Skip to main content

Abstract

Carrying out an effective maintenance operation requires efficient planning of maintenance activities and resources. Since planning is performed in order to prepare for future maintenance tasks, it must be based on good estimates of the future maintenance workload. The maintenance workload consists of two major components: (1) scheduled and planned preventive maintenance, including planned overhauls and shutdowns, and (2) emergency or breakdown failure maintenance. The first component is the deterministic part of the maintenance workload. The second component is the stochastic part that depends on the probabilistic failure pattern, and it is the main cause of uncertainty in maintenance forecasting and capacity planning.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 219.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 279.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 379.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Alfares HK (1999) Aircraft maintenance workforce scheduling: a case study. J of Qual in Maint Eng 5: 78–88

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alfares HK (2007) A simulation approach for stochastic employee days-off scheduling. Int J of Model and Simul 27: 9–15

    Google Scholar 

  • Banks J, Carson JS II, Nelson BL, Nicol DM (2005) Discrete-Event Simulation, 4th Edition, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, USA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Box GP, Jenkins GM (1970) Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control, Holden-Day, San Francisco, USA.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Duffuaa SO (2000) Mathematical Models in Maintenance planning and scheduling, in Ben-Daya M, Duffuaa SO, Raouf A (eds.), Maintenance Modeling and Optimization, Kluwer, Boston, USA, 39–53

    Google Scholar 

  • Duffuaa SO, Al-Sultan KS (1999) A stochastic programming model for scheduling maintenance personnel. Appl Math Model 23: 385–397

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Duffuaa SO, Ben-Daya M, Al-Sultan KS, Andijani AA (2001) A generic conceptual simulation model for maintenance systems. J of Qual in Maint Eng 7: 207–219

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duffuaa SO, Raouf A, Campbell JD (1999) Planning and Control of Maintenance Systems: Modeling and Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, New York, USA

    Google Scholar 

  • Kelly AD (2006) Managing Maintenance Resources, Elsevier

    Google Scholar 

  • Kelly AD (2007) The Maintenance Management Framework, Springer, London, 157–184

    Google Scholar 

  • Nahmias S (2005) Production and Operations Analysis, 5th Edition, McGraw-Hill, Singapore.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rowe, G and Wright, G, (2001) Expert Opinions in Forecasting. Role of the Delphi Technique. In Armstrong (Ed.), Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook of Researchers and Practitioners, Kluwer, Boston, 125–144.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sohn SY, Oh KY, (2004) Simulation study for the optimal repair capacity of an IT maintenance center based on LRD failure distribution. Comput & Oper Res 31: 745–759

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Taha H, (2003) Operations Research: An Introduction, 7th Edition, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, USA

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2009 Springer-Verlag London Limited

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Al-Fares, H., Duffuaa, S. (2009). Maintenance Forecasting and Capacity Planning. In: Ben-Daya, M., Duffuaa, S., Raouf, A., Knezevic, J., Ait-Kadi, D. (eds) Handbook of Maintenance Management and Engineering. Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-84882-472-0_8

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-84882-472-0_8

  • Publisher Name: Springer, London

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-84882-471-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-84882-472-0

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics