Skip to main content

Part of the book series: Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing ((STUDFUZZ,volume 387))

Abstract

The field of Futures Studies has been sculpted for 2500 years. Heraclitus, Plato, Aristotle, Parmenides, from ancient times, in addition to Jacques Bernoulli, Von Clausewitz and Von Moltke and many other authors have an invaluable intellectual contribution to the development of the field of Future Studies. The developments during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries showed multiples authors with differential theoretical and empirical proposals, but they shared the notion of collective construction of the future and the social action as key issues in the field. However, at the present time the field of Futures Studies must introduce new epistemological and ontological elements to understand the new phenomena that should be studied. Therefore, this chapter hopes to help the reader recognize the conductive threads and milestones that have shaped and will give a new shape to the field of Future Studies.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    Wells is known for his role as a visionary social critic and author of popular science fiction novels, a literary genre he pioneered.

  2. 2.

    A generic way to name the technological challenges of the turn of the millennium.

References

  • Adegoke, A., & Traoré, M. (2014). System of systems based approaches to global simulation in Africa. In Proceedings of the 2014 Annual Simulation Symposium.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bachelard, G. (1928). Essai sur la connaissance approche. Paris.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bachelard, G. (1934). Le Nouvel esprit scientifique. Paris X, France: Presses Universitaires.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bachelard, G. (1936). Dans Inquisitions, du surralisme au Front populaire. Facsimil la revue (1936) augm (s. l. documents indits, Ed.) Paris.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bachelard, G. (1938). La Formation lesprit scientifique. Paris: Librairie.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bachelard, G. (1940). La Philosophie du non. Essai dune philosophie du nouvel esprit scientifique. Paris 4, France: Presses Universitaires.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bachelard, G. (1949). Le Rationalisme appliqu. Paris 3, france: Presses Universitaires.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bañuls, V., Turoff, M., & Hiltz, S. (2013). Collaborative scenario modeling in emergency management through cross-impact. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(9), 1756–1774.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barnard, C. (1938). The functions of the executive. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barré, R., & Keenan, M. (2008). Revisiting foresight rationales: What lessons from the social sciences and humanities? In Future-oriented technology analysis (pp. 41–52). Berlin: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bell, D. (1965). The study of the future. The Public Interest, 1(119).

    Google Scholar 

  • Bell, W., & Olick, J. (1989). An epistemology for the futures field: Problems and possibilities of prediction. Futures, 21(2), 115–135.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berry, B. (1994). As 2000 approaches: Millennial conjunctures and apocalyptic prophecy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 47(1), 115–123.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berry, B. (1996). Technology-driven forecasts, the Phillips curve, and monetary policy-making. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 53(2), 155–167.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berry, B. (1997). Long waves and geography in the 21st century. Futures, 29(4–5), 301–310.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blondel, M. (1936). L’action.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blondel, M. (1893). L'action, essai d'une critique de la vie et d'une science de la pratique.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blumer, H. (1954). What is wrong with social theory? American Sociological Review, 19(1), 3–10.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bourdieu, P. (1980). Le Sens pratique. Paris: Minuit.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bourdieu, P. (1993). Sociology in question (Vol. 18). London: Sage.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bourdieu, P., Chamboredon, J., & Passeron, J. (2010). Le métier de sociologue: Préalables épistémologiques. Contient un entretien avec Pierre Bourdieu recueilli par Beate Krais (Vol. 1). Walter de Gruyter.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bradfield, R., Wright, G., Burt, G., Cairns, G., & Van Der Heijden, K. (2005). The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning. Futures, 37(8), 795–812.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brier, D. (2005). Marking the future: A review of time horizons. Futures, 37(8), 833–848.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Calderón, P. (2004). Historia de las doctrinas filosóficas. Pearson Educación.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cazes, B. (1986). Histoire des futurs. Paris: Les figures de l’avenir de saint Augustin au XXIe siècle.

    Google Scholar 

  • CEPS. (2017). Centre d’Etude et de Prospective Stratégique. Retrieved octubre 2, 2017, from CEPS: http://www.ceps-oing.org/ceps.

  • Clark, A. (2015). Surfing uncertainty: Prediction, action, and the embodied mind. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Comte, A. (1842). Cours de philosophie positive.

    Google Scholar 

  • Craik, K. (1943). The nature of explanation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1963). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458–467.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Darbellay, F. (2015). Rethinking inter-and transdisciplinarity: Undisciplined knowledge and the emergence of a new thought style. Futures, 65, 163–174.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • De Jouvenel, B. (1967). L’arte della congettura. Florencia: Vallecchi Editore.

    Google Scholar 

  • De Jouvenel, H. (1993). Sur la démarche prospective. Futuribles, 179.

    Google Scholar 

  • Derbyshire, J. (2016). The implications, challenges and benefits of a complexity-orientated Futures Studies. Futures, 77, 45–55.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dewey, J. (1896). The reflex arc concept in psychology. Psychological Review, 3.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Di Iacovo, F., Moruzzo, R., Rossignoli, C., & Scarpellini, P. (2016). Measuring the effects of transdisciplinary research: The case of a social farming project. Futures, 75, 24–35.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dickson, P. (1972). Think tanks. New York: Avon.

    Google Scholar 

  • Duperrin, J., & Godet, M. (1975). SMIC 74—a method for constructing and ranking scenarios. Futures, 7(4), 302–312.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Edmonds, B., & Meyer, R. (2015). Simulating social complexity. Berlin: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eisenhardt, K., & Graebner, M. (2007). Theory building from cases: Opportunities and challenges. The Academy of Management Journal, 50(1), 25–32.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Follet, M. (1896). The speaker in the house of representatives. New York: Burt Franklin Reprints.

    Google Scholar 

  • Follet, M. (1925). Power. In P. Graham (Eds.), Mary Parker Follett-Prophet management: A celebration writings from 1920s. Boston: Harvard Business School Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Follet, M. (1940). Dynamic administration. In H. Metcalf & L. Ulwick (Eds.), Collected papers Mary Parker Follett. New York: Harper and Brothers.

    Google Scholar 

  • Follett, M. (1918). New state: Group organization solution popular government. New York: Longman Greens and Co.

    Google Scholar 

  • Follett, M. (1949). Basis authority. In L. Urwick (Ed.), Freedom and co-ordination: Lectures business organization by Mary Parker Follett (pp. 34–46). London: Management Publications Trust Ltd.

    Google Scholar 

  • Forrest, C. (2009). A system-based, qualitative inference method of heuristics for foresight and futures studies (Doctoral dissertation). Leeds Metropolitan University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fowles, J. (1978). Handbook of futures research. Westport: Greenwood Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gantt, H. (1903). A graphical daily balance in manufacture. Transactions of the American Society of Mechanical Engineers, XXIV, 1322–1336.

    Google Scholar 

  • Georghiou, L., & Keenan, M. (2006). Evaluation of national foresight activities: Assessing rationale, process and impact. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73(7), 761–777.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gibb, C. (1947). The principles and traits of leadership. Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology, 42, 267–284.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M. (1976a). Scenarios of air transport development to 1990 by SMIC 74—A new cross-impact method. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 9(3), 279–288.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M. (1976b). SMIC 74: A reply from the authors. Futures, 8(4), 336–340.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M. (1983). Reducing the blunders in forecasting. Futures, 15(3), 181–192.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M. (1985). Prospective et planification stratégique. Paris: Editions CNAM.

    Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M. (1986). Introduction to la prospective: Seven key ideas and one scenario method. Futures, 18(2), 134–157.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M. (1988). La France malade du diplôme. Le Monde de l’Education.

    Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M. (1990a). From anticipation to action—A handbook of strategic prospective. UNESCO.

    Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M. (1990b). Integration of scenarios and strategic management: using relevant, consistent and likely scenarios. Futures, 22(7), 730–739.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M. (1995a). Estrategia y Gestión Competitiva, De la anticipación de la acción: Manual de Prospectiva y Estrategia. (Alfaomega, Ed.).

    Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M. (1995b). How to be rigorous with scenario planning. Foresight, 2(1), 5–9.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M., & Lesourne, J. (1985). La fin des habitudes. Editions Seghers.

    Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M., & Roubelat, F. (1996). Creating the future: the use and misuse of scenarios. Long Range Planning, 29(2), 164–171.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Godet, M., Monti, R., Meunier, F., & Roubelat, F. (1999). Scenarios and strategies: A toolbox for scenario planning. Paris: Librairie des Arts et Meiters.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gordon, T. (1969). Cross-impact matrices: An illustration of their use for policy analysis. Futures, 1(6), 527–531.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gordon, T., & Greenspan, D. (1994). The management of chaotic systems. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 47(1), 49–62.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gordon, T., & Hayward, H. (1968). Initial experiments with the cross impact matrix method of forecasting. Futures, 1(2), 100–116.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goux-Baudiment, F. (1996). Qu’est-ce que la prospective. Paris: Progective.

    Google Scholar 

  • Goux-Baudiment, F. (1997). Une rebellion constructive. Paris: Progective.

    Google Scholar 

  • Goux-Baudiment, F. (1998). Prospective de troisième génération: le cas de la prospective territoriale. Paris: Progective.

    Google Scholar 

  • Groff, L., & Smoker, P. (2003). Introduction to futures studies. Recuperado el 10 de 11 de 2018, de http://www5.csudh.edu/global_options/introfs.html.

  • Grübler, A., & Nakićenović, N. (1996). Decarbonizing the global energy system. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 53(1), 97–110.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hazlitt, W. (1805). An essay on the principles of human action: Being an argument in favour of the natural disinterestedness of the human mind. J. Johnson.

    Google Scholar 

  • Heidegger, M. (1927). Sein und zeit.

    Google Scholar 

  • Heiko, A., Vennemann, C., & Darkow, I. (2010). Corporate foresight and innovation management: A portfolio-approach in evaluating organizational development. Futures, 42(4), 380–393.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huber, B. (1971). Sociology of the future: Theory, cases and annotated bibliography.

    Google Scholar 

  • Husserl, E. (1931). Méditations cartésiennes: introduction à la phénoménologie.

    Google Scholar 

  • Husserl, E. (1936). HuDie Krisis der europ€ aischen Wissenschaften und die tranzendentale Ph€ anomenologie. Eine Einleitung in die ph€ anomenologische Philosophie. W. Biemel (hrsg), 2, 77–176.

    Google Scholar 

  • Inayatullah, S. (1988). Sarkar’s spiritual dialectics: An unconventional view of the future. Futures, 20(1), 54–65.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Inayatullah, S. (1990). Deconstructing and reconstructing the future: Predictive, cultural and critical epistemologies. Futures, 22(2), 115–141.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Inayatullah, S. (1993). From ‘who am I?’to ‘when am I?’: Framing the shape and time of the future. Futures, 25(3), 235–253.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Inayatullah, S. (1994). Life, the universe and emergence. Futures, 26(6), 683–696.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Inayatullah, S. (1995). Futures visions for South-east Asia: Some early warning signals. Futures, 27(6), 681–688.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Inayatullah, S., Slaughter, R., & Stevenson, T. (1992). The first WFSF Asia–Pacific course: The futures of development. Futures, 24(10), 1064–1066.

    Google Scholar 

  • Irvine, J., & Martin, B. (1984). Foresight in science: Picking the winners. London: Pinter.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jantsch, E. (1968). Technological forecasting in corporate planning. Long Range Planning, 1(1), 40–50.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Joseph, E. (1974). An introduction to studying the future. World Future Society, 233.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kahn, H. (1961). On thermonuclear war. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kahn, H. (1964). Thinking about the unthinkable. New York: Avon.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kant, I. (1871). Kritik der reinen Vernunft.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keenan, M., & Miles, I. (2002). Practical guide to regional foresight in the United Kingdom.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kitzler, A. (2014). Wie lebe ich ein gutes Leben?: Philosophie für Praktiker. Pattloch eBook.

    Google Scholar 

  • Knight, F. (1921). Risk, uncertainty and profit. Boston: Houghton-Mifflin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Koyré, A. (1928). La philosophie de Jacob Boehme. Paris 3.

    Google Scholar 

  • Koyré, A. (1940). Du Monde Clos à l’Univers Infini. Paris: Études Galiléennes, Hermann.

    Google Scholar 

  • La Prospective. (2017). Retrieved October 2, 2017, from La prospectiva para pensar diferente: http://www.laprospective.fr.

  • Lane, D. (1999). Social theory and system dynamics practice. European Journal of Operational Research, 113(3), 501–527.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Lebowitz, J. (1993). Boltzmann’s entropy and time’s arrow. Physics Today, 46, 32–62.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lesourne, J., & Godet, M. (1985). La fin des habitudes: les mille sentiers de l’avenir. Paris: Seghers.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lewin, K. (1935). A dynamic theory of personality. New York: McGraw–Hill.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lewis, D. (1979). Counterfactual dependence and time’s arrow. Noûs, 455–476.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lotka, A. (1925). Elements of physical biology. Baltimore: Williams and Wilkins.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Mannermaa, M. (1991). In search of an evolutionary paradigm for futures research. Futures, 23(4), 349–372.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Marcel, G. (1926). Journal métaphysique, 10.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marcel, G., & Segond, J. (1935). Être et avoir. Les Études philosophiques, 9(1/2), 48–53.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marchais-Roubelat, A., & Roubelat, F. (2011). Futures beyond disruptions: methodological reflections on scenario planning. Futures, 43(1), 130–133.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martin, B., & Irvine, J. (1989). Research foresight: Priority-setting in science.

    Google Scholar 

  • Martino, J. (1983). Technological forecasting decision making. New York: McGraw-Hill.

    Google Scholar 

  • Martino, J. (1987). Using precursors as leading indicators of technological change. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 32(4), 341–360.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Masini, E. (1993). Futures studies and the trends towards unity and diversity. International Social Science Journal, 45(3/137), 323–331.

    Google Scholar 

  • Masini, E. (1997). Gli studi sul futuro e l’Italia. FUTURIBILI.

    Google Scholar 

  • Masini, E. (2013). Estudios sobre el futuro: Métodos y prospectiva. Eleonora Barbieri Masini. Alma de los estudios de los futuros.

    Google Scholar 

  • Masini, E. B. (2013). Estudios sobre el futuro: Métodos y prospectiva, Eleonora Barbieri Masini. In A. A. Vásquez (Ed.), Alma de los estudios de los futuros. México, D.F.: Fundación Javier Barros Sierra.

    Google Scholar 

  • Massé, P. (1964). Les principes de la planification française. (W. Archiv, Ed.).

    Google Scholar 

  • Meadows, D., Goldsmith, E., & Meadow, P. (1972). Limits to growth (Vol. 381). CBC.

    Google Scholar 

  • Medina, J. (2003). Visión compartida de futuro. Universidad del Valle.

    Google Scholar 

  • Merleau-Ponty, M., & Bannan, J. (1956). What is phenomenology? CrossCurrents, 6(1), 59–70.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miles, I. (2005). Innovation in services.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miles, I., Harper, J., Georghiou, L., Keenan, M., & Popper, R. (2008). The many faces of foresight. The handbook of technology foresight: Concepts and practice.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miles, I., Kastrinos, N., Bilderbeek, R., Den Hertog, P., Flanagan, K., Huntink, W., et al. (1995). Knowledge-intensive business services: Users, carriers and sources of innovation.. European Innovation Monitoring System (EIMS) Reports.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miles, I., Keenan, M., & Kaivo-Oja, J. (2002). Handbook of knowledge society foresight. Report for the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions, Manchester.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mill, J. (1884). Principles of political economy. New York: D. Appleton.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miller, R. (2007). Futures literacy: A hybrid strategic scenario method. Futures, 39(4), 341–362.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Milliken, F. (1987). Three types of perceived uncertainty about the environment: State, effect, and response uncertainty. Academy of Management Review, 12(1), 133–143.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Minkowski, M. (1911). Zur Physiologie der Sehsphäre. European Journal of Physiology, 141(4), 171–327.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Minkowski, M. (1928). Sur un cas d’aphasie chez un polyglotte. Revue neurologique.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mintzberg, H. (1989). Mintzberg on management: Inside our strange world of organizations. Simon and Schuster.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mintzberg, H., & Waters, J. (1985). Of strategies, deliberate and emergent. Strategic Management Journal, 6(3), 257–272.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mondolfo, R. (1981). Heráclito: textos y problemas de su interpretación. Siglo XXI.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nabus, B. (1982). QUEST—quick environmental scanning technique. Long Range Planning, 15(2), 39–45.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nakićenović, N. (1991). Diffusion of pervasive systems: A case of transport infrastructures. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 39(1–2), 181–200.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nakicenovic, N., & Yanagisawa, Y. (1995). On the RITE track: Technological responses to climate change. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 48(1).

    Google Scholar 

  • Neef, A. (2005). The future of corporate innovation. Will there be an outsourcing endgame? The Foresight Company.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ogburn, W., & Thomas, D. (1922). Are inventions inevitable? A note on social evolution. Political Science Quarterly, 37(1), 83–98.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Öner, M., & Karaca, F. (2016). Introduction: Modelling and simulation in futures studies. Futures, 81, 1–3.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parsons, T., & Shils, E. (1951). Toward a general theory of action. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Pérez, G. (2007). Heráclito a la luz de Edgar Morin: de la complejidad de la naturaleza a la naturaleza de la complejidad (Vol. 9). (A. R. Filosofía, Ed.).

    Google Scholar 

  • Porter, M. (1980). Competitive strategy: Techniques for analyzing industries and competitors. New York: Free Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Porter, M. E. (1989). From competitive advantage to corporate strategy. UK: Macmillan Education.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Porter, M., & Millar, V. (1985). How information gives you competitive advantage. New York: Free Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ramos, J. (2006). Dimensions in the confluence of futures studies and action research. Futures, 38(6), 642–655.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Rohrbeck, R., & Gemünden, H. (2011). Corporate foresight: Its three roles in enhancing the innovation capacity of a firm. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78(2), 231–243.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Roubelat, F. (2000). Scenario planning as a networking process. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 65(1), 99–112.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sánchez-Elvira, M., Torres, S., & Romero, F. (2009). Platón: La República.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sardar, Z. (2015). Postnormal times revisited. Futures, 67, 26–39.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schneider, A., Wickert, C., & Marti, E. (2017). Reducing complexity by creating complexity: A systems theory perspective on how organizations respond to their environments. Journal of Management Studies, 54(2), 182–208.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sharif, M. (1986). Measurement of technology for national development. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 29(2), 119–172.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sharif, M., & Haq, A. (1980). Evaluating the potentials of technical cooperation among developing countries. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 16(1), 3–31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sharif, M., & Islam, M. N., M. (1982). A reliability engineering approach for forecasting technological breakthroughs. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 21(1), 37–51.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sharif, M., & Sundararajan, V. (1983). A quantitative model for the evaluation of technological alternatives. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 24(1), 15–29.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sharif, M., & Sundararajan, V. (1984). Assessment of technological appropriateness: The case of Indonesian rural development. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 25(3), 225–237.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Simon, H. (1947). Administrative behavior: A study of decisionmaking processes in administrative organizations. New York: Free Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Simon, H. (1997). Models of bounded rationality: Empirically grounded economic reason (Vol. 3). Cambridge: MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Slaughter, R. (1987). Futures in education. Futures, 19(3), 341–342.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Slaughter, R. (1988). Recovering the future. Melbourne, VIC: Graduate School of Environmental Science, Monash University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Slaughter, R. (1989). Cultural reconstruction in the post-modern world. Journal of Curriculum Studies, 21(3), 255–270.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Slaughter, R. (1991). Changing images of futures in the 20th century. Futures, 23(5), 499–515.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Slaughter, R. (1992). Encyclopedia of world problems and human potential. Brussels: Union of international associations.

    Google Scholar 

  • Slaughter, R. (1993). Inventing the future: Reflections on science, technology and nature. London: Adamantine Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Slaughter, R. (1995). The foresight principle. London: Adamantine.

    Google Scholar 

  • Slaughter, R. (1996). Futures studies: From individual to social capacity. Futures, 28(8), 751–762.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Slaughter, R. (1998). Transcending flatland: Implications of Ken Wilber’s meta-narrative for futures studies. Futures, 30(6), 519–533.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Slaughter, R. (1999). Professional standards in futures work. Futures, 31(8), 835–851.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Son, H. (2015). The history of Western futures studies: An exploration of the intellectual traditions and three-phase periodization. Futures, 66, 120–137.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spencer, R. (2016). Platón, La República. Diánoia. Diánoia. Revista de Filosofía, 19(19), 215–216.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tarde, G. (1901). L’opinion et la foule. Paris: Alcan.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tarde, G. (1903). The laws of imitation. New York: Henry Holt and Co.

    Google Scholar 

  • The Millennium Project. (2017). Retrieved October 2, 2017, from The Millennium Project. An global futures studies and research. http://www.millennium-project.org.

  • Thompson, J. (1974). Technology, polity, and societal development. Administrative Science Quarterly, 6–21.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Toffler, A. (1965). The future as a way of life. Horizon Magazine, 7(3).

    Google Scholar 

  • Toffler, A. (1970). Future Shock. New York: Amereon Ltd.

    Google Scholar 

  • Toffler, A. (1972). The futurists. New York: Random House.

    Google Scholar 

  • Toffler, A. (1980). The third wave. New York: Morrow.

    Google Scholar 

  • Truffer, B., Voß, J., & Konrad, K. (2008). Mapping expectations for system transformations: Lessons from Sustainability Foresight in German utility sectors. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 75(9), 1360–1372.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trujillo-Cabezas, R. (2008). El campo de los estudios de futuro: Contrastación entre el foresight y la prospectiva. Bogotá: Convenio Andrés Bello - Universidad Externado de Colombia.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tsoukas, H. (2017). Don’t simplify, complexify: From disjunctive to conjunctive theorizing in organization and management studies. Journal of Management Studies, 54(2), 132–153.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Van der Heijden, K. (2004). Can internally generated futures accelerate organizational learning? Futures, 36(2), 145–159.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Van Der Heijden, K. (2005). Scenarios: The art of strategic.

    Google Scholar 

  • Van Hecke, A. (2003). Movimiento e inmovilidad: Heráclito y Zenón en Monterroso., 7, 9–49.

    Google Scholar 

  • Varet, G. (1961). Bibliographie de Gaston Berger (Vol. 16). Les Études philosophiques.

    Google Scholar 

  • Varum, C., & Melo, C. (2010). Directions in scenario planning literature—A review of the past decades. Futures, 42(4), 355–369.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vickers, G. (1971). Changing ethics of distribution. Futures, 3(2), 116–134.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Volterra, V. (1925). Variations and fluctuations of the numbers of individuals in animal species living together. New York: McGraw-Hill.

    Google Scholar 

  • Von Clausewitz, C., & Graham, J. (1873). On war (Vol. 1). London: N. Trübner and Company.

    Google Scholar 

  • Von Reibnitz, U., & Hammond, P. (1988). Scenario techniques. Hamburg: McGraw-Hill.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vydra, A. (2014). Gaston Bachelard and his reactions to phenomenology. Continental Philosophy Review, 47(1), 45–58.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Well, H. (1902). Anticipations of the reaction of mechanical and scientific progress upon human life and thought. Philadelphia: Archibald Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wicks, A., & Freeman, R. (1998). Organization studies and the new pragmatism: Positivism, anti-positivism, and the search for ethics. Organization Science, 9(2), 123–140.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Winthrop, H. (1968). The sociologist and the study of the future. The American Sociologist, 136–145.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zwicky, F. (1962). Morphology of propulsive power (No. 1). Society for Morphological Research.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Raúl Trujillo-Cabezas .

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Trujillo-Cabezas, R., Verdegay, J.L. (2020). Brief History. In: Integrating Soft Computing into Strategic Prospective Methods. Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing, vol 387. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-25432-2_1

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics