Abstract
A key aspect in predictive maintenance is the early recognition of product downtrends and a proper reaction on it, to reduce production waste and to avoid machine failures, components destruction, and risks for operators. We propose an approach for the automated optimization of process parameters in manufacturing systems in order to automatically compensate possible downtrends in product quality at an early stage. This should significantly reduce or even avoid manual (reaction) efforts for operators which are often time-intensive and laborious. Such downtrends are recognized by prediction models for product quality, which are extracted from process data and which come in two different variants: (1) static predictive mappings established based on process (machining) parameter settings through a combination of a new hybrid variant of design of experiment (DoE), cross-correlation analysis, and data-driven mapping construction; and (2) dynamic forecast models which respect the time-series trends of process values measured during on-line production, being able to properly recognize undesired changes and dynamics happening (unexpectedly) during the process. These models will have the property to be able to self-adapt and evolve over time based on new recordings; they employ generalized (flexible) evolving fuzzy systems (GEFS) combined with a new incremental update of the latent variable space obtained through partial least squares (PLS). Both types of prediction models can then be used as surrogate mappings within a multi-objective, evolutionary optimization process for important target quality criteria, which relies on a fast co-evolution strategy. Several results from a micro-fluidic chip production process will be included to demonstrate the applicability and performance of the proposed methods and to discuss open challenges.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Abonyi, J.: Fuzzy Model Identification for Control. Birkhäuser, Boston (2003)
Angelov, P., Lughofer, E., Zhou, X.: Evolving fuzzy classifiers using different model architectures. Fuzzy Sets Syst. 159(23), 3160–3182 (2008)
Aumi, S., Corbett, B., Mhaskary, P.: Model predictive quality control of batch processes. In: 2012 American Control Conference, pp. 5646–5651. Fairmont Queen Elizabeth, Montréal (2012)
Carreira-Perpinan, M.: A review of dimension reduction techniques. Tech. Rep. CS-96-09, Dept. of Computer Science, University of Sheffield, Sheffield (1997)
Cauchi, N., Macek, K., Abate, A.: Model-based predictive maintenance in building automation systems with user discomfort. Energy 138, 306–315 (2017)
Cernuda, C., Lughofer, E., Hintenaus, P., Märzinger, W., Reischer, T., Pawlicek, M., Kasberger, J.: Hybrid adaptive calibration methods and ensemble strategy for prediction of cloud point in melamine resin production. Chemom. Intell. Lab. Syst. 126, 60–75 (2013)
Chockalingam, K., Jawahar, N., Ramanathan, K., Banerjee, P.: Optimization of stereolithography process parameters for part strength using design of experiments. Int. J. Adv. Manuf. Technol. 29(1), 79–88 (2006)
Coello, C.C., Lamont, G.: Applications of multi-objective evolutionary algorithms. World Scientific, Singapore (2004)
Dasgupta, D., Michalewicz, Z.: Evolutionary Algorithms in Engineering Applications. Springer, Heidelberg (1997)
Deb, K., Jain, H.: An evolutionary many-objective optimization algorithm using reference-point-based nondominated sorting approach, part I: solving problems with box constraints. IEEE Trans. Evol. Comput. 18(4), 577–601 (2014)
Deb, K., Pratap, A., Agarwal, S., Meyarivan, T.: A fast and elitist multiobjective genetic algorithm: NSGA-II. IEEE Trans. Evol. Comput. 6(2), 182–197 (2002)
Dovzan, D., Logar, V., Skrjanc, I.: Implementation of an evolving fuzzy model (eFuMo) in a monitoring system for a waste-water treatment process. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 23(5), 1761–1776 (2015)
Fonseca, D.J.: A knowledge-based system for preventive maintenance. Expert Syst. 17(5), 241–247 (2000)
Franceschini, G., Macchietto, S.: Model-based design of experiments for parameter precision: state of the art. Chem. Eng. Sci. 63(19), 4846–4872 (2008)
Frieden, B., Gatenby, R.: Exploratory Data Analysis Using Fisher Information. Springer, New York (2007)
Gama, J., Zliobaite, I., Bifet, A., Pechenizkiy, M., Bouchachia, A.: A survey on concept drift adaptation. ACM Comput. Surv. 46(4), article: 44 (2014)
Greeff, M., Engelbrecht, A.P.: Dynamic multi-objective optimization using PSO. In: Multi-Objective Swarm Intelligent Systems, pp. 105–123. Springer, Berlin (2010)
Gu, S., Ren, J., Vancso, G.: Process optimization and empirical modeling for electrospun polyacrylonitrile (PAN) nanofiber precursor of carbon nanofibers. Eur. Polym. J. 41(11), 2559–2568 (2005)
Haenlein, M., Kaplan, A.: A beginner’s guide to partial least squares (PLS) analysis. Underst. Stat. 3(4), 283–297 (2004)
Harrel, F.: Regression Modeling Strategies. Springer, New York (2001)
Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., Friedman, J.: The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference and Prediction, 2nd edn. Springer, New York (2009)
Helbig, M., Engelbrecht, A.P.: Population-based metaheuristics for continuous boundary-constrained dynamic multi-objective optimisation problems. Swarm Evol. Comput. 14, 31–47 (2014)
Jain, N., Jain, V., Debb, K.: Optimization of process parameters of mechanical type advanced machining processes using genetic algorithms. Int. J. Mach. Tools Manuf. 47(6), 900–919 (2007)
Jong, K.D.: Evolutionary Computation: A Unified Approach. MIT Press, New York (2006)
Khamassi, I., Sayed-Mouchaweh, M., Hammami, M., Ghedira, K.: Discussion and review on evolving data streams and concept drift adapting. Evol. Syst. 9(1), 1–23 (2017)
Kluska, J.: Analytical Methods in Fuzzy Modeling and Control, vol. 241. Springer, Berlin (2009)
Kukkonen, S., Lampinen, J.: GDE3: The third evolution step of generalized differential evolution. In: IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation (CEC 2005), pp. 443–450. IEEE Press, Piscataway (2005)
Lemos, A., Caminhas, W., Gomide, F.: Multivariable Gaussian evolving fuzzy modeling system. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 19(1), 91–104 (2011)
Levitt, J.: Complete Guide to Preventive and Predictive Maintenance. Industrial Press Inc., New York (2011)
Liao, W., Wang, Y.: Data-driven machinery prognostics approach using in a predictive maintenance model. J. Comput. 8(1), 225–231 (2013)
Liu, Y.: Predictive modeling for intelligent maintenance in complex semiconductor manufacturing processes. Ph.D. thesis, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor (2008)
Lughofer, E.: Evolving fuzzy systems — fundamentals, reliability, interpretability and useability. In: P. Angelov (ed.) Handbook of Computational Intelligence, pp. 67–135. World Scientific, New York (2016)
Lughofer, E.: On-line active learning: a new paradigm to improve practical useability of data stream modeling methods. Inf. Sci. 415–416, 356–376 (2017)
Lughofer, E., Angelov, P.: Handling drifts and shifts in on-line data streams with evolving fuzzy systems. Appl. Soft Comput. 11(2), 2057–2068 (2011)
Lughofer, E., Kindermann, S.: SparseFIS: data-driven learning of fuzzy systems with sparsity constraints. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 18(2), 396–411 (2010)
Lughofer, E., Cernuda, C., Kindermann, S., Pratama, M.: Generalized smart evolving fuzzy systems. Evol. Syst. 6(4), 269–292 (2015)
Lughofer, E., Weigl, E., Heidl, W., Eitzinger, C., Radauer, T.: Integrating new classes on the fly in evolving fuzzy classifier designs and its application in visual inspection. Appl. Soft Comput. 35, 558–582 (2015)
Lughofer, E., Pollak, R., Zăvoianu, A.C., Meyer-Heye, P., Zorrer, H., Eitzinger, C., Haim, J., Radauer, T.: Self-adaptive time-series based forecast models for predicting quality criteria in microfluidics chip production. In: 2017 3rd IEEE International Conference on Cybernetics (CYBCONF), pp. 1–8. IEEE, Exeter (2017)
Lughofer, E., Pratama, M., Skrjanc, I.: Incremental rule splitting in generalized evolving fuzzy systems for autonomous drift compensation. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 26(4), 1854–1865 (2018)
Lughofer, E., Zavoianu, A., Pollak, R., Pratama, M., Meyer-Heye, P., Zörrer, H., Eitzinger, C., Radauer, T.: Autonomous supervision and optimization of product quality in a multi-stage manufacturing process based on self-adaptive prediction models. J. Process Control (2019, to appear)
Lughofer, E., Zavoianu, A.C., Pollak, R., Meyer-Heye, P., Zörrer, H., Eitzinger, C., Lehner, J., Radauer, T., Pratama, M.: Evolving time-series based prediction models for quality criteria in a multi-stage production process. In: Proceedings of the IEEE Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems Conference (EAIS) 2018, Rhodos, pp. 1–10 (2018)
Lughofer, E., Zavoianu, A.C., Pollak, R., Pratama, M., Meyer-Heye, P., Zörrer, H., Eitzinger, C., Haim, J., Radauer, T.: Self-adaptive evolving forecast models with incremental PLS space update for on-line predicting quality of micro-fluidic chips. Eng. Appl. Artif. Intell. 68, 131–151 (2018)
McKay, M., Beckman, R., Conover, W.: A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code. Technometrics 21(2), 239–245 (1979)
Miettinen, K.: Nonlinear Multiobjective Optimization. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston (1999)
Mobley, R.: An Introduction to Predictive Maintenance, 2nd edn. Elsevier Science, Woburn (2002)
Montgomery, D.: Design and Analysis of Experiments. Wiley, New York (1991)
Montgomery, D.: Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 6th edn. Wiley, New York (2008)
Mouss, H., Mouss, D., Mouss, N., Sefouhi, L.: Test of Page-Hinkley, an approach for fault detection in an agro-alimentary production system. In: Proceedings of the Asian Control Conference, vol. 2, pp. 815–818 (2004)
Nikzad-Langerodi, R., Lughofer, E., Cernuda, C., Reischer, T., Kantner, W., Pawliczek, M., Brandstetter, M.: Calibration model maintenance in melamine resin production: integrating drift detection, smart sample selection and model adaptation. Anal. Chim. Acta 1013, 1–12 (featured article) (2018)
Paoletti, S., Juloski, A., Ferrari-Trecate, G., Vidal, R.: Identification of hybrid systems a tutorial. Eur. J. Control 13(2–3), 242–260 (2007)
Pedrycz, W., Gomide, F.: Fuzzy Systems Engineering: Toward Human-Centric Computing. Wiley, Hoboken (2007)
Permin, E., Bertelsmeier, F., Blum, M., Bützler, J., Haag, S., Kuz, S., Özdemir, D., Stemmler, S., Thombansen, U., Schmitt, R., et al.: Self-optimizing production systems. Procedia CIRP 41, 417–422 (2016)
Pratama, M., Anavatti, S., Angelov, P., Lughofer, E.: PANFIS: a novel incremental learning machine. IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. Learn. Syst. 25(1), 55–68 (2014)
Pratama, M., Anavatti, S., Lughofer, E.: GENEFIS: towards an effective localist network. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 22(3), 547–562 (2014)
Pratama, M., Anavatti, S., Lu, J.: Recurrent classifier based on an incremental meta-cognitive scaffolding algorithm. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 23(6), 2048–2066 (2015)
Pratama, M., Lu, J., Anavatti, S., Lughofer, E., Lim, C.: An incremental meta-cognitive-based scaffolding fuzzy neural network. Neurocomputing 171, 89–105 (2016)
Rhinehart, R.R.: Nonlinear Regression Modeling for Engineering Applications — Modeling, Model Validation, and Enabling Design of Experiments. Wiley, Chichester (2016)
Sayed-Mouchaweh, M., Lughofer, E.: Learning in Non-Stationary Environments: Methods and Applications. Springer, New York (2012)
Serdio, F., Lughofer, E., Zavoianu, A.C., Pichler, K., Pichler, M., Buchegger, T., Efendic, H.: Improved fault detection employing hybrid memetic fuzzy modeling and adaptive filters. Appl. Soft Comput. 51, 60–82 (2017)
Shaker, A., Lughofer, E.: Self-adaptive and local strategies for a smooth treatment of drifts in data streams. Evol. Syst. 5(4), 239–257 (2014)
Skrjanc, I.: Evolving fuzzy-model-based design of experiments with supervised hierarchical clustering. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 23(4), 861–871 (2015)
Storn, R., Price, K.V.: Differential evolution - a simple and efficient heuristic for global optimization over continuous spaces. J. Glob. Optim. 11(4), 341–359 (1997)
Su, Z., Jamshidi, A., Núñez, A., Baldi, S., Schutter, B.D.: Multi-level condition-based maintenance planning for railway infrastructures — a scenario-based chance-constrained approach. Transp. Res. Part C Emerg. Technol. 84, 92–123 (2017)
Varmuza, K., Filzmoser, P.: Introduction to Multivariate Statistical Analysis in Chemometrics. CRC Press, Boca Raton (2009)
Wang, L., Gao, R.X.: Condition Monitoring and Control for Intelligent Manufacturing. Springer, London (2006)
Weigl, E., Heidl, W., Lughofer, E., Eitzinger, C., Radauer, T.: On improving performance of surface inspection systems by on-line active learning and flexible classifier updates. Mach. Vis. Appl. 27(1), 103–127 (2016)
Weng, J., Zhang, Y., Hwang, W.S.: Candid covariance-free incremental principal component analysis. IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell. 25(8), 1034–1040 (2003)
Wilcoxon, F.: Individual comparisons by ranking methods. Biometrics 1, 80–83 (1945)
Wise, B.M., Roginski, R.T.: A calibration model maintenance roadmap. IFAC PapersOnLine 48(8), 260–265 (2015)
Wold, S., Sjöström, M., Eriksson, L.: PLS-regression: a basic tool of chemometrics. Chemom. Intell. Lab. Syst. 58, 109–130 (2001)
Yang, Z., Tang, K., Yao, X.: Large scale evolutionary optimization using cooperative coevolution. Inf. Sci. 178(15), 2985–2999 (2008)
Yusoff, Y., Ngadiman, M.S., Zain, A.M.: Overview of NSGA-II for optimizing machining process parameters. Procedia Eng. 15, 3978–3983 (2011)
Zavoianu, A.C., Lughofer, E., Bramerdorfer, G., Amrhein, W., Klement, E.: DECMO2 — a robust hybrid multi-objective evolutionary algorithm. Soft Comput. 19(12), 3551–3569 (2015)
Zavoianu, A.C., Lughofer, E., Pollak, R., Meyer-Heye, P., Eitzinger, C., Radauer, T.: Multi-objective knowledge-based strategy for process parameter optimization in micro-fluidic chip production. In: Proceedings of the SSCI 2017 Conference (CIES Workshop), Honolulu, pp. 1927–1934 (2017)
Zeng, X.Q., Li, G.Z.: Incremental partial least squares analysis of big streaming data. Pattern Recogn. 47, 3726–3735 (2014)
Zhang, Q., Liu, W., Li, H.: The performance of a new version of MOEA/D on CEC09 unconstrained MOP test instances. Tech. rep., School of CS & EE, University of Essex (2009)
Zitzler, E., Laumanns, M., Thiele, L.: SPEA2: Improving the strength Pareto evolutionary algorithm for multiobjective optimization. In: Evolutionary Methods for Design, Optimisation and Control with Application to Industrial Problems (EUROGEN 2001), pp. 95–100. International Center for Numerical Methods in Engineering (CIMNE), Barcelona (2002)
Zou, H., Hastie, T.: Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 67, 301–320 (2005)
Acknowledgement
The authors acknowledge the Austrian research funding association (FFG) within the scope of the “IKT of the future” programme, project “Generating process feedback from heterogeneous data sources in quality control” (contract # 849962). The first author also acknowledges the support by the LCM–K2 Center within the framework of the Austrian COMET-K2 program.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Lughofer, E., Zavoianu, AC., Pratama, M., Radauer, T. (2019). Automated Process Optimization in Manufacturing Systems Based on Static and Dynamic Prediction Models. In: Lughofer, E., Sayed-Mouchaweh, M. (eds) Predictive Maintenance in Dynamic Systems. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05645-2_17
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05645-2_17
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-05644-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-05645-2
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)