Abstract
In this concluding chapter, we first give a detailed review of the main themes of the book; in brief, these are that the Earth faces a variety of environmental threats, and that the proposed technical fixes are not up to the task. Next, we try to get some idea as to what will happen if we continue our present path to the extent that the world eventually becomes 4 ÂșC warmer, which increase could result from a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Arctic sea ice would disappear in summer, further decreasing local albedo. Coastal sea level rises and worsening conditions for agriculture in many regions would produce hundreds of millions of refugees, and forest fire frequency and severity would rise.
Finally, we look at another possible future, one in which we take seriously our predicament, and back it up with effective actions. This is in strong contrast to our present approach, which is a contradictory mixture of many international conferences about the precarious state of our planetary environment, combined with business-as-usual growth economics.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Acton JM (2009) The myth of proliferation-resistant technology. Bull Atomic Sci 65(6):49â59
Anon (2010) Progressive thinking. Nature 463:849â850
Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas (ASPO) (2009) ASPO Newsletter No 100 May (Also earlier newsletters). www.peakoil.net. Accessed 28 October 2009
Barley S (2009) A world 4 ÂșC warmer. New Sci 3 October:14â15
BP (2009) BP Statistical review of world energy 2009. BP, London
Campbell CJ (2006) The Rimini Protocol an oil depletion protocol: Heading off economic chaos and political conflict during the second half of the age of oil. Energy Policy 34(12):1319â1325
Carpenter S, Folke C, Scheffer M et al. (2009) Resilience: Accounting for the noncomputable. Ecol and Soc 14 (1):13. http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol14/iss1/art13/. Accessed 14 October 2009
Gaia V (2009) Surviving in a warmer world. New Sci 28 February:28â33
Gowdy J (2007) Avoiding self-organized extinction: Toward a co-evolutionary economics of sustainability. Int J Sustain Dev & World Ecol 14:27â36
Harrison D (2006) Cops catch copper culprits. http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/highvoltage-theft-strandscommuters/2006/11/22/1163871439703.html. Accessed 16 February 2010
Kitzes J, Wackernagel M, Loh J et al. (2008) Shrink and share: Humanity's present and future Ecological Footprint. Philos Trans R Soc B 363:467â475
Klare MT (2008) Rising powers, shrinking planet: The new geopolitics of energy. Henry Holt, New York
Kramer GJ, Haigh M (2009) No quick switch to low-carbon energy. Nature 462:568â569
Moriarty P, Honnery D (2004) Forecasting world transport in the year 2050. Int J Vehicle Design 35(1/2):151â165
Moriarty P, Honnery D (2008) Low mobility: the future of transport. Futures 40(10):865â872
Moriarty P, Honnery D (2010) A human needs approach to reducing atmospheric carbon. Energy Policy 38(2):695â700
Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP et al. (2007) Technical summary. In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP et al. (eds) Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. CUP, Cambridge, UK
Sanne C (2005) The consumption of our discontent. Business Strategy & Environ 14:315â323
Van Noorden R (2010) Buried trouble. Nature 463:871â873
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2011 Springer-Verlag London Limited
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
(2011). Conclusions. In: Rise and Fall of the Carbon Civilisation. Green Energy and Technology. Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-84996-483-8_11
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-84996-483-8_11
Publisher Name: Springer, London
Print ISBN: 978-1-84996-482-1
Online ISBN: 978-1-84996-483-8
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)