Abstract
The literature presents two arguments about changes in political support. One argument states that satisfaction with democracy and trust in political institutions are steadily declining because of societal changes. Another argument states that political support fluctuates over time, mostly because of medium- and short-term changes in contextual factors. Using data from 31 European countries between 1973 and 2017, this chapter shows that democratic satisfaction and political trust vary over time, with some countries experiencing a strong decline in some periods and others an increase. It then shows that cross-national differences remain stable, despite changes over time within countries. The results suggest that variation over time and cross-national variation may be explained by within- and between-country contextual conditions.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Almond, G. A., & Verba, S. (1963). The Civic Culture: Political Attitudes and Democracy in Five Nations. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Armingeon, K., & Guthmann, K. (2014). Democracy in crisis? The declining support for national democracy in European countries. European Journal of Political Research, 53(3), 423–442.
Barnes, S. H., & Sani, G. (1974). Mediterranean political culture and Italian politics: An interpretation. British Journal of Political Science, 4, 289–303.
Bartle, J., Dellepiane-Avellaneda, S., & Stimson, J. A. (2011). The moving centre: Preferences for government activity in Britain, 1950–2005. British Journal of Political Science, 41, 259–285.
Bernburg, J. G. (2016). Economic Crisis and Mass Protest: The Pots and Pans Revolution in Iceland. London and New York: Routledge.
Bovens, M., & Wille, A. (2008). Deciphering the Dutch drop: Ten explanations for decreasing political trust in the Netherlands. International Review of Administrative Sciences, 74(2), 283–305.
Catterberg, G., & Moreno, A. (2006). The individual bases of political trust: Trends in new and established democracies. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 18(1), 31–48.
Crozier, M. J., Huntington, S. P., & Watanuki, J. (1975). The Crisis of Democracy. Report on the Governability of Democracies to the Trilateral Commission. New York: New York University Press.
Dalton, R. J. (2004). Democratic Challenges, Democratic Choices: The Erosion of Political Support in Advanced Industrial Societies. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Dogan, M. (2005). Erosion of confidence in thirty European democracies. Comparative Sociology, 4(1–2), 11–54.
Erlingsson, G. Ó., Linde, J., & Öhrvall, R. (2016). Distrust in utopia? Public perceptions of corruption and political support in Iceland before and after the financial crisis of 2008. Government and Opposition, 51(4), 553–579.
European Commission. (2003). 35 Years of Eurobarometer. European Integration as Seen by Public Opinion in the Member States of the European Union: 1973–2008. Brussels: European Commission.
Fuchs, D. (1999). The democratic culture of unified Germany. In P. Norris (Ed.), Critical Citizens: Global Support for Democratic Government (pp. 123–145). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Fuchs, D., Guidorossi, G., & Svensson, P. (1995). Support for the democratic system. In H.-D. Klingemann & D. Fuchs (Eds.), Citizens and the State (pp. 323–353). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Fuchs, D., Klingemann, H.-D., & Zielonka, J. (Eds.). (2006). Democracy and Political Culture in Eastern Europe. London: Routledge.
Green, J., & Jennings, W. (2012). Valence as macro-competence: An analysis of mood in party competence evaluations in Great Britain. British Journal of Political Science, 42, 311–343.
Gunther, R., Diamandouros, N., & Puhle, H.-J. (Eds.). (1995). The Politics of Democratic Consolidation: Southern Europe in Comparative Perspective. Baltimore: The John Hopkins University Press.
Holmberg, S. (1999). Down and down we go: Political trust in Sweden. In P. Norris (Ed.), Critical Citizens: Global Support for Democratic Government (pp. 103–122). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Klingemann, H.-D. (1999). Mapping political support in the 1990s: A global analysis. In P. Norris (Ed.), Critical Citizens: Global Support for Democratic Government (pp. 31–56). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Koroleva, I., & Rungule, R. (2006). Latvia: Democracy as an abstract value. In H. Klingemann, D. Fuchs, & J. Zielonka (Eds.), Democracy and Political Culture in Eastern Europe (pp. 235–255). New York: Routledge.
Linde, J., & Dahlberg, S. (2016). Democratic discontent in times of crisis? In Y. Peters & M. Thatham (Eds.), Democratic Transformations in Europe: Challenges and Opportunities (pp. 72–96). London: Routledge.
Listhaug, O. (2006). Political disaffection and political performance: Norway, 1957–2001. In M. Torcal & J. R. Montero (Eds.), Political Disaffection in Contemporary Democracies: Social Capital, Institutions and Politics (pp. 215–243). London: Routledge.
Magalhães, P. C. (2005). Disaffected democrats: Political attitudes and political action in Portugal. West European Politics, 28(5), 973–991.
Marien, S. (2011). Measuring political trust across time and space. In M. Hooghe & S. Zmerli (Eds.), Political Trust: Why Context Matters (pp. 13–46). Colchester: ECPR Press.
Martini, S., & Quaranta, M. (2015). Finding out the hard way: Uncovering the structural foundations of political dissatisfaction in Italy, 1973–2013. West European Politics, 38(1), 28–52.
Merkl, P. H. (1993). German Unification in the European Context. Philadelphia: Pennsylvania University Press.
Miles, L., & Wivel, A. (Eds.). (2014). Denmark and the European Union. London: Routledge.
Mishler, W., & Rose, R. (1997). Trust, distrust and scepticism: Popular evaluations of civil and political institutions in post-communist societies. The Journal of Politics, 59(2), 418–451.
Mishler, W., & Rose, R. (2001). What are the origins of political trust? Testing institutional and cultural theories in post-communist societies. Comparative Political Studies, 34(1), 30–62.
Mitsopoulos, M., & Pelagidis, T. (2011). Understanding the Crisis in Greece: From Boom to Bust. Houndmills: Palgrave.
Morlino, L. (2011). Changes for Democracy: Actors, Structures, Processes. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Morlino, L., & Tarchi, M. (1996). The dissatisfied society: The roots of political change in Italy. European Journal of Political Research, 30(1), 41–63.
Montero, J. R., Gunther, R., & Torcal, M. (1997). Democracy in Spain: Legitimacy, discontent and disaffection. Studies in Comparative International Development, 32(3), 124–160.
Muro, D., & Vidal, G. (2017). Political mistrust in Southern Europe since the Great Recession. Mediterranean Politics, 22(2), 197–217.
Newton, K., & Norris, P. (2000). Confidence in public institutions: Faith, culture or performance? In S. J. Pharr & R. D. Putnam (Eds.), Disaffected Democracies: What’s Troubling the Trilateral Countries? (pp. 52–73). Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Norris, P. (2011). Democratic Deficit: Critical Citizens Revisited. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Plasser, F., Ulram, P., & Waldrauch, H. (1998). Democratic Consolidation in East-Central Europe. Houndmills: Macmillan.
Putnam, R. D. (1993). Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Putnam, R. D., Pharr, S. J., & Dalton, R. J. (2000). Introduction: What’s troubling the trilateral democracies? In S. J. Pharr & R. D. Putnam (Eds.), Disaffected Democracies: What’s Troubling the Trilateral Countries? (pp. 4–23). Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Quaranta, M., & Martini, S. (2016). Does the economy really matter for satisfaction with democracy? Longitudinal and cross-country evidence from the European Union. Electoral Studies, 42, 164–174.
Quaranta, M., & Martini, S. (2017). Easy come, easy go? Economic performance and satisfaction with democracy in Southern Europe in the last three decades. Social Indicators Research, 131(2), 659–680.
Roberts, A. (2009). The Quality of Democracy in Eastern Europe: Public Preferences and Policy Reforms. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Rose, R., Mishler, W., & Haerpfer, C. (1998). Democracy and Its Alternatives: Understanding Post-communist Societies. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.
Royo, S. (2009). After the fiesta: The Spanish economy meets the global financial crisis. South European Society and Politics, 14(1), 19–34.
Sani, G. (1980). The political culture of Italy: Continuity and change. In G. Almond & S. Verba (Eds.), The Civic Culture Revisited (pp. 273–324). Boston, MA: Little, Brown & Co.
Schmitter, P. C., & Trechsel, A. H. (2004). The Future of Democracy in Europe: Trends, Analyses and Reforms. Strasbourg: Council of Europe Publishing.
Segatti, P. (2006). Italy, forty years of political disaffection: A longitudinal exploration. In M. Torcal & J. R. Montero (Eds.), Political Disaffection in Contemporary Democracies (pp. 244–270). New York: Routledge.
Thomassen, J. (2012). What’s gone wrong with democracy, or with theories explaining why it has? In T. Poguntke, S. Rostutscher, R. Schmitt-Beck, & S. Zmerli (Eds.), Citizenship and Democracy in an Era of Crisis (pp. 34–52). London: Routledge.
Torcal, M. (2014). The decline of political trust in Spain and Portugal: Economic performance or political responsiveness? American Behavioral Scientist, 58(12), 1542–1567.
Torcal, M. (2017). Political trust in Western and Southern Europe. In S. Zmerli & T. W. G. van der Meer (Eds.), Handbook on Political Trust (pp. 418–439). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
van de Walle, S., van Roosbroeck, S., & Bouckaert, G. (2008). Trust in the public sector: Is there any evidence for a long-term decline? International Review of Administrative Sciences, 74(1), 47–64.
van der Brug, W., & van Praag, P. (2007). Erosion of political trust in the Netherlands: Structural or temporarily? A research note. Acta Politica, 42(4), 443–458.
van der Meer, T. W. G. (2017). Political Trust and the ‘Crisis of Democracy’. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics. https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.013.77.
van Ham, C., & Thomassen, J. (2017). The myth of legitimacy decline: An empirical evaluation of trends in political support in established democracies. In C. van Ham, J. Thomassen, K. Aarts, & R. Andeweg (Eds.), Myth and Reality of the Legitimacy Crisis: Explaining Trends and Cross-National Differences in Established Democracies (pp. 17–36). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Waldron-Moore, P. (1999). Eastern Europe at the crossroads of democratic transition: Evaluating support for democratic institutions, satisfaction with democratic government, and consolidation of democratic regimes. Comparative Political Studies, 32(1), 32–62.
Walgrave, S., & Varone, F. (2008). Punctuated equilibrium and agenda-setting: Bringing parties back in: Policy change after the Dutroux crisis in Belgium. Governance, 21(3), 365–395.
Weatherford, M. S. (1987). How does government performance influence political support? Political Behavior, 9, 5–28.
Wessel, B. (2009). Trust in political institutions. In J. Thomassen (Ed.), The Legitimacy of the European Union After Enlargement (pp. 165–183). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Závecz, G. (2017). Post-communist societies of Central and Eastern Europe. In S. Zmerli & T. W. G. van der Meer (Eds.), Handbook on Political Trust (pp. 440–460). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 The Author(s)
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Martini, S., Quaranta, M. (2020). Changes Over Time and Country Differences. In: Citizens and Democracy in Europe. Palgrave Studies in European Political Sociology. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-21633-7_4
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-21633-7_4
Published:
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-21632-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-21633-7
eBook Packages: Political Science and International StudiesPolitical Science and International Studies (R0)