Abstract
The development of world agriculture which is in advance of the increase in population is made possible, in the first instance, due to academic and technological factors. However, up to the present moment there is a problem of consideration of this factor in the evaluation of the prospects for further development of the industry. Most often, standard mathematical models which prevent from taking into account the specificity and all possible diversity of exogenous and endogenous variables, are used in the forecasting process. The authors of the paper have put forth the technique of forecasting the efficiency of change in technique of crop production, which was tested by the authors using the example of the implementation of such cultivation method as no-till. The calculations have shown that there is the possibility of a very significant increase in production volumes and proceeds of industry players in the territory of the region under consideration as a result of the increase in the size of crop areas due to reduction in the area of arable land, change in their pattern, increase in the crop yield.
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Kostyuchenko, T., Telnova, N., Orel, Y., Izmalkov, S., Baicherova, A. (2020). Forecasting the Efficiency of Technological Development by the Example of Crop Research. In: Popkova, E. (eds) Growth Poles of the Global Economy: Emergence, Changes and Future Perspectives. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, vol 73. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-15160-7_84
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-15160-7_84
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