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International Workshop on Graphical Models for Security

GraMSec 2018: Graphical Models for Security pp 31–50Cite as

Combining Bayesian Networks and Fishbone Diagrams to Distinguish Between Intentional Attacks and Accidental Technical Failures

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Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNSC,volume 11086))

Abstract

Because of modern societies’ dependence on industrial control systems, adequate response to system failures is essential. In order to take appropriate measures, it is crucial for operators to be able to distinguish between intentional attacks and accidental technical failures. However, adequate decision support for this matter is lacking. In this paper, we use Bayesian Networks (BNs) to distinguish between intentional attacks and accidental technical failures, based on contributory factors and observations (or test results). To facilitate knowledge elicitation, we use extended fishbone diagrams for discussions with experts, and then translate those into the BN formalism. We demonstrate the methodology using an example in a case study from the water management domain.

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Acknowledgements

This research received funding from the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) in the framework of the Cyber Security research program under the project “Secure Our Safety: Building Cyber Security for Flood Management (SOS4Flood)”.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands

    Sabarathinam Chockalingam, Wolter Pieters, Nima Khakzad & Pieter van Gelder

  2. Department of Engineering Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden

    André Teixeira

Authors
  1. Sabarathinam Chockalingam
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  2. Wolter Pieters
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  3. André Teixeira
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  4. Nima Khakzad
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  5. Pieter van Gelder
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sabarathinam Chockalingam .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Dartmouth College, Hanover , NH, USA

    George Cybenko

  2. University College London, London, UK

    David Pym

  3. IRISA, INSA Rennes, Rennes, France

    Barbara Fila

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Chockalingam, S., Pieters, W., Teixeira, A., Khakzad, N., van Gelder, P. (2019). Combining Bayesian Networks and Fishbone Diagrams to Distinguish Between Intentional Attacks and Accidental Technical Failures. In: Cybenko, G., Pym, D., Fila, B. (eds) Graphical Models for Security. GraMSec 2018. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 11086. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-15465-3_3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-15465-3_3

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  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-15465-3

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