Skip to main content

Urban Traffic Flow Forecast Based on ST-SEResNet

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Artificial Intelligence and Security (ICAIS 2019)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNSC,volume 11633))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

Traffic flow forecasting is important for urban planning and road network recommendation. Traffic flow is affected by time and space which makes the traffic forecasting difficult, so traffic forecasting model should have the characteristics of real-time, accuracy and reliability. In recent years, deep learning has achieved great success in image classification, feature extraction and computer vision which makes the predict of traffic flow based on historical trajectory data possible. In this paper, we introduce ST-SEResNet, we converts the collected traffic data into 2-channel in and out images, and input it into the ST-SEResNet network after a convolutional operation, and use the net to obtain the inflow and outflow channels of the traffic image. The SENet model is used to extract the importance factor of traffic region, and the ResNet model is used to extract the spatial correlation of traffic flow. Compared with the traditional traffic prediction model, The experimental results show that the model not only improves the efficiency of the network but also raise the prediction accuracy of the network.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Zhang, N., Chen, H., Chen, X., et al.: Forecasting public transit use by crowdsensing and semantic trajectory mining: case studies. ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 5(10), 180 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Rasmussen, T.K., Ingvardson, J.B., Nielsen, O.A.: Improved methods to deduct trip legs and mode from travel surveys using wearable GPS devices: a case study from the Greater Copenhagen area. Comput. Environ. Urban Syst. 54, 301–313 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Sun, H., McIntosh, S.: Analyzing crossdomain transportation big data of New York city with semisupervised and active learning. CMC Comput. Mater. Continua. 57(1), 1–9 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Zhang, J., Zheng, Y., Qi, D.: Deep spatio-temporal residual networks for citywide crowd flows prediction (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Fan, Z., Song, X., Shibasaki, R., et al.: CityMomentum: an online approach for crowd behavior prediction at a citywide level. In: ACM International Joint Conference on Pervasive and Ubiquitous Computing, pp. 559–569. ACM (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Ashbrook, D., Starner, T.: Using GPS to learn significant locations and predict movement across multiple users. Pers. Ubiquitous Comput. 7(5), 275–286 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Wen, H., Zhongwei, H.U., Guo, J., et al.: Operational analysis on beijing road network during the olympic games. J. Transp. Syst. Eng. Inf. Technol. 8(6), 32–37 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Moorthy, C.K., Ratcliffe, B.G.: Short term traffic forecasting using time series methods. In: Transportation Planning Technology, pp. 45–56 (1988)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Shekhar, S., Williams, B.M.: Adaptive seasonal time series models for forecasting short-term traffic flow. Transp. Res. Rec. 2024, 116–125 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Guo, J., Huang, W., Williams, B.M.: Adaptive Kalman filter approach for stochastic short-term traffic flow rate prediction and uncertainty quantification. Transp. Res. Part C 43, 50–64 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Zhang, L., Ma, J., Zhu, C.: Theory modeling and application of an adaptive Kalman filter for short-term traffic flow prediction. J. Inf. Comput. Sci. 9(16), 5101–5109 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Li, X., Pan, G., Wu, Z., et al.: Prediction of urban human mobility using large-scale taxi traces and its applications. Front. Comput. Sci. 6(1), 111–121 (2012)

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  13. Yang, J.Y., Chou, L.D., Tung, C.F., et al.: Average-speed forecast and adjustment via VANETs. IEEE Trans. Veh. Technol. 62(9), 4318–4327 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Zhou, S., Liang, W., Li, J., Kim, J.-U.: Improved VGG model for road traffic sign recognition. CMC Comput. Mater. Continua 57(1), 11–24 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Xu, J., Rahmatizadeh, R., Bölöni, L., et al.: Real-time prediction of taxi demand using recurrent neural networks. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. PP(99), 1–10 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Xu, J., Rahmatizadeh, R., Boloni, L., et al.: A sequence learning model with recurrent neural networks for taxi demand prediction. In: IEEE, Conference on Local Computer Networks, pp. 261–268. IEEE Computer Society (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Liao, S., Zhou, L., Di, X., et al.: Large-scale short-term urban taxi demand forecasting using deep learning. In: Design Automation Conference. IEEE (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Vlahogianni, E., Karlaftis, M., Golias, J., et al.: Pattern-based short-term urban traffic predictor. In: IEEE Intelligent Transportation Systems Conference, pp. 389–393. IEEE (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Zhu, Y., Zhang, G., Qiu, J.: Network traffic prediction based on particle swarm BP neural network. J. Netw. 8(11), 2685–2691 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Castro-Neto, M., Jeong, Y.S., Jeong, M.K., et al.: Online-SVR for short-term traffic flow prediction under typical and atypical traffic conditions. Expert Syst. Appl. 36(3), 6164–6173 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Lam, W.H.K., Tang, Y.F., Tam, M.L.: Comparison of two non-parametric models for daily traffic forecasting in Hong Kong. J. Forecast. 25(3), 173–192 (2010)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  22. Shekhar, S.: Recursive methods for forecasting short-term traffic flow using seasonal ARIMA time series model (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  23. Lin, L., Li, Y., Sadek, A.: A k nearest neighbor based local linear wavelet neural network model for on-line short-term traffic volume prediction. Procedia Soc. Behav. Sci. 96, 2066–2077 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Chan, K.Y., Dillon, T.S., Singh, J., et al.: Neural-network-based models for short-term traffic flow forecasting using a hybrid exponential smoothing and Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 13(2), 644–654 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Zeng, D., Xu, J., Gu, J., et al.: Short term traffic flow prediction using hybrid ARIMA and ANN models. In: The Workshop on Power Electronics and Intelligent Transportation System, pp. 621–625. IEEE Computer Society (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  26. He, K., Zhang, X., Ren, S., et al.: Deep residual learning for image recognition, pp. 770–778 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Hu, J., Shen, L., Sun, G.: Squeeze-and-excitation networks (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  28. Nair, V., Hinton, G.E.: Rectified linear units improve restricted boltzmann machines. In: International Conference on International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 807–814. Omnipress (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  29. Tseng, F.M., Yu, H.C., Tzeng, G.H.: Combining neural network model with seasonal time series ARIMA model. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 69(1), 71–87 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Liang, Y.H.: Combining seasonal time series ARIMA method and neural networks with genetic algorithms for predicting the production value of the mechanical industry in Taiwan. Neural Comput. Appl. 18(7), 833–841 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Ji, S., Vishwanathan, S.V.N., Satish, N., et al.: BlackOut: speeding up recurrent neural network language models with very large vocabularies. Comput. Sci. 115(8), 2159–2168 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgement

This work has been supported by the National Science Foundation of China Grant No. 61762092, “Dynamic multi-objective requirement optimization based on transfer learning,” and the Open Foundation of the Key Laboratory in Software Engineering of Yunnan Province, Grant No. 2017SE204, “Research on extracting software feature models using transfer learning,” and the National Science Foundation of China Grant No. 61762089, “The key research of high order tensor decomposition in distributed environment”.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Hao Li .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Kang, Y., Li, H., Niu, R., Yuan, Y., Liu, X. (2019). Urban Traffic Flow Forecast Based on ST-SEResNet. In: Sun, X., Pan, Z., Bertino, E. (eds) Artificial Intelligence and Security. ICAIS 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 11633. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-24265-7_42

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-24265-7_42

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-24264-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-24265-7

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics