Abstract
An approach to assessing the damage potential of tropical cyclones (TCs) is developed using a combination of physical reasoning and results of previous studies. The key TC damage parameters of intensity, size, and translational speed are incorporated into a single index of Cyclone Damage Potential (CDP). The CDP is developed to represent offshore wind, wave, and current damage. Further testing is needed to establish the importance of each TC parameter for onshore wind and coastal surge damage. The CDP is applicable to individual TCs and to seasonal, global, and climatological assessments. Global climatological summaries reveal high damage potential pathways and the dominant contribution of the Northwest Pacific to total global damage potential. Assessing actual impact requires an additional step of combining the CDP with an exposure and vulnerability assessment derived from a range of local factors.
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Acknowledgements
NCAR is funded by the National Science Foundation and this work was partially supported by NSF Award 1048829, the Willis Research Network, the Research Partnership to Secure Energy for America, and the Climatology and Simulation of Eddies/Eddies Joint Industry Project.
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Holland, G.J., Done, J.M., Douglas, R., Saville, G.R., Ge, M. (2019). Global Tropical Cyclone Damage Potential. In: Collins, J., Walsh, K. (eds) Hurricane Risk. Hurricane Risk, vol 1. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-02402-4_2
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