Abstract
In recent years world’s governments have focused its efforts on the development of the Sustainable Agriculture were all resources, especially water resources, are used in a more environmentally friendly manner. In this paper, we present an approach for estimating daily accumulated rainfall using multi-spatial scale multi-source data based on Machine Learning algorithms for three HABs in the Andean Region of Colombia where the agricultural activities are one of the main production activities. The proposed approach uses data from different rain-related variables such as vegetation index, elevation data, rain rate and temperature with the aim of the development of a rain forecast, able to respond to local or large-scale rain events. The results show that the trained model can detect local rain events event when no meteorological station data was used.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsReferences
Feenstra, G.: What is sustainable agriculture? — UC SAREP, UC Sustainable Agriculture Research and Education Program (2017). http://asi.ucdavis.edu/programs/sarep/about/what-is-sustainable-agriculture. Accessed 23 May 2018
Ministerio De Agricultura y Desarrollo Rural and Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística: El cultivo de la papa, Solanum tuberosum Alimento de gran valor nutritivo, clave en la seguridad alimentaria mundial. Insumos y Factores asociados a la producción agropecuaria, no. 15, p. 92 (2013)
Abbot, J., Marohasy, J.: Forecasting extreme monthly rainfall events in regions of Queensland, Australia using artificial neural networks. Int. J. Sustain. Dev. Plan. 12(7), 1117–1131 (2017)
Unnikrishnan, P., Jothiprakash, V.: Daily rainfall forecasting for one year in a single run using singular spectrum analysis. J. Hydrol. 561, 609–621 (2018)
Rasel, R.I., Sultana, N., Meesad, P.: An application of data mining and machine learning for weather forecasting. In: Meesad, P., Sodsee, S., Unger, H. (eds.) IC2IT 2017. AISC, vol. 566, pp. 169–178. Springer, Cham (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-60663-7_16
Ahmed, B.: Predictive capacity of meteorological data: will it rain tomorrow? In: Proceedings of the 2015 Science and Information Conference, SAI 2015, pp. 199–205 (2015)
Chu, W.T., Zheng, X.Y., Ding, D.S.: Image2weather: a large-scale image dataset for weather property estimation. In: Proceedings - 2016 IEEE 2nd International Conference on Multimedia Big Data, BigMM 2016, pp. 137–144 (2016)
Gupta, U., Jitkajornwanich, K., Elmasri, R., Fegaras, L.: Adapting k-means clustering to identify spatial patterns in storms. In: Proceedings - 2016 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, Big Data 2016, pp. 2646–2654 (2016)
Hong, Y., Chiang, Y.M., Liu, Y., Hsu, K.L., Sorooshian, S.: Satellite-based precipitation estimation using watershed segmentation and growing hierarchical self-organizing map. Int. J. Remote Sens. 27(23), 5165–5184 (2006)
Gope, S., Sarkar, S., Mitra, P., Ghosh, S.: Early prediction of extreme rainfall events: a deep learning approach. In: Perner, P. (ed.) ICDM 2016. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 9728, pp. 154–167. Springer, Cham (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-41561-1_12
Pencue-Fierro, E.L., Solano-Correa, Y.T., Corrales-Muñoz, J.C., Figueroa-Casas, A.: A semi-supervised hybrid approach for multitemporal multi-region multisensor landsat data classification. IEEE J. Sel. Top. Appl. Earth Obs. Remote Sens. 9(12), 5424–5435 (2016)
Ho, P.-G.P.: Geoscience and Remote Sensing. INTECH (2009)
Ministerio de Ambiente Vivienda Y Desarrollo Teritorial, Ministerio de Hacienda y Crédito Público: CONPES 3624 - Programa para el saneamiento, manejo y recuperación ambiental de la cuenca alta del río Cauca, p. 60 (2009)
National Aeronautics and Space Administration: TRMM Home Page | Precipitation Measurement Missions. https://pmm.nasa.gov/trmm. Accessed 29 Mar 2018
Vicente, G.A., Scofield, R.A., Menzel, W.P.: The operational GOES infrared rainfall estimation technique. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79(9), 1883–1893 (1998)
Meteoblue. https://content.meteoblue.com/en/about-us. Accessed 28 Jul 2017
MODIS Vegetation Index Products. https://modis.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/dataprod/mod13.php. Accessed 28 Jul 2017
NASA: Shuttle Radar Topography Mission 2017. https://www2.jpl.nasa.gov/srtm/. Accessed 28 Jul 2017
N. C. P. Center. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center
Sasaki, H., Kurihara, K.: Relationship between precipitation and elevation in the present climate reproduced by the non-hydrostatic regional climate model. SOLA 4, 109–112 (2008)
Purevdorj, T., Hoshino, B., Ganzorig, S., Tserendulam, T.: Spatial and temporal patterns of NDVI response to precipitation in Mongolian Steppe. J. Rakuno Gakuen Univ. 35(2), 55–62 (2011)
Umoh, A.A.: Rainfall and relative humidity occurrence patterns in Uyo metropolis, Akwa Ibom State, South-South Nigeria. IOSR J. Eng. 03(08), 27–31 (2013)
Trenberth, K.E., Shea, D.J.: Relationships between precipitation and surface temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32(14) (2005)
NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction: Climate Prediction Center (CPC), Madden Jullian Oscillation (MJO) 2013. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml. Accessed 28 Jul 2017
Corrales, D.C., Corrales, J.C., Ledezma, A.: How to address the data quality issues in regression models: a guided process for data cleaning. Symmetry (Basel) 10(4), 1–20 (2018)
Vink, G., Frank, L.E., Pannekoek, J., van Buuren, S.: Predictive mean matching imputation of semicontinuous variables. Stat. Neerl. 68(1), 61–90 (2014)
Andridge, R.R., Little, R.J.: A review of hot deck imputation for survey non-response. Int. Stat. Rev. 78(1), 40–64 (2010). NIH Public Access
Dempster, A.P., Laird, N.M., Rubin, D.B.: Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B Methodol. 39(1), 1–38 (1977)
Stekhoven, D.J., Bühlmann, P.: Missforest-Non-parametric missing value imputation for mixed-type data. Bioinformatics 28(1), 112–118 (2012)
Breiman, L.: Random forests. Mach. Learn. 45(1), 5–32 (2001)
Loh, W.-Y.: Classification and regression trees. Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Data Min. Knowl. Discov. 1(1), 14–23 (2011)
Quinlan, J.R.: An overview of Cubist. Retrieved June 2017. http://rulequest.com/cubist-win.html. Accessed 30 Mar 2018
Acknowledgments
The authors are grateful to the Telematics Engineering Group (GIT) and the Optics and Laser Group (GOL) of the University of Cauca, The University of Cauca, Meteoblue, RICCLISA Program, and the AgroCloud project for supporting this research, as well as the AQUARISC program for the PhD support granted to Cristian Valencia-Payan.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Valencia-Payan, C., Corrales, J.C. (2018). A Rainfall Prediction Tool for Sustainable Agriculture Using Random Forest. In: Batyrshin, I., Martínez-Villaseñor, M., Ponce Espinosa, H. (eds) Advances in Soft Computing. MICAI 2018. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 11288. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-04491-6_24
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-04491-6_24
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-04490-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-04491-6
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)