Abstract
The difficulties in hail prediction are discussed with reference to a set of conditions thought to be necessary and sufficient for the production of large hail. These conditions are abstracted from diagnostic studies with a numerical cloud model which includes hydrometeor growth by vapor deposition and stochastic collection, hail embryo formation by drop freezing, and hail embryo injection. The physical reasoning, including the major assumptions and limitations of the early prediction methods and recent numerical models are reviewed and the necessity for more explicit condensation and ice forming nuclei measurements is discussed.
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© 1977 American Meteorological Society
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Danielsen, E.F. (1977). Inherent Difficulties in Hail Probability Prediction. In: Foote, G.B., Knight, C.A. (eds) Hail: A Review of Hail Science and Hail Suppression. Meteorological Monographs, vol 16. American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-935704-30-0_6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-935704-30-0_6
Publisher Name: American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA
Online ISBN: 978-1-935704-30-0
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