improve the urban passenger transport structure. In: Kravets, A., Shcherbakov, M., Kultsova, M., Iijima, T. (eds.) JCKBSE 2014. CCIS, vol. 466, pp. 27–39. Springer, Cham (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-11854-3_3

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  2. Schelenz, T., Suescun, A., Wikstrom, L., Karlsson, M.: Passenger-centered design of future buses using agent-based simulation. In: Conference on Transport Research Arena, Athens, vol. 48, pp. 1662–1671 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Bai, Y., Sun, Z., Zeng, B., Deng, J., Li, C.: A multi-pattern deep fusion model for short-term bus passenger flow forecasting. Appl. Soft Comput. 58, 669–680 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Li, D., Yuan, J., Yan, K., Chen, L.: Monte Carlo simulation on effectiveness of forecast system for passengers up and down buses. In: 3RD International Symposium on Intelligent Information Technology Application, Nanchang, pp. 359–361 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Li, W., Zhu, W.: A dynamic simulation model of passenger flow distribution on schedule-based rail transit networks with train delays. J. Traffic Transp. Eng. (English Edition) 3(4), 364–373 (2016)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  6. Dijk, J.: Identifying activity-travel points from GPS-data with multiple moving windows. Comput. Environ. Urban Syst. 70, 84–101 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Stepanchenko, I.V., Krushel, E.G., Panfilov, A.E.: The passengers’ turnout simulation for the urban transport system control decision-making process. In: Kravets, A., Shcherbakov, M., Kultsova, M., Groumpos, P. (eds.) CIT&DS 2017. CCIS, vol. 754, pp. 389–398. Springer, Cham (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65551-2_28

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  8. Maghraoui, O.A., Vallet, F., Puchinger, J., Bernard, Y.: Modeling traveler experience for designing urban mobility systems. Des. Sci. 5, E7 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Calabrese, F., Diao, M., Lorenzo, G.D., Ferreira Jr., J., Ratti, C.: Understanding individual mobility patterns from urban sensing data: a mobile phone trace example. Transp. Res. Part C 26, 301–313 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Gärling, T., Axhausen, K.W.: Introduction: habitual travel choice. Transportation 30, 1–11 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Gecchele, G., Rossi, R., Gastaldi, M., Caprini, A.: Data mining methods for traffic monitoring data analysis: a case study. Procedia Soc. Behav. Sci. 20, 455–464 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Chen, C., Ma, J., Susilo, Y., Liu, Y., Wang, M.: The promises of big data and small data for travel behavior (aka human mobility) analysis. Transp. Res. Part C Emerg. Technol. 68, 285–299 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. OpenStreetMap Homepage. https://www.openstreetmap.org/. Accessed 30 Mar 2019

  14. Google Maps Homepage. https://www.google.com/maps. Accessed 30 Mar 2019

  15. Yandex Maps Homepage. https://yandex.ru/maps/. Accessed 30 Mar 2019

  16. Regional Office of the Federal State Statistics Service in the Volgograd region, Population Homepage. http://volgastat.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_ts/volgastat/ru/statistics/population/. Accessed 30 Mar 2019

  17. Tang, J., Yang, Y., Qi, Y.: A hybrid algorithm for Urban transit schedule optimization. Physica A Stat. Mech. Appl. 512, 745–755 (2018)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  18. Levin, J.R., Ferron, J.M., Gafurov, B.S.: Additional comparisons of randomization-test procedures for single-case multiple-baseline designs: alternative effect types. J. Sch. Psychol. 63, 13–34 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Elena Krushel , Ilya Stepanchenko , Alexander Panfilov or Elena Berisheva .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Krushel, E., Stepanchenko, I., Panfilov, A., Berisheva, E. (2019). Big Data in the Stochastic Model of the Passengers Flow at the Megalopolis Transport System Stops. In: Kravets, A., Groumpos, P., Shcherbakov, M., Kultsova, M. (eds) Creativity in Intelligent Technologies and Data Science. CIT&DS 2019. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1083. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-29743-5_9

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-29743-5_9

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-29742-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-29743-5

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics