Skip to main content

Preferential Voting: Theoretical Approach and Empirical Consequences

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Book cover Preferential Voting Systems
  • 471 Accesses

Abstract

Elections are crucial in politics. However, the extent to which this is true depends greatly on the electoral system in question. Although the comparative research on electoral systems represents a well-established and mature field, challenges remain. In particular, the “within-parties” dimension is still relatively undeveloped. Although some research and case study contributions have emerged, a lack of basic comparative data on the intraparty dimension limits the testing of theory. This chapter furnishes a definition of preferential voting, and a discussion of the concept. Moreover, the text analyses the electoral and partisan dynamics related to the intraparty competition. What are the expected results in terms of parliamentary turnover and the PLPR variables that can affect this process and other electoral outcomes, such as the ENP, the volatility, and the turnover? On this line, the chapter also provides an index of preferential voting measuring voters’ power.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 79.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 99.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 99.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    Thus, if it is true, as Katz and Bardi state, that “preferential voting has received less attention from scholars, less than it deserves” (1979: 94) and that, until now, only a few scholars have devoted meticulous empirical research to the topic, this book ambitiously attempts to fill that gap. Of course, in the twenty years since Katz and Bardi’s analysis, research has been conducted on preferential voting in different countries and by various scholars (Marsh 1985; Katz 1986; Karvonen 2004, 2011; Ortega 2004; Shugart 2005; Shugart et al. 2005; Bergman et al. 2013; Wauters et al. 2018). Nevertheless, even though well-conducted analyses and in-depth case studies exist, a general research project that compares countries that adopt preferential list proportional representation (PLPR) is still lacking, at least to my knowledge.

  2. 2.

    As described in Chapter 2, I also include other variables—such as the party systems—for the effects of preferential voting.

  3. 3.

    The Brazilian system closely approximates this configuration, in which, once a politician is elected under a party label, he or she cannot be denied access to the party list in subsequent elections (Mainwaring 1991). The law was the n. 9.504 of 30 September 1997. The Tribunal Special Electoral has dropped its efficacy on April 24 2002.

  4. 4.

    When pooled votes count for the party too, they affect the distribution of seats among both parties and candidates.

  5. 5.

    Presidential cases are reported in Chapter 3.

  6. 6.

    Countries like Italy, even though they no longer utilize a preferential voting system, are included in the research due to their relevant theoretical and empirical influence on the category. Incidentally, Italy, as reported in the paragraph on the case, has approved a new electoral law that reinstates preferential voting (Passarelli 2018).

  7. 7.

    The small number of cases suggested dropping the analysis of political parties. The latter study can be conducted at the national level.

  8. 8.

    For whom and for what? The variables to consider are several and sometimes they differ in outcomes and are not truly comparable. Parties, voters, candidates, accountability, turnover, and turnout are only a few aspects of electoral systems.

  9. 9.

    In addition, this is the case for some plurality/majority systems, such as block vote and PBV, and some other systems, such as limited vote and SNTV. Among the historical cases, I would also mention the Italian Senate (1948–1993), which had a dual formula. It functioned as an SSD system whenever a candidate obtained 65 per cent of the votes; seats not filled in the SSD were instead allocated at the regional level via the D’Hondt method (Passarelli 2018: 867) or the system used since the 2012 elections in Romania in which only those candidates who win over 50 per cent of the votes in single-member constituencies are automatically elected. The remaining seats are distributed among the political parties first at the county level (using the Hare quota) and then at the national level (according to the D’Hondt method), provided that they pass the 5 per cent threshold.

  10. 10.

    In a recent work, Shugart and Taagepera (2017) introduce innovative theoretical and empirical tools to deduce the number of parties when just knowing the number of seats in a representative assembly and the magnitude. Taagepera (2007) focuses on the revisions to introduce into the electoral systems to obtain the desired change in the average number of parties and cabinet duration.

  11. 11.

    In Italy from 1946–1948 to 1993. Up to four preferences until 1991 (Passarelli 2017, 2018).

  12. 12.

    From this perspective, the single transferable ballot, as well as the open ballot or “panachage” used in Switzerland, can be considered extreme cases, beyond the opportunities supplied by open lists or double voting, since they permit candidates to be selected from different parties and thus promote very high (intraparty) individual competition (Colomer 2004: 52).

  13. 13.

    Except in cases in which voting is mandatory, although voters always have the practical ability to abstain regardless of the implied legal consequences.

  14. 14.

    In Sri Lanka, the president is elected with an instant-runoff system. Similarly, Uruguay “was the one national level example of the use of a PL system in a single-seat district. Presidential elections were conducted by competing party slates, which usually contained more than one candidate. Voters voted for a candidate, but the winner was defined as the candidate with the most votes within the party with the most votes” (Shugart 2005: 39–40).

  15. 15.

    Panachage is not included (see Sect. 1.6).

  16. 16.

    A “personal vote” refers to “that portion of a candidate’s electoral support which originates in his or her personal qualities, qualifications, activities, and record” (Cain et al. 1987: 9).

  17. 17.

    We need a standard definition. The fact that voters choose, and thereby indicate “a preference”, does not imply that all systems can be labelled as “preferential voting systems”. PLPR, STV, and AV follow different logics for seat allocation.

  18. 18.

    In this passage, it seems as if Shugart includes panachage among the preferential voting systems; however, he then clearly distinguishes between PLPR and panachage.

  19. 19.

    As Cox reports, “in some systems, voters are allowed to alter the order of names on the ballot; I include this possibility under the general rubric of ‘preference votes’” (1997: 61, fn 17). However, I would argue that it is better to refer explicitly to a particular case or electoral system. Therefore, I consider all the system’s characteristics to avoid misunderstanding. Again, if the system allows this change in the same party’s list in a PR system (otherwise it is a case of panachage), then I include this case among PLPR without a doubt. The crucial distinction is between open and flexible systems to avoid the “general rubric” of preference votes.

  20. 20.

    I owe this definition to Matthew Shugart with which I have discussed an early classification of this sub-type.

  21. 21.

    In this sense, I deal only with cases fitting Karvonen’s categories 1 and 2 (Karvonen 2004) and Shugart’s typology in particular (2005: 40).

  22. 22.

    As reported in Chapter 2, authors adopt different approaches to classifying the “preferential” vote systems: ordinal vs. cardinal; open vs. closed; the importance and the structure of the ballot; the determinants or the consequences; and grouping together majoritarian and proportional systems alike, just to mention a few (Rae 1967; Katz 1980, 1986; Marsh 1985; Karvonen 2004; Shugart 2005).

  23. 23.

    Voters may very well use a criterion other than a candidate’s personality when deciding how to cast a preference vote: other criteria could include the candidate’s allegiance to a faction or ideological grouping within the party, the candidate’s interest group affiliations, the candidate’s views on a particular issue that cuts across party lines, and the candidate’s socio-demographic characteristics. It remains that PLPR systems are candidate-centred electoral systems in which the personality of the candidate matters.

  24. 24.

    Of course, there are different contexts, but the point to retain here is that PLPR systems are systems in which the role of candidates is generally more important. In fact, in different countries and political parties, the party leadership may not necessarily select candidates in closed-list systems.

  25. 25.

    Although he does not measure the impact of the preferences on this perspective.

  26. 26.

    Moreover, as stated, the adoption of PLPR, and in particular of OLPR, has regularly been coupled with a political and academic discussion of its pros and the cons. In particular, the focus has been on voters’ power and satisfaction, the parties’ decision making, the electoral accountability, the representation of specific socio-demographic groups, the voter–candidate bargaining, and the personal vote.

  27. 27.

    For a few exceptions, see Shugart (2005: 38, fn 11).

  28. 28.

    The authors distinguish between the LR and the D’Hondt formula, as they affect the intraparty allocation of seats (ibidem: 15).

References

  • Ames, B. 1995. Electoral Rules, Constituency Pressures, and Pork Barrel: Bases of Voting in the Brazilian Congress. The Journal of Politics 57 (2): 324–343.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • André, A., S. Depauw, M.S. Shugart, and R. Chytilek. 2017. Party Nomination Strategies in Flexible-List Systems: Do Preference Votes Matter? Party Politics 23 (5): 589–600.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Benoit, K. 2002. The Endogeneity Problem in Electoral Studies: A Critical Re-Examination of Duverger’s Mechanical Effect. Electoral Studies 21/1: 35–46.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bergman, M.E., M.S. Shugart, and K.A. Watt. 2013. Patterns of Intraparty Competition in Open-List and SNTV Systems. Electoral Studies 32 (2): 321–333.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blais, A. 1988. The Classification of Electoral Systems. European Journal of Political Research 16 (1): 99–110.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bogdanor, V. (ed.). 1983. Democracy and Elections: Electoral Systems and their Political Consequences. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bowler, S., and T. Donovan. 2013. The Limits of Electoral Reform. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bram, S., and P. Fishburn. 1983. Approval Voting. Boston: Birkhauser.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cain, B.E., J. Ferejohn, and M. Fiorina. 1987. The Personal Vote: Constituency Service and Electoral Independence. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carey, J., and M. Shugart. 1995. Incentives to Cultivate a Personal Vote: A Rank Ordering of Electoral Formulas. Electoral Studies 14 (4): 417–439.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chang, E., and M. Golden. 2007. Electoral Systems, District Magnitude and Corruption. British Journal of Political Science 37 (1): 115–137.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Coakley, J., and J. Fraenkel. 2017. The Ethnic Implications of Preferential Voting. Government and Opposition 52 (4): 671–697.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Colomer, J.M. (ed.). 2004. Handbook of Electoral System Choice. New York: Palgrave.

    Google Scholar 

  • Colomer, J.M. (ed.). 2011. Personal Representation: The Neglected Dimension of Electoral Systems. Colchester: ECPR Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cox, G. 1997. Making Votes Count. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Duverger, M. 1951. Les Partis Politiques. Paris: A. Colin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eckstein, H. 1963. Comparative Politics: A Reader. Glencoe: Free Press of Glencoe.

    Google Scholar 

  • Farrell, D. 2011. Electoral Systems: A Comparative Introduction. London: Palgrave Macmillan.

    Google Scholar 

  • Farrell, D.M. 2001. Electoral Systems: A Comparative Introduction. New York: Palgrave.

    Google Scholar 

  • Farrell, D.M., and I. McAllister. 2006. Voter Satisfaction and Electoral Systems: Does Preferential Voting in Candidate-Centred Systems Make a Difference? European Journal of Political Research 45 (5): 723–749.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Farrell, D.M., and R. Scully. 2002. Electoral System Effects on Parliamentary Representation: The Case of the European Parliament. American Political Science Association Annual Meeting, Boston.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fenno, R.F. 1978. Home Style: House Members in their Districts. Boston: Little, Brown.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gallagher, M., and P. Mitchell. 2005. Introduction to Electoral Systems. In The Politics of Electoral Systems, ed. M. Gallagher and P. Mitchell, 3–24. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Geddes, B., and A. Ribeiro Neto. 1992. Institutional Sources of Corruption in Brazil. Third World Quarterly 13 (4): 641–661.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grofman, B., and A. Lijphart (eds.). 1986. Electoral Laws and their Political Consequences. New York: Agathon Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hazan, R.Y., and G. Rahat. 2010. Democracy within Parties: Candidate Selection Methods and their Political Consequences. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Herron, E.E., R. Pekkanen, and M.S. Shugart. 2018. Terminology and Basic Rules of Electoral Systems. In The Oxford Handbook of Electoral Systems, ed. E.S. Herron, R.J. Pekkanen, and M.S. Shugart, 1–22. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacobson, G.C. 1990. The Electoral Origins of Divided Government: Competition in U.S. House Elections, 1946–1988. Boulder: Westview Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jesse, N.J. 2000. A Sophisticated Voter Model of Preferential Electoral Systems. In Elections in Australia, Ireland and Malta under the Single Transferable Vote: Reflections on an Embedded Institution, ed. S. Bowler and B. Grofman. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Karvonen, L. 2004. Preferential Voting: Incidence and Effects. International Political Science Review 25 (2): 203–226.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Karvonen, L. 2010. The Personalization of Politics: A Study of Parliamentary Democracies. Colchester: ECPR press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Karvonen, L. 2011. Preferential Vote in Party List. In Personal Representation: The Neglected Dimension of Electoral Systems, ed. J.M. Colomer, 119–134. Colchester: ECPR press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Katz, R.S. 1980. A Theory of Parties and Electoral Systems. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Katz, R.S. 1986. Intraparty Preference Voting. In Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences, ed. B. Grofman and A. Lijphart, 85–103. New York: Agathon Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Katz, R.S. 1994. Le nuove leggi per l’elezione del Parlamento. Politica in Italia, 161–186.

    Google Scholar 

  • Katz, R.S., and L. Bardi. 1979. Voto di preferenza e ricambio del personale parlamentare. Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica 9 (1): 71–95.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lakeman, E., and J.D. Lambert. 1946. Voting in Democracies: A Study of Majority and Proportional Electoral Systems. London: Faber and Faber.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lakeman, E., and J.D. Lambert. 1955. Voting in Democracies: A Study of Majority and Proportional Electoral Systems. London: Faber and Faber.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lijphart, A. 1994. Electoral Systems and Party Systems: A Study of Twenty-Seven Democracies, 1945–1990. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Lijphart, A. 2005. Foreword. In The Politics of Electoral Systems, ed. M. Gallagher and P. Mitchell, vi–x. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mainwaring, S. 1990. Politicians, Parties and Electoral Systems: Brazil in Comparative Perspective. Working Paper #141, Kellogg Institute.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mainwaring, S. 1991. Politicians, Parties, and Electoral Systems: Brazil in Comparative Perspective. Comparative Politics 24 (1): 21–43.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Manin, B. 1996. The Principles of Representative Government. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marsh, M. 1985. The Voters Decide? Preferential Voting in European List Systems. European Journal of Political Research 13 (4): 365–378.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Massicotte, L. 2011. Mixed Systems. In Personal Representation: The Neglected Dimension of Electoral Systems, ed. J. Colomer, 99–118. Colchester: ECPR Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • McElroy, G., and M. Marsh. 2010. Candidate Gender and Voter Choice: Analysis from a Multimember Preferential Voting System. Political Research Quarterly 63 (4): 822–833.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mitchell, P. 2000. Voters and their Representatives: Electoral Institutions and Delegation in Parliamentary Democracies. European Journal of Political Research 37 (3): 335–351.

    Google Scholar 

  • Norris, P. 2004. Electoral Engineering: Voting Rules and Political Behavior. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Ortega Villodres, C. 2004. Los sistemas de voto preferencial: Un estudio de 16 democracias: reflexiones sobre el sistema electoral español. Madrid: CIS.

    Google Scholar 

  • Piattoni, S. 2012. Clientelism, Interests, and Democratic Representation: The European Experience in Historical and Comparative Perspective. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Passarelli, G. 2017. Determinants of Preferential Voting in Italy: General Lessons from a Crucial Case. Representation 5 (2): 167–183.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Passarelli, G. 2018. Electoral Systems in Context: Italy. In The Oxford Handbook of Electoral Systems, ed. E. Herron, R. Pekkanen, and M.S. Shugart, 851–870. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pedersen, M.N. 1966. Preferential Voting in Denmark: The Voters Influence on the Election of Folketing Candidates. Scandinavian Political Studies 1 (1): 167–187.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rae, D.W. 1967. The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws. New Haven: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rae, D.W. 1971. The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws. New Haven: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Renwick, A. 2010. The Politics of Electoral Reform: Changing the Rules of Democracy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Renwick, A., and J.-L. Pilet. 2016. Faces on the Ballot: The Personalization of Electoral Systems in Europe. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Saalfeld, T. 1995. On Dogs and Whips: Recorded Votes. In Parliaments and Majority Rule in Western Europe, ed. Herbert Döring, 528–565. New York: St. Martin’s Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Samuels, D. 1997. Determinantes do Voto Partidário em Sistemas Eleitorais Centrados no Candidato: Evidências sobre o Brasil. Dados 40 (3): 493–535.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sartori, G. 1976. Parties and Party Systems: A Framework for Analysis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sartori, G. 1994. Comparative Constitutional Engineering: An Inquire into Structures, Incentives, and Outcomes. New York: New York University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shugart, M. 2005. Comparative Electoral Systems Research: The Maturation of a Field and New Challenges Ahead. In The Politics of Electoral Systems, ed. M. Gallagher and P. Mitchell, 25–55. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Shugart, M., and M.P. Wattenberg (eds.). 2001. Mixed-Member Electoral Systems: The Best of Both Worlds? Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shugart, M.S. 2001. ‘Extreme’ Electoral Systems and the Appeal of the Mixed-Member Alternative. In Mixed-Member Electoral Systems: The Best of Both Worlds? ed. M. Shugart and M.P. Wattenberg, 25–51. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Shugart, M.S., and D. Nielson. 1993. Liberalization through Institutional Reform: Economic Adjustment and Constitutional Change in Colombia (Unpublished Paper).

    Google Scholar 

  • Shugart, M.S., and R. Taagepera. 2017. Votes from Seats: Logical Models of Electoral Systems. New York: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shugart, M., E. Valdini Melody, and K. Suominen. 2005. Looking for Locals: Voter Information Demands and Personal Vote-Earning Attributes of Legislators Under Proportional Representation. American Journal of Political Science 29 (2): 437–449.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Silone, I. 1968. Emergency Exit. New York: Harper & Row.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sinnot, R. 2004. The Electoral System. In Politics in Ireland, ed. J. Coakley and M. Gallagher, 99–112. London: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Spierings, N., and K. Jacobs. 2014. Getting Personal? The Impact of Social Media on Preferential Voting. Political Behavior 36 (1): 215–234.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Taagepera, R. 2007. Predicting Party Sizes: The Logic of Simple Electoral Systems. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Taagepera, R., and Shugart, M.S. 1989. Seats and Vote: The Effects and Determinants of Electoral Systems. New Haven and London: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Uslaner, E.M. 1985. Casework and Institutional Design: Redeeming Promises in the Promised Land. Legislative Studies Quarterly 10: 35–52.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Valdini, M. 2006. A Deterrent to Diversity: The Conditional Effect of Electoral Rules on the Nomination of Women Candidates. Electoral Studies 31 (4): 740–749.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wauters, B., P. Thijssen, P. Van Aelst, and J.B. Pilet. 2018. Centralized Personalization at the Expense of Decentralized Personalization. The Decline of Preferential Voting in Belgium (2003–2014). Party Politics 24 (5): 511–523.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wildgen, J.K. 1985. Preference Voting and Intraparty Competition in Italy: Some New Evidence on the Communist-Christian Democrat Stalemate. Journal of Politics 47 (3): 947–957.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zariski, R. 1962. The Italian Socialist Party: A Case Study in Factional Conflict. The American Political Science Review 56 (2): 372–390.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Gianluca Passarelli .

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 The Author(s)

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Passarelli, G. (2020). Preferential Voting: Theoretical Approach and Empirical Consequences. In: Preferential Voting Systems. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-25286-1_1

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics