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The Population of Modern China pp 163–223Cite as

China’s Changing Mortality

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Abstract

During the last three decades, as China has attacked one cause of death after another, the mortality level of the population has undergone a profound transformation. As in many other developing countries, China’s mortality transition took place most spectacularly during the 1950s, with subsequent gains being more gradual and modest. Therefore, a careful look at mortality data for the 1950s should tell us much about the historic shift from China’s traditional very high mortality to the relatively low mortality of today.

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Notes

  1. Sources of PRC population data during the 1950s were exhaustively analyzed in Aird (1961).

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  2. This quotation and all data in this paragraph on infant mortality were reported by Chandrasekhar (1959, 52-54). The use of “keypoints,” which are usually advanced localities with relatively developed statistical systems, to estimate infant mortality rates in the 1950s was described by Liu Changxin and Cang (1980).

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  3. Confidential data source.

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  4. Most of the analysis in this section was first published in Banister and Preston (1981a).

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  5. Interview with Li Junyao, 13 May 1981, in Bethesda, Maryland.

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  6. For more detail on health and mortality in Tibet, see Banister (1977b, 449-453).

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  7. Preston found that the level of respiratory tuberculosis is a critical determinant of the relationship between mortality at ages 5-40 and mortality at other ages (Preston 1976, Chapter 5).

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  8. Rural and urban male and female infant mortality rates are calculated from Ling’s data (1981, Table 3) using the formula 1qo = 1mo/[1+(1−1ao)1mo] where 1ao = 0.33.

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  9. But Japan may underreport deaths of infants under one day old.

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Authors
  1. Judith Banister
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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA

    Dudley L. Poston Jr.

  2. University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Massachusetts, USA

    David Yaukey

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Banister, J. (1992). China’s Changing Mortality. In: Poston, D.L., Yaukey, D. (eds) The Population of Modern China. The Plenum Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4899-1231-2_8

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