Abstract
This study aims to empirically examine the valuation models used by UAE investment analysts. A questionnaire and interviews were used to answer its research questions. Thirty-five investment analysts, in cooperation with the CFA Society Emirates, participated in the questionnaire. The sample covered most of the analysts who have professional qualifications such as CFA and CAIA (coupled with an academic degree such as the MBA) and have an average of more than eight years of experience in the relevant sectors. Descriptive and comparative analysis was employed in this study. The results reveal that discounted cash flow and P/E ratios are the most preferred valuation methods used by these analysts. For the accounting variables used in this study, the analysts perceived free cash flow and operating cash flow to be the most important variables. The results also show that the analysts perceive the solvency ratios (i.e., gearing ratio and interest cover) and liquidity ratio to be the most important ratios. The study concludes that the analysts in the UAE use both sophisticated valuation models and unsophisticated valuations models, with a preference for cash flow models.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Francis, J., Olsson, P., Oswald, D.: Comparing the accuracy and explainability of dividend, free cash flow, and abnormal earnings equity value estimates. J. Acc. Res. 38(1), 45–70 (2000)
Peek, E.: The influence of accounting changes on financial analysts’ forecast accuracy and forecasting superiority: evidence from the Netherlands. Eur. Acc. Rev. 14(2), 261–295 (2005)
Penman, S.H., Sougiannis, T.: A comparison of dividend, cash flow, and earnings approach to equity valuation. Contemp. Acc. Res. 15(3), 343–383 (1998)
Courteau, L., Kao, J., Richardson, G.: Equity valuation employing the ideal versus ad hoc terminal value expressions. Contemp. Acc. Res. 18, 625–661 (2001)
Demirakos, E.G., Strong, N., Walker, M.: What valuation models do analysts use? Acc. Horiz. 18, 221–240 (2004)
Imam, S., Braker, R., Clubb, C.: The use of valuation models by UK investment analysts. Eur. Acc. Rev. 17(3), 503–535 (2008)
Copeland, T., Koller, T., Murrin, J.: Valuation: measuring and managing the value of companies. Wiley, London (2000)
Palepu, K., Healy, P., Bernard, V.: Business Analysis and Valuation using Financial Statements. South-Western College Publishing, Cincinnati (2004)
Penman, S.H.: On comparing cash flow and accrual models for use in equity valuation. Contemp. Acc. Res. 18(4), 681–692 (2001)
Hope, O.K.: Disclosure practices, enforcement of accounting standards and analysts’ forecast accuracy: an international study. J. Acc. Res. 41(2), 235–272 (2002)
Preiato, J.P., Brown, P.R., Tarca, A.: Mandatory Adoption of IFRS and Analysts’ Forecasts: How Much Does Enforcement Matter? Available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1499625 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1499625 (2012)
Chan, K., Hameed, A.: Stock price synchronicity and analyst coverage in emerging markets. J. Financ. Econ. 80, 115–147 (2006)
Ionascu, M., Ionascu, I.: The use of accounting information by financial analysts in emergent markets: the case of Romania. Acc. Manag. Inf. Syst. 11(2), 174–186 (2012)
Arnold, J.A., Moizer, P.: A survey of the methods used by UK investment analysts to appraise investments in ordinary shares. Acc. Bus. Res. 14, 195–207 (1984)
Pike, R., Meerjanssen, J., Chadwick, L.: The appraisal of ordinary shares by investment analysts in the United Kingdom and Germany. Acc. Bus. Res. 23, 489–499 (1993)
Barker, R.G.: The role of dividends in valuation models used by analysts and fund managers. Eur. Acc. Rev. 8(2), 195–218 (1999)
Barker, R.G.: Survey and market-based evidence of industry-dependence in analysts’ preferences between the dividend yield and price-earnings ratio valuation models. J. Bus. Finan. Acc. 26(3–4), 393–418 (1999)
Block, S.B.: A study of financial analysts: practice and theory. Finan. Anal. J., 86–95 (1999)
Breton, G., Taffler, R.J.: Creative accounting and investment analyst response. Acc. Bus. Res. 25(Spring), 81–92 (1995)
Foster, G.: Financial Statements Analysis, 2nd edn. Prentice-Hall International, Englewood Cliffs, NJ (1986)
Omran, M.F.: Equity valuation using multiples in the emerging market of the United Arab Emirates. Rev. Middle East Econ. Finan. 1(3), 267–283 (2003)
Frankel, R., Lee, C.M.C.: Accounting valuation, market expectations, and cross-sectional stock returns. J. Acc. Econ. 25(3), 283–319 (1998)
Biddle, G.C., Bowen, R.M., Wallace, J.S.: Does EVA beat earnings? Evidence on associations with stock returns and firm values. J. Acc. Econ. 24(3), 301–336 (1997)
Lundholm, R.J., O’Keefe, T.: Reconciling value estimates from the discounted cash flow model and the residual income model. Contemp. Acc. Res. 18(2), 311–335 (2001)
Miller, M.H., Modigliani, F.: Dividend policy, growth, and the valuation of shares. J. Bus. 34(4), 411–433 (1961)
Ohlson, J.A.: Earnings, book values and dividends in security valuation. Contemp. Acc. Res. 11, 661–687 (1995)
Penman, S.H.: A synthesis of equity valuation techniques and the terminal value calculation for the dividend discount model. Rev. Acc. Stud. 2(4), 303–323 (1997)
Ohlson, J.A., Juettner-Nauroth, B.: Expected EPS and EPS growth as determinants of value. Rev. Acc. Stud. 10(2/3), 349–365 (2005)
Penman, S.H.: Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation. McGraw-Hill, New York (2007)
Liu, J., Nissim, D., Thomas, J.: Equity valuation using multiples. J. Acc. Res. 40(1), 135–172 (2002)
Lee, C.M.C.: Choosing the Right Valuation Approach. Working Paper Presented at the AIMR Conference, Amsterdam, the Netherlands (2003)
Stowe, J.D., Robinson, T.R., Pinto, J.E., McLeavey, D.W.: Analysis of Equity Investments: Valuation. Association for Investment Management & Research, Charlottesville (2002)
Cowen, A., Groysberg, B., Healy, P.A.: Which types of analyst firms are more optimistic? J. Acc. Econ. 41, 119–146 (2005)
Trejo Pech, C.O., Noguera, M., White, S.: Financial ratios used by equity analysts in Mexico and Stock returns. Contaduría y Administración 60(3), 578–592 (2015)
Wang, Y., Lee, H.: Evaluating financial performance of Taiwan container shipping companies by strength and weakness indices. Int. J. Comput. Math. 87(1), 38–52 (2010)
Katchova, A., Enlow, S.: Financial performance of publicly-traded agribusinesses. Agric. Finan. Rev. 73(1), 58–73 (2013)
Beaver, W.: Financial ratios as predictors of failure. J. Acc. Res., Supplement to Volume 4 (Empirical research in accounting: selected studies), 71–111 (1966)
Call, A.: Analysts’ Cash Flow Forecasts and the Predictive Ability and Pricing of Operating Cash Flows. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1362177 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1362177 (2008)
Chen, K., Shimerda, T.: An empirical analysis of useful financial ratios. Finan. Manag., Spring, 51–60 (1981)
Barnes, P.: The analysis and use of financial ratios: a review article. J. Bus. Finan. Acc. 14(4), 449–461 (1987)
Delen, D., Kuzey, C., Uyar, A.: Measuring firm performance using financial ratios: a decision tree approach. Expert Syst. Appl. 40(10), 3970–3983 (2013)
Matsumoto, K., Shivaswamy, M., Hoban, J.: Security analysts’ views of the financial ratios of manufactures and retailers. Finan. Pract. Educ. (Fall/Winter), 44–55 (1995)
Gibson, C.: How chartered financial analysts view financial ratios. Finan. Anal. J. 43(3), 74–76 (1987)
Harris, L.R., Brown, G.T.L.: Mixing interview and questionnaire methods: practical problems in aligning data. Pract. Assess. Res. Eval. 15(1), 1–19 (2010)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Aljifri, K., Ahmad, H.I. (2019). Choosing Valuation Models in the UAE. In: Baghdadi, Y., Harfouche, A. (eds) ICT for a Better Life and a Better World. Lecture Notes in Information Systems and Organisation, vol 30. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-10737-6_13
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-10737-6_13
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-10736-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-10737-6
eBook Packages: Business and ManagementBusiness and Management (R0)