The Origin of Confidence Limits
In the history of ideas it is frequently possible, with the advantage of hindsight, to discern earlier examples of new concepts. Their later appreciation often relies on the clarification of thought accompanying the introduction of terms which distinguish previously confused concepts. In statistics a notable example is provided by the separation of probability and likelihood.
KeywordsInverse Probability Rational Belief Fiducial Limit Binomial Parameter Fiducial Probability
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
- Box, J.F. (1978). R.A. Fisher, The Life of a Scientist. Wiley, New York.Google Scholar
- Cournot, A.A. (1843). Exposition de la théorie des chances et des probabilités. Hachette, Paris.Google Scholar
- Fisher, R.A. (1912). On an absolute criterion for fitting frequency curves. Messenger Math., 41, 155–160.Google Scholar
- Fisher, R.A. (1925). Statistical Methods for Research Workers. Oliver & Boyd, Edinburgh.Google Scholar
- Lehmann, E.L. (1958). Some early instances of confidence statements. Technical Report to the Office of Naval Research ONR 5, Statistical Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley.Google Scholar
- Neyman, J. (1950). First Course in Probability and Statistics. Holt, New York.Google Scholar
- Neyman, J. (1970). A glance at some of my personal experiences in the process of research. In: Scientists at Work, T. Dalenius, G. Karlsson, and S. Malmquist, eds. Almqvist and Wiksell, Stockholm, pp. 148–164.Google Scholar
- Neyman, J. (1976). The emergence of mathematical statistics. In On the History of Statistics and Probability, D.B. Owen (ed.), Marcel Dekker, New York, pp. 149–193.Google Scholar
- Pearson, E.S. (1990). ‘Student’: A Statistical Biography of W.S. Gosset. Edited and augmented by R.L. Plackett with the assistance of G.A. Barnard. Clarendon, Oxford.Google Scholar
- Pytkowski, W. (1932). The dependence of the income in small farms upon their area, the outlay and the capital invested in cows. (Polish, with English summaries.) Biblioteka Pulawska 31. Agri. Res. Inst., Pulawy.Google Scholar
- ‘Student’ (1908). The probable error of a mean. Biometrika 6 1–25.Google Scholar