Abstract
International business is not immune to science’s reproducibility and replicability crisis. We argue that this crisis is not entirely surprising given the methodological practices that enhance systematic capitalization on chance. This occurs when researchers search for a maximally predictive statistical model based on a particular dataset and engage in several trial-and-error steps that are rarely disclosed in published articles. We describe systematic capitalization on chance, distinguish it from unsystematic capitalization on chance, address five common practices that capitalize on chance, and offer actionable strategies to minimize the capitalization on chance and improve the reproducibility and replicability of future IB research.
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Notes
- 1.
As noted by an anonymous reviewer, multilevel modeling is as susceptible to capitalization on chance as other methods, including OLS regression. Although the existence of a dependent data structure allows multilevel modeling to produce more accurate standard errors compared to OLS regression (Aguinis and Culpepper 2015), this is an improvement regarding unsystematic but not systematic capitalization on chance.
- 2.
These are different ways to “manage outliers.” Winsorization involves transforming extreme values to a specified percentile of the data (e.g., a 90th percentile Winsorization would transform all the data below the 5th percentile to the 5th percentile, and all the data above the 95th percentile would be set at the 95th percentile). Studentised residuals are computed by dividing a residual by an estimate of its standard deviation, and Cook’s D measures the effect of deleting a given observation.
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We thank Alain Verbeke and two Journal of International Business Studies anonymous reviewers for their highly constructive feedback that allowed us to improve our manuscript.
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Aguinis, H., Cascio, W.F., Ramani, R.S. (2020). Science’s Reproducibility and Replicability Crisis: International Business Is Not Immune. In: Eden, L., Nielsen, B.B., Verbeke, A. (eds) Research Methods in International Business. JIBS Special Collections. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22113-3_2
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