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Who Sets the Agenda? Analyzing Key Actors and Dynamics of Economic Diversification in Kazakhstan Throughout 2011–2016

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Abstract

This contribution attempts to answer the key question: Who sets the agenda for economic diversification in the context of Kazakhstan? This question remains critical in current scholarly debates. Although Kazakhstan, a young post-Soviet developing nation, has received fair scholarly attention with regard to the agenda setting stage of the policy cycle, the existing literature has yet failed to (1) empirically establish who actually sets the agenda for a certain policy issue and (2) employ the Internet research methods. This paper seeks to fill these gaps. The literature review of Kazakh-specific agenda setting publications suggests that among the major actors, the government tends to exert predominant influence, though other actors may also play a role, for example, media and academia. This research is driven by Internet penetration rate data and focuses on the period from January 2011 until December 2016. The findings lead to two key conclusions. First, think tanks seem to set the government agenda for economic diversification policy in Kazakhstan. Second, the government, while exhibiting the larger agenda setting magnitude vis-à-vis the other actors, shapes the subsequent debates as measured by the number of relevant references in media, think tanks, and academic publications. This research seeks to contribute to existing agenda setting theories in the Internet era by defining the most important actor(s), specifically in the Kazakh context based on longitudinal dynamics in attention.

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Appendices

Appendices

1.1 Appendix 1 Nodes as Defined by NVivo Content Analysis

1.1.1 (a) The Public

An appendix for the public with headings labeled causes and effects, types of diversification, key industries defined, and key actors. These headings have several further classifications.

1.1.2 (b) Media

An appendix for the media with heading labeled causes and effects, types of diversification, key industries defined, key actors found to shape the agenda. These headings are further categorized into several sub headings.

1.1.3 (c) Academia

An appendix for academia with headings labeled causes and effects, types of diversification, key industries, key actors. These headings are further categorized into several sub headings.

1.1.4 (d) Think Tanks

An appendix for think tanks with headings labeled causes and effects, key actors found to shape the agenda, types of diversification, key industries defined. These headings are further categorized into several sub headings.

1.1.5 (e) Government

An image depicts causes and effects comprises: types of diversification: product, market, industry, diversifying single industry towns and energy diversification, key industries, key actors.

1.2 Appendix 2 Causes and Effects as Defined by Key Actors

1.2.1 (a) The Public

An image depicts public defined causes only comprises: mismanagement, corruption, Eurasian cooperation, cross border trade and economic diversification.

Note: The public defined causes only. Dark green denotes negatively correlated causes, i.e., mismanagement should lead to weaker economic diversification.

1.2.2 (b) Media

An image depicts media defined 13 distinct causes in which 3 are positive: future growth, more jobs and a competitive edge.

Note: Media defined 13 distinct causes (including 6 negatively correlated, as denoted by dark green) and 3 effects of economic diversification (all positive).

1.2.3 (c) Academia

An image depicts academia defined the total of eight distinct causes in which 5 are positive: industrial and modern socialization, sustainable development, improved competitiveness and modern industrial and service economy.

Note: (a) Academia defined the total of eight distinct causes (two negative and six positive) and eight distinct effects (three negative and five positive) of economic diversification in the context of Kazakhstan. (b) Red denotes a hypothesized cause (i.e., foreign direct investments) that was tested in a research publication and found not to be an important factor explaining the development of economic diversification.

1.2.4 (d) Think Tanks

An image depicts think tank community produced 13 distinct causes of economic diversification comprises 11 positively correlated and 2 negatively correlated.

Notes: (a) The think tank community produced 13 distinct causes of economic diversification. These include 11 positively correlated causes (light green) and 2 negatively correlated (dark green) causes. (b) Think tanks defined 12 distinct effects of economic diversification, including 10 positive (blue) and 2 negative (navy blue) effects.

1.2.5 (e) Government

An image depicts the government of Kazakhstan defined causes only it has 1 negative and rest all positive aspect.

Note: Similar to the public (Appendix 3a), the government of Kazakhstan defined causes only. Dark green denotes a negatively correlated cause of economic diversification, i.e., incomplete infrastructure.

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Dyussenov, M. (2019). Who Sets the Agenda? Analyzing Key Actors and Dynamics of Economic Diversification in Kazakhstan Throughout 2011–2016. In: Grimm, H.M. (eds) Public Policy Research in the Global South. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-06061-9_8

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