Skip to main content

Online Discovery for Stable and Grouping Causalities in Multivariate Time Series

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Mathematical Theories of Machine Learning - Theory and Applications
  • 2581 Accesses

Abstract

The content of this chapter is organized as follows: The problem formulation is presented in Sect. 10.1. Section 10.2 introduces the details about our proposed approach and its equivalent Bayesian model. A solution capable of online inference with particle learning is given in Sect. 10.3. Extensive empirical evaluation is demonstrated in Sect. 10.4. Finally, we conclude our work and discuss the future work.

Part of this chapter is in the paper titled “Online Discovery for Stable and Grouping Causalities in Multivariate Time Series” by Wentao Wang, Bin Shi et al. (2018) presently under review for publication.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 79.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 99.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 99.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.ghcncams.html

References

  1. S. Castruccio, Assessing the spatio-temporal structure of annual and seasonal surface temperature for CMIP5 and reanalysis. Spatial Stat. 18, 179–193 (2016)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  2. B. Carpentieri, I.S. Duff, L. Giraud, Sparse pattern selection strategies for robust frobenius-norm minimization preconditioners in electromagnetism. Numer. Linear Algebr. Appl. 7(7–8), 667–685 (2000)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  3. C.M. Carvalho, M.S. Johannes, H.F. Lopes, N.G. Polson, Particle learning and smoothing. Stat. Sci. 25, 88–106 (2010)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  4. P.M. Djuric, J.H. Kotecha, J. Zhang, Y. Huang, T. Ghirmai, M.F. Bugallo, J. Miguez, Particle filtering. IEEE Signal Process. Mag. 20(5), 19–38 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. A.C. Harvey, Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1990)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  6. W. Kleiber, R.W. Katz, B. Rajagopalan et al., Daily minimum and maximum temperature simulation over complex terrain. Ann. Appl. Stat. 7(1), 588–612 (2013)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  7. Q. Li, N. Lin, The Bayesian elastic net. Bayesian Anal. 5(1), 151–170 (2010)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  8. A.C. Lozano, H. Li, A. Niculescu-Mizil, Y. Liu, C. Perlich, J. Hosking, N. Abe, Spatial-temporal causal modeling for climate change attribution, in Proceedings of the 15th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining (ACM, New York, 2009), pp. 587–596

    Google Scholar 

  9. K.P. Murphy, Machine Learning: A Probabilistic Perspective (MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 2012)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  10. H. Zou, T. Hastie, Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B Stat Methodol. 67(2), 301–320 (2005)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. C. Zeng, Q. Wang, W. Wang, T. Li, L. Shwartz, Online inference for time-varying temporal dependency discovery from time series, in 2016 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data) (IEEE, Piscataway, 2016), pp. 1281–1290

    Book  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Shi, B., Iyengar, S.S. (2020). Online Discovery for Stable and Grouping Causalities in Multivariate Time Series. In: Mathematical Theories of Machine Learning - Theory and Applications. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-17076-9_10

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-17076-9_10

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-17075-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-17076-9

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics